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Although various polytomous item response models are considered to be ordinal models there seems no general definition of an ordinal model available. Alternative concepts of ordinal models are discussed and it is shown that they coincide…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-19 Gerhard Tutz

This paper proposes probabilistic conformal prediction (PCP), a predictive inference algorithm that estimates a target variable by a discontinuous predictive set. Given inputs, PCP construct the predictive set based on random samples from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Zhendong Wang , Ruijiang Gao , Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou , David M. Blei

We show how the problem of estimating conditional Kendall's tau can be rewritten as a classification task. Conditional Kendall's tau is a conditional dependence parameter that is a characteristic of a given pair of random variables. The…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-27 Alexis Derumigny , Jean-David Fermanian

Credal sets are sets of probability distributions that are considered as candidates for an imprecisely known ground-truth distribution. In machine learning, they have recently attracted attention as an appealing formalism for uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-19 Alireza Javanmardi , David Stutz , Eyke Hüllermeier

We propose a unified framework for likelihood-based regression modeling when the response variable has finite support. Our work is motivated by the fact that, in practice, observed data are discrete and bounded. The proposed methods assume…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

We analyze combinatorial optimization problems with ordinal, i.e., non-additive, objective functions that assign categories (like good, medium and bad) rather than cost coefficients to the elements of feasible solutions. We review different…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-06 Kathrin Klamroth , Michael Stiglmayr , Julia Sudhoff

The problem of inferring the direct causal parents of a response variable among a large set of explanatory variables is of high practical importance in many disciplines. Recent work exploits stability of regression coefficients or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-07 Anant Raj , Luigi Gresele , Michel Besserve , Bernhard Schölkopf , Stefan Bauer

A novel ordinal regression algorithm, called moving window regression (MWR), is proposed in this paper. First, we propose the notion of relative rank ($\rho$-rank), which is a new order representation scheme for input and reference…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Nyeong-Ho Shin , Seon-Ho Lee , Chang-Su Kim

Growing-dimensional data with likelihood unavailable are often encountered in various fields. This paper presents a penalized exponentially tilted likelihood (PETL) for variable selection and parameter estimation for growing dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-09 Nian-Sheng Tang , Xiao-Dong Yan , Pu-Ying Zhao

Time series forecasting is ubiquitous in the modern world. Applications range from health care to astronomy, and include climate modelling, financial trading and monitoring of critical engineering equipment. To offer value over this range…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-26 Bernardo Pérez Orozco , Gabriele Abbati , Stephen Roberts

In this paper we propose a multivariate ordinal regression model which allows the joint modeling of three-dimensional panel data containing both repeated and multiple measurements for a collection of subjects. This is achieved by a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-02 Laura Vana-Gür

The need to condition distributional properties such as expectation, variance, and entropy arises in algorithmic fairness, model simplification, robustness and many other areas. At face value however, distributional properties are not…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Zenna Tavares , Xin Zhang , Edgar Minaysan , Javier Burroni , Rajesh Ranganath , Armando Solar Lezama

Causal dynamics models (CDMs) have demonstrated significant potential in addressing various challenges in reinforcement learning. To learn CDMs, recent studies have performed causal discovery to capture the causal dependencies among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Zhongwei Yu , Jingqing Ruan , Dengpeng Xing

Compared to the nominal scale, the ordinal scale for a categorical outcome variable has the property of making a monotonicity assumption for the covariate effects meaningful. This assumption is encoded in the commonly used proportional odds…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-04 Olli Saarela , Christian Rohrbeck , Elja Arjas

Mechanistic dynamic models of biochemical networks such as Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) contain unknown parameters like the reaction rate constants and the initial concentrations of the compounds. The large number of parameters as…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-08-14 Clemens Kreutz , Andreas Raue , Jens Timmer

Work in machine learning and statistics commonly focuses on building models that capture the vast majority of data, possibly ignoring a segment of the population as outliers. However, there does not often exist a good model on the whole…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-11 Diego Calderon , Brendan Juba , Sirui Li , Zongyi Li , Lisa Ruan

When performing regression or classification, we are interested in the conditional probability distribution for an outcome or class variable Y given a set of explanatoryor input variables X. We consider Bayesian models for this task. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-08 David Heckerman , Christopher Meek

The unit selection problem aims to identify a set of individuals who are most likely to exhibit a desired mode of behavior, for example, selecting individuals who would respond one way if encouraged and a different way if not encouraged.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Ang Li , Judea Pearl

We propose a new constrained-optimization formulation for deep ordinal classification, in which uni-modality of the label distribution is enforced implicitly via a set of inequality constraints over all the pairs of adjacent labels. Based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Soufiane Belharbi , Ismail Ben Ayed , Luke McCaffrey , Eric Granger

Likelihood-based inferences have been remarkably successful in wide-spanning application areas. However, even after due diligence in selecting a good model for the data at hand, there is inevitably some amount of model misspecification:…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-12 Miheer Dewaskar , Christopher Tosh , Jeremias Knoblauch , David B. Dunson