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We propose an computational framework for real-time risk assessment and prioritizing for random outcomes without prior information on probability distributions. The basic model is built based on satisficing measure (SM) which yields a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-03 Wenjie Huang

We develop a novel procedure for estimating the optimizer of general convex stochastic optimization problems of the form $\min_{x\in\mathcal{X}} \mathbb{E}[F(x,\xi)]$, when the given data is a finite independent sample selected according to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-26 Daniel Bartl , Shahar Mendelson

We consider the problem of static assortment optimization, where the goal is to find the assortment of size at most $C$ that maximizes revenues. This is a fundamental decision problem in the area of Operations Management. It has been shown…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-19 Vivek Farias , Srikanth Jagabathula , Devavrat Shah

This paper presents how the most recent improvements made on covariance matrix estimation and model order selection can be applied to the portfolio optimisation problem. The particular case of the Maximum Variety Portfolio is treated but…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-03 Emmanuelle Jay , Eugénie Terreaux , Jean-Philippe Ovarlez , Frédéric Pascal

Efficient sampling from constraint manifolds, and thereby generating a diverse set of solutions for feasibility problems, is a fundamental challenge. We consider the case where a problem is factored, that is, the underlying nonlinear…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Joaquim Ortiz-Haro , Valentin N. Hartmann , Ozgur S. Oguz , Marc Toussaint

The performance of the Monte Carlo sampling methods relies on the crucial choice of a proposal density. The notion of optimality is fundamental to design suitable adaptive procedures of the proposal density within Monte Carlo schemes. This…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-24 Fernando Llorente , Luca Martino

In this paper, we present the Monte-Carlo Compressive Optimization algorithm, a new method to solve a combinatorial optimization problem that is assumed compressible. The method relies on random queries to the objective function in order to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-30 Baptiste Chevalier , Shimpei Yamaguchi , Wojciech Roga , Masahiro Takeoka

We investigate in this paper an alternative method to simulation based recursive importance sampling procedure to estimate the optimal change of measure for Monte Carlo simulations. We propose an algorithm which combines (vector and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-20 Noufel Frikha , Abass Sagna

We explore the performance of sample average approximation in comparison with several other methods for stochastic optimization when there is information available on the underlying true probability distribution. The methods we evaluate are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-22 Eddie Anderson , Harrison Nguyen

Optimization software enables the solution of problems with millions of variables and associated parameters. These parameters are, however, often uncertain and represented with an analytical description of the parameter's distribution or…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-17 John R. Birge

The estimation of normalizing constants is a fundamental step in probabilistic model comparison. Sequential Monte Carlo methods may be used for this task and have the advantage of being inherently parallelizable. However, the standard…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-16 Marco Fraccaro , Ulrich Paquet , Ole Winther

Improving efficiency of importance sampler is at the center of research in Monte Carlo methods. While adaptive approach is usually difficult within the Markov Chain Monte Carlo framework, the counterpart in importance sampling can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-12-11 Heng Lian

The problem of optimising functions with intractable gradients frequently arise in machine learning and statistics, ranging from maximum marginal likelihood estimation procedures to fine-tuning of generative models. Stochastic approximation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-30 James Cuin , Davide Carbone , Yanbo Tang , O. Deniz Akyildiz

Randomized smoothing has emerged as a potent certifiable defense against adversarial attacks by employing smoothing noises from specific distributions to ensure the robustness of a smoothed classifier. However, the utilization of Monte…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Devansh Bhardwaj , Kshitiz Kaushik , Sarthak Gupta

We consider an assortment optimization problem under the multinomial logit choice model with general covering constraints. In this problem, the seller offers an assortment that should contain a minimum number of products from multiple…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-06 Omar El Housni , Qing Feng , Huseyin Topaloglu

Assortment optimization refers to the problem of designing a slate of products to offer potential customers, such as stocking the shelves in a convenience store. The price of each product is fixed in advance, and a probabilistic choice…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-11-09 Nicole Immorlica , Brendan Lucier , Jieming Mao , Vasilis Syrgkanis , Christos Tzamos

We introduce AlphaRank, an artificial intelligence approach to address the fixed-budget ranking and selection (R&S) problems. We formulate the sequential sampling decision as a Markov decision process and propose a Monte Carlo…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-05 Ruihan Zhou , L. Jeff Hong , Yijie Peng

In this paper, we aim to compute numerical approximation integral by using an adaptive Monte Carlo algorithm. We propose a stratified sampling algorithm based on an iterative method which splits the strata following some quantities called…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Toni Sayah

In this paper, we study the assortment optimization problem under the mixed-logit customer choice model. While assortment optimization has been a major topic in revenue management for decades, the mixed-logit model is considered one of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-29 Hoang Giang Pham , Tien Mai

Stochastic approximation Monte Carlo (SAMC) has recently been proposed by Liang, Liu and Carroll [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 102 (2007) 305--320] as a general simulation and optimization algorithm. In this paper, we propose to improve its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Faming Liang