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We study the distributional behavior of additive arithmetic functions evaluated at integers drawn from the harmonic distribution. Our main result shows that a broad family of such functions converges in law to conditioned Dickman-type…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Victor Bernal Ramirez , Arturo Jaramillo

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods have become popular in statistics as versatile techniques to sample from complicated probability distributions. In this work, we propose a method to parameterize and train transition kernels of Markov chains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Evgenii Egorov , Ricardo Valperga , Efstratios Gavves

We use Markov categories to generalize the basic theory of Markov chains and hidden Markov models to an abstract setting. This comprises characterizations of hidden Markov models in terms of conditional independences and algorithms for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Tobias Fritz , Andreas Klingler , Drew McNeely , Areeb Shah-Mohammed , Yuwen Wang

Denoising diffusions are state-of-the-art generative models exhibiting remarkable empirical performance. They work by diffusing the data distribution into a Gaussian distribution and then learning to reverse this noising process to obtain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-20 Joe Benton , Yuyang Shi , Valentin De Bortoli , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

This paper studies random operator-valued positive definite (p.d.) kernels and their connection to moment dilations. A class of random p.d. kernels is introduced in which the positivity requirement is imposed only in expectation, extending…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-15 James Tian

We recall the classical formulation of PageRank as the stationary distribution of a singularly perturbed irreducible Markov chain that is not irreducible when the perturbation parameter goes to zero. Specifically, we use the Markov chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Vivek S Borkar , S Sowmya , Raghavendra Tripathi

A fundamental step in many data-analysis techniques is the construction of an affinity matrix describing similarities between data points. When the data points reside in Euclidean space, a widespread approach is to from an affinity matrix…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-27 Boris Landa , Ronald R. Coifman , Yuval Kluger

We connect shift-invariant characteristic kernels to infinitely divisible distributions on $\mathbb{R}^{d}$. Characteristic kernels play an important role in machine learning applications with their kernel means to distinguish any two…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-26 Yu Nishiyama , Kenji Fukumizu

We prove a stochastic averaging theorem for stochastic differential equations in which the slow and the fast variables interact. The approximate Markov fast motion is a family of Markov process with generator ${\mathcal L}_x$ for which we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-19 Xue-Mei Li

Bayesian network models with latent variables are widely used in statistics and machine learning. In this paper we provide a complete algebraic characterization of Bayesian network models with latent variables when the observed variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Robin J. Evans

Linear structural equation models are multivariate statistical models encoded by mixed graphs. In particular, the set of covariance matrices for distributions belonging to a linear structural equation model for a fixed mixed graph $G=(V,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Bibhas Adhikari , Elizabeth Gross , Marc Härkönen , Elias Tsigaridas

Monads play an important role in both the syntax and semantics of modern functional programming languages. The problem of combining them has been of profound interest at least since the 90s, and different approaches have been employed to…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-29 Lorenzo Perticone

Kernel density estimation is a widely used nonparametric approach to estimate an unknown distribution. Recent work in Bayesian predictive inference has considered stochastic processes formed by specifying the predictive distribution for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Torey Hilbert

Motivated by a recently established result saying that within the class of bivariate Archimedean copulas standard pointwise convergence implies weak convergence of almost all conditional distributions this contribution studies the class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Thimo M. Kasper , Nicolas Dietrich , Wolfgang Trutschnig

In this paper, a model is proposed for the kernel in the generalized mixing rule recently formulated by Anderssen and Mead (1998). In order to derive such a model, it is necessary to take account of the rheological significance of the…

Materials Science · Physics 2009-10-31 Wolfgang Thimm , Christian Friedrich , Tobias Roths , Josef Honerkamp

We elucidate the mathematical structure of Bayesian filtering, and Bayesian inference more broadly, by applying recent work on category theoretical probability, specifically the concept of a strongly representable Markov category. We show…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-15 Nathaniel Virgo

Sampling from the conditional (or posterior) probability distribution of the latent states of a Hidden Markov Model, given the realization of the observed process, is a non-trivial problem in the context of Markov Chain Monte Carlo. To do…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-29 Sumeetpal S. Singh , Fredrik Lindsten , Eric Moulines

Understanding and predicting how complex systems respond to external perturbations is a central challenge in nonequilibrium statistical physics. Here we consider continuous-time Markov networks, which we subject to perturbations along a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-25 Robin Bebon , Thomas Speck

Modern Bayesian optimization and adaptive sampling methods increasingly rely on nonlinear parametric models, yet theoretical guarantees for such models under adaptive data collection remain limited. Existing analyses largely focus on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Rafael Oliveira

Despite the ubiquity of kernel-based clustering, surprisingly few statistical guarantees exist beyond settings that consider strong structural assumptions on the data generation process. In this work, we take a step towards bridging this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Leena Chennuru Vankadara , Sebastian Bordt , Ulrike von Luxburg , Debarghya Ghoshdastidar