English
Related papers

Related papers: Multivariate distributional modeling of low, moder…

200 papers

Panel data arise in a wide range of application areas, and developing modelling methods for extreme values under such a setup is essential for reliable risk assessment and management. When choosing to model the marginal distributions of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-19 Zefan Liu , Natalia Nolde

Multi-dimensional data frequently occur in many different fields, including risk management, insurance, biology, environmental sciences, and many more. In analyzing multivariate data, it is imperative that the underlying modelling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Orla A. Murphy , Juliana Schulz

This paper presents a new model for characterising temporal dependence in exceedances above a threshold. The model is based on the class of trawl processes, which are stationary, infinitely divisible stochastic processes. The model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-19 Ragnhild C. Noven , Almut E. D. Veraart , Axel Gandy

Multivariate extreme value models are used to estimate joint risk in a number of applications, with a particular focus on environmental fields ranging from climatology and hydrology to oceanography and seismic hazards. The semi-parametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-08 Ross Towe , Jonathan Tawn , Rob Lamb , Chris Sherlock

Differential equations are pivotal in modeling and understanding the dynamics of various systems, offering insights into their future states through parameter estimation fitted to time series data. In fields such as economy, politics, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-24 Hyeontae Jo , Sung Woong Cho , Hyung Ju Hwang

The study of geometric extremes, where extremal dependence properties are inferred from the deterministic limiting shapes of scaled sample clouds, provides an exciting approach to modelling the extremes of multivariate data. These shapes,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-16 Callum J. R. Murphy-Barltrop , Reetam Majumder , Jordan Richards

This article proposes a generalized notion of extreme multivariate dependence between two random vectors which relies on the extremality of the cross-covariance matrix between these two vectors. Using a partial ordering on the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-10 Damien Bosc , Alfred Galichon

Modelling the extremal dependence of bivariate variables is important in a wide variety of practical applications, including environmental planning, catastrophe modelling and hydrology. The majority of these approaches are based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-27 C. J. R. Murphy-Barltrop , J. L. Wadsworth , E. F. Eastoe

When modeling a vector of risk variables, extreme scenarios are often of special interest. The peaks-over-thresholds method hinges on the notion that, asymptotically, the excesses over a vector of high thresholds follow a multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-23 Anas Mourahib , Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers

Regular variation is often used as the starting point for modeling multivariate heavy-tailed data. A random vector is regularly varying if and only if its radial part $R$ is regularly varying and is asymptotically independent of the angular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Phyllis Wan , Richard A. Davis

A geometric representation for multivariate extremes, based on the shapes of scaled sample clouds in light-tailed margins and their so-called limit sets, has recently been shown to connect several existing extremal dependence concepts.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Jennifer Wadsworth , Ryan Campbell

We propose a flexible regression framework to model the conditional distribution of multilevel generalized multivariate functional data of potentially mixed type, e.g. binary and continuous data. We make pointwise parametric distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-31 Alexander Volkmann , Nikolaus Umlauf , Sonja Greven

The statistical modeling of discrete extremes has received less attention than their continuous counterparts in the Extreme Value Theory (EVT) literature. One approach to the transition from continuous to discrete extremes is the modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Touqeer Ahmad , Carlo Gaetan , Philippe Naveau

We propose a framework for computing, optimizing and integrating with respect to a smooth marginal likelihood in statistical models that involve high-dimensional parameters/latent variables and continuous low-dimensional hyperparameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Timothée Stumpf-Fétizon , Jonathan Weare

This paper develops a theoretical framework for Extreme Partial Least Squares (EPLS) dimension reduction in the presence of missing data and weak temporal dependence. Building upon the recent EPLS methodology for modeling extremal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-17 Stéphane Girard , Cambyse Pakzad

Semiparametric regression offers a flexible framework for modeling non-linear relationships between a response and covariates. A prime example are generalized additive models where splines (say) are used to approximate non-linear functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-05 Francis K. C. Hui , Chong You , Han Lin Shang , Samuel Müller

We study extremal conditional independence for H\"{u}sler-Reiss distributions, which is a parametric subclass of multivariate Pareto distributions. As the main contribution, we introduce two set functions, i.e.~functions which assign a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-30 Karel Devriendt , Ignacio Echave-Sustaeta Rodríguez , Frank Röttger

Extremal graphical models are sparse statistical models for multivariate extreme events. The underlying graph encodes conditional independencies and enables a visual interpretation of the complex extremal dependence structure. For the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-18 Sebastian Engelke , Stanislav Volgushev

Attaining ultra-reliable communication (URC) in fifth-generation (5G) and beyond networks requires deriving statistics of channel in ultra-reliable region by modeling the extreme events. Extreme value theory (EVT) has been previously…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Niloofar Mehrnia , Sinem Coleri

The max-stable process is an asymptotically justified model for spatial extremes. In particular, we focus on the hierarchical extreme-value process (HEVP), which is a particular max-stable process that is conducive to Bayesian computing.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-25 Yuan Tian , Brian J. Reich