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Related papers: Uncertainty-Aware Flexibility of Buildings: From Q…

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Large-scale integration of intermittent renewable energy sources calls for substantial demand side flexibility. Given that the built environment accounts for approximately 40% of total energy consumption in EU, unlocking its flexibility is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-23 Gargya Gokhale , Bert Claessens , Chris Develder

The advent of fabrication techniques such as additive manufacturing has focused attention on the considerable variability of material response due to defects and other microstructural aspects. This variability motivates the development of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-26 Francesco Rizzi , Mohammad Khalil , Reese E. Jones , Jeremy A. Templeton , Jakob T. Ostien , Brad L. Boyce

Uncertainty quantification is a critical aspect of machine learning models, providing important insights into the reliability of predictions and aiding the decision-making process in real-world applications. This paper proposes a novel way…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Yusuf Sale , Paul Hofman , Lisa Wimmer , Eyke Hüllermeier , Thomas Nagler

Inverse design is a central goal in much of science and engineering, including frequency-selective surfaces (FSS) that are critical to microelectronics for telecommunications and optical metamaterials. Traditional surrogate-assisted…

Portable computing devices, which include tablets, smart phones and various types of wearable sensors, experienced a rapid development in recent years. One of the most critical limitations for these devices is the power consumption as they…

Hardware Architecture · Computer Science 2017-02-16 Rhonda P. Zhang

We present a general framework for uncertainty quantification that is a mosaic of interconnected models. We define global first and second order structural and correlative sensitivity analyses for random counting measures acting on risk…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Caleb Deen Bastian , Herschel Rabitz

It is necessary to estimate the expected energy usage of a building to determine how to reduce energy usage. The expected energy usage of a building can be reliably simulated using a Building Energy Model (BEM). Many of the numerous input…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Arpan Mukherjee , Anna Kuechle Szweda , Andrew Alegria , Rahul Rai , Tarunraj Singh

In hydrology, modeling streamflow remains a challenging task due to the limited availability of basin characteristics information such as soil geology and geomorphology. These characteristics may be noisy due to measurement errors or may be…

The uncertainty quantification of prediction models (e.g., neural networks) is crucial for their adoption in many robotics applications. This is arguably as important as making accurate predictions, especially for safety-critical…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Junan Chen , Josephine Monica , Wei-Lun Chao , Mark Campbell

Climate projection uncertainty can be partitioned into model uncertainty, scenario uncertainty and internal variability. Here, we investigate the different sources of uncertainty in the projected frequencies of daily maximum temperature and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-18 Mackenzie L. Blanusa , Carla J. López-Zurita , Stephan Rasp

Given the advancements in data-driven modeling for complex engineering and scientific applications, this work utilizes a data-driven predictive control method, namely subspace predictive control, to coordinate hybrid power plant components…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-20 Manavendra Desai , Himanshu Sharma , Sayak Mukherjee , Sonja Glavaski

Modern data-driven applications that make real-time decisions increasingly depend on advanced sensors which use pre-stored calibration data. In such applications, accurate characterization of sensor output uncertainty is important for…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-09 Orestis Kaparounakis , Phillip Stanley-Marbell

Motivated by the increasing need to hedge against load and generation uncertainty in the operation of power grids, we propose flexibility maximization during operation. We consider flexibility explicitly as the amount of uncertainty that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-27 Aron Zingler , Stephane Fliscounakis , Patrick Panciatici , Alexander Mitsos

We present a computational framework for analyzing and quantifying system flexibility. Our framework incorporates new features that include: general uncertainty characterizations that are constructed using composition of sets, procedures…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-25 Joshua L. Pulsipher , Daniel Rios , Victor M. Zavala

The uncertainty quantifications of theoretical results are of great importance to make meaningful comparisons of those results with experimental data and to make predictions in experimentally unknown regions. By quantifying uncertainties,…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-12-10 Sota Yoshida , Noritaka Shimizu , Tomoaki Togashi , Takaharu Otsuka

The integration of photovoltaic (PV) generation and electric vehicle (EV) charging introduces significant uncertainty in electricity consumption patterns, particularly at the distribution level. This paper presents a comparative study for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-19 Aiko Fias , Md Umar Hashmi , Geert Deconinck

The rapid expansion of data center infrastructure is reshaping power system dynamics by significantly increasing electricity demand while also offering potential for fast and controllable flexibility. To ensure reliable operation under such…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-02 Pengyu Ren , Wei Sun , Yifan Wang , Gareth Harrison

Artificial intelligence (AI)-based data-driven weather forecasting models have experienced rapid progress over the last years. Recent studies, with models trained on reanalysis data, achieve impressive results and demonstrate substantial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-02 Christopher Bülte , Nina Horat , Julian Quinting , Sebastian Lerch

Because of increasing amounts of intermittent and distributed generators in power systems, many demand response programs have been developed to schedule flexible energy consumption. However, proper benchmarks for comparing these methods are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-19 Koos van der Linden , Natalia Romero , Mathijs M. de Weerdt

This paper proposes an agent-based model that combines both spot and balancing electricity markets. From this model, we develop a multi-agent simulation to study the integration of the consumers' flexibility into the system. Our study…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-02-13 Florian Kühnlenz , Pedro H. J. Nardelli , Santtu Karhinen , Rauli Svento