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Large Language Models (LLMs) excel at single-turn tasks such as instruction following and summarization, yet real-world deployments require sustained multi-turn interactions where user goals and conversational context persist and evolve. A…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Vardhan Dongre , Ryan A. Rossi , Viet Dac Lai , David Seunghyun Yoon , Dilek Hakkani-Tür , Trung Bui

In the era of increasingly complex AI models for time series forecasting, progress is often measured by marginal improvements on benchmark leaderboards. However, this approach suffers from a fundamental flaw: standard evaluation metrics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Wanjin Feng , Yuan Yuan , Jingtao Ding , Yong Li

Adversarial robustness remains a critical challenge in deploying neural network classifiers, particularly in real-time systems where ground-truth labels are unavailable during inference. This paper investigates \textit{Volatility in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Vahid Hemmati , Ahmad Mohammadi , Abdul-Rauf Nuhu , Reza Ahmari , Parham Kebria , Abdollah Homaifar

Large language models, LLMs, are increasingly deployed in multiturn settings where earlier responses shape later ones, making reliability dependent on whether a conversation remains consistent over time. When this consistency degrades…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Wael Hafez , Amir Nazeri

Transfer learning followed by fine-tuning is widely adopted in medical image classification due to consistent gains in diagnostic performance. However, in multi-class settings with overlapping visual features, improvements in accuracy do…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Kabilan Elangovan , Daniel Ting

Large Language Models (LLMs) have significantly advanced sentiment analysis, yet their inherent uncertainty and variability pose critical challenges to achieving reliable and consistent outcomes. This paper systematically explores the Model…

Recent works have increasingly applied Large Language Models (LLMs) as agents in financial stock market simulations to test if micro-level behaviors aggregate into macro-level phenomena. However, a crucial question arises: Do LLM agents'…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-25 Zeping Li , Guancheng Wan , Keyang Chen , Yu Chen , Yiwen Zhao , Philip Torr , Guangnan Ye , Zhenfei Yin , Hongfeng Chai

Large language models are widely adopted as automated evaluation judges, yet the stability of their verdicts under semantically equivalent prompt rephrasings remains largely unexamined. We conduct a systematic empirical study of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Rohith Reddy Bellibatlu , Edward Raff , Wenbin Zhang

Deploying LLMs raises two coupled challenges: (1) monitoring--estimating where a model underperforms as traffic and domains drift--and (2) improvement--prioritizing data acquisition to close the largest performance gaps. We test whether an…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Pedro Memoli Buffa , Luciano Del Corro

As attribution-based explanation methods are increasingly used to establish model trustworthiness in high-stakes situations, it is critical to ensure that these explanations are stable, e.g., robust to infinitesimal perturbations to an…

Reference-free image-to-text evaluators are now standard for scoring image-caption alignment, yet it is unclear whether they respect semantic invariances. We present an invariance probe on five popular evaluators (CLIPScore, PAC-S, UMIC,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Amit Agarwal , Hitesh Laxmichand Patel , Meizhu Liu , Jyotika Singh , Karan Dua , Hansa Meghwani , Matthew Rowe , Michael Avendi , Yassi Abbasi , Tao Sheng , Sujith Ravi , Dan Roth

Norms of Persistent Homology introduced in topological data analysis are seen as indicators of system instability, analogous to the changing predictability that is captured in financial market uncertainty indexes. This paper demonstrates…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-04 Simon Rudkin , Wanling Qiu , Pawel Dlotko

The paper proposes a method of financial time series forecasting taking into account the semantics of news. For the semantic analysis of financial news the sampling of negative and positive words in economic sense was formed based on…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-25 Kateryna Kononova , Anton Dek

Multimodal Sentiment Analysis (MSA) fuses text, acoustic, and visual streams to infer sentiment. Because pre-trained text encoders are far more expressive than their acoustic and visual counterparts, the text modality tends to dominate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Jianheng Dai , Jiazhang Liang , Sijie Mai

This paper provides robust, new evidence on the causal drivers of market troughs. We demonstrate that conclusions about these triggers are critically sensitive to model specification, moving beyond restrictive linear models with a flexible…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-09 Peilin Rao , Randall R. Rojas

This paper investigates Large Language Models (LLMs) ability to assess the economic soundness and theoretical consistency of empirical findings in spatial econometrics. We created original and deliberately altered "counterfactual" summaries…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Giuseppe Arbia , Luca Morandini , Vincenzo Nardelli

A Bayesian analytics framework that precisely quantifies uncertainty offers a significant advance for financial risk management. We develop an integrated approach that consistently enhances the handling of risk in market volatility…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-19 Sharif Al Mamun , Rakib Hossain , Md. Jobayer Rahman , Malay Kumar Devnath , Farhana Afroz , Lisan Al Amin

Transformer LMs show emergent reasoning that resists mechanistic understanding. We offer a statistical physics framework for continuous-time chain-of-thought reasoning dynamics. We model sentence-level hidden state trajectories as a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Jack David Carson , Amir Reisizadeh

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed for autonomous financial trading, a domain requiring continuous adaptation to noisy, non-stationary markets. Existing self-improving agents typically address this through unbounded…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Xiwen Chen , Wenhui Zhu , Songzhu Zheng , Kashif Rasul , Yueyue Deng , Huayu Li

Existing financial NLP benchmarks often rely on labels supplied by outside observers, measuring how language is perceived rather than what speakers have committed to in the market. We introduce StakeBench, an evaluation framework for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Yunhua Pei , Jingyu Hu , Yiwei Shi , Hongnan Ma , Weiru Liu , John Cartlidge
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