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The complexity of Machine Learning (ML) systems increases each year, with current implementations of large language models or text-to-image generators having billions of parameters and requiring billions of arithmetic operations. As these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Pedro Reviriego , Ziheng Wang , Alvaro Alonso , Zhen Gao , Farzad Niknia , Shanshan Liu , Fabrizio Lombardi

Continual Learning (CL) is essential for enabling self-evolving large language models (LLMs) to adapt and remain effective amid rapid knowledge growth. Yet, despite its importance, little attention has been given to establishing statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Xiaofan Zhou , Lu Cheng

We propose Deep Longitudinal Targeted Minimum Loss-based Estimation (Deep LTMLE), a novel approach to estimate the counterfactual mean of outcome under dynamic treatment policies in longitudinal problem settings. Our approach utilizes a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-09 Toru Shirakawa , Yi Li , Yulun Wu , Sky Qiu , Yuxuan Li , Mingduo Zhao , Hiroyasu Iso , Mark van der Laan

In this article, we complement recent results on the convergence of the state estimate obtained by applying the discrete-time Kalman filter on a time-sampled continuous-time system. As the temporal discretization is refined, the estimate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-09 Atte Aalto

Mixtures of linear dynamical systems (MoLDS) provide a path to model time-series data that exhibit diverse temporal dynamics across trajectories. However, its application remains challenging in complex and noisy settings, limiting its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Lulu Gong , Shreya Saxena

In this paper, we revisit parameter estimation for multinomial logit (MNL), nested logit (NL), and tree-nested logit (TNL) models through the framework of convex conic optimization. Traditional approaches typically solve the maximum…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-03 Hoang Giang Pham , Tien Mai , Minh Ha Hoang

Constant potential method molecular dynamics simulation (CPM MD) enables the accurate modelling of atomistic electrode charges when studying the electrode-electrolyte interface at the nanoscale. Here we extend the theoretical framework of…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-05-26 Shern Ren Tee , Debra J. Searles

In this paper, we propose a flexible model for survival analysis using neural networks along with scalable optimization algorithms. One key technical challenge for directly applying maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) to censored data is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-07 Weijing Tang , Jiaqi Ma , Qiaozhu Mei , Ji Zhu

In the present paper, a fluid-particle coupling method is directly derived from the Navier-Stokes equations (NSE) by applying the concept of volume-filtering, yielding a physically consistent methodology to incorporate solid wall boundary…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-10-17 Max Hausmann , Hani Elmestikawy , Berend van Wachem

This work introduces an efficient novel approach for epistemic uncertainty estimation for ensemble models for regression tasks using pairwise-distance estimators (PaiDEs). Utilizing the pairwise-distance between model components, these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Lucas Berry , David Meger

We present a novel method for generating sequential parameter estimates and quantifying epistemic uncertainty in dynamical systems within a data-consistent (DC) framework. The DC framework differs from traditional Bayesian approaches due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-15 Carlos del-Castillo-Negrete , Rylan Spence , Troy Butler , Clint Dawson

The convective Allen-Cahn equation has been widely used to simulate multi-phase flows in many phase-field models. As a generalized form of the classic Allen-Cahn equation, the convective Allen-Cahn equation still preserves the maximum bound…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-17 Yongyong Cai , Lili Ju , Rihui Lan , Jingwei Li

Deep energy-based models (EBMs), which use deep neural networks (DNNs) as energy functions, are receiving increasing attention due to their ability to learn complex distributions. To train deep EBMs, the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Beomsu Kim , Jong Chul Ye

Stationary ergodic processes with finite alphabets are estimated by finite memory processes from a sample, an n-length realization of the process, where the memory depth of the estimator process is also estimated from the sample using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-25 Zsolt Talata

We present a framework to design nonlinear robust output feedback model predictive control (MPC) schemes that ensure constraint satisfaction under noisy output measurements and disturbances. We provide novel estimation methods to bound the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-10 Johannes Köhler , Matthias A. Müller , Frank Allgöwer

The inaccuracy of neural network models on inputs that do not stem from the training data distribution is both problematic and at times unrecognized. Model uncertainty estimation can address this issue, where uncertainty estimates are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-14 Siddhartha Jain , Ge Liu , Jonas Mueller , David Gifford

As machine learning (ML) models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains, trustworthy uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for ensuring the safety and reliability of these models. Traditional UQ methods rely on specifying a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-14 Abhineet Agarwal , Michael Xiao , Rebecca Barter , Omer Ronen , Boyu Fan , Bin Yu

In this paper, we develop approximate dynamic programming methods for stochastic systems modeled as Markov Decision Processes, given both soft performance criteria and hard constraints in a class of probabilistic temporal logic called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-08 Lening Li , Jie Fu

We propose a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) framework for linear systems subject to joint-in-time chance constraints under unknown disturbance distributions. Unlike existing approaches that rely on parametric or Gaussian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Lukas Vogel , Andrea Carron , Eleftherios E. Vlahakis , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

While deep neural networks have become the go-to approach in computer vision, the vast majority of these models fail to properly capture the uncertainty inherent in their predictions. Estimating this predictive uncertainty can be crucial,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-08 Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Martin Danelljan , Thomas B. Schön
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