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Image ordinal estimation is to predict the ordinal label of a given image, which can be categorized as an ordinal regression problem. Recent methods formulate an ordinal regression problem as a series of binary classification problems. Such…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Haiping Zhu , Hongming Shan , Yuheng Zhang , Lingfu Che , Xiaoyang Xu , Junping Zhang , Jianbo Shi , Fei-Yue Wang

Probability distributions produced by the cross-entropy loss for ordinal classification problems can possess undesired properties. We propose a straightforward technique to constrain discrete ordinal probability distributions to be unimodal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-23 Christopher Beckham , Christopher Pal

For the estimation of cumulative link models for ordinal data, the bias-reducing adjusted score equations in \citet{firth:93} are obtained, whose solution ensures an estimator with smaller asymptotic bias than the maximum likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis

We introduce a flexible parametric mixed effects model for correlated binary data, with parameters that can be directly interpreted as marginal odds ratios. This leads to a robust estimation equation with an optimal weighting matrix being…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-01 Rui Zhang , Kwun Chuen Gary Chan

Logistic regression is one of the most popular methods in binary classification, wherein estimation of model parameters is carried out by solving the maximum likelihood (ML) optimization problem, and the ML estimator is defined to be the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-23 Robert M. Freund , Paul Grigas , Rahul Mazumder

We present a multidimensional data analysis framework for the analysis of ordinal response variables. Underlying the ordinal variables, we assume a continuous latent variable, leading to cumulative logit models. The framework includes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-01 Mark de Rooij , Ligaya Breemer , Dion Woestenburg , Frank Busing

In this paper, we introduce directional feedback in the ordinal regression setting, in which the learner receives feedback on whether the predicted label is on the left or the right side of the actual label. This is a weak supervision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Naresh Manwani , M Elamparithy , Tanish Taneja

Predictions in the form of sets of probability distributions, so-called credal sets, provide a suitable means to represent a learner's epistemic uncertainty. In this paper, we propose a theoretically grounded approach to credal prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-16 Timo Löhr , Paul Hofman , Felix Mohr , Eyke Hüllermeier

Ordinal outcomes are common in clinical settings where they often represent increasing levels of disease progression or different levels of functional impairment. Such outcomes can characterize differences in meaningful patient health…

Despite the pervasiveness of ordinal labels in supervised learning, it remains common practice in deep learning to treat such problems as categorical classification using the categorical cross entropy loss. Recent methods attempting to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-04 Garrett Jenkinson , Gavin R. Oliver , Kia Khezeli , John Kalantari , Eric W. Klee

We consider ordered logit models for directed network data that allow for flexible sender and receiver fixed effects that can vary arbitrarily across outcome categories. This structure poses a significant incidental parameter problem,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-23 Chris Muris , Cavit Pakel , Qichen Zhang

Ordinal regression predicts the objects' labels that exhibit a natural ordering, which is important to many managerial problems such as credit scoring and clinical diagnosis. In these problems, the ability to explain how the attributes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-15 Mengzhuo Guo , Zhongzhi Xu , Qingpeng Zhang , Xiuwu Liao , Jiapeng Liu

Regression problems are traditionally analyzed via univariate characteristics like the regression function, scale function and marginal density of regression errors. These characteristics are useful and informative whenever the association…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Sam Efromovich

Conformal prediction (CP) for regression can be challenging, especially when the output distribution is heteroscedastic, multimodal, or skewed. Some of the issues can be addressed by estimating a distribution over the output, but in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Etash Guha , Shlok Natarajan , Thomas Möllenhoff , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Eugene Ndiaye

The goal of Ordinal Regression is to find a rule that ranks items from a given set. Several learning algorithms to solve this prediction problem build an ensemble of binary classifiers. Ranking by Projecting uses interdependent binary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-27 Ruy Luiz Milidiú , Rafael Henrique Santos Rocha

We analyze the ordinal structure of long-range dependent time series. To this end, we use so called ordinal patterns which describe the relative position of consecutive data points. We provide two estimators for the probabilities of ordinal…

Training classifiers is difficult with severe class imbalance, but many rare events are the culmination of a sequence with much more common intermediate outcomes. For example, in online marketing a user first sees an ad, then may click on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-31 Gregory Faletto , Jacob Bien

Prognostics or Remaining Useful Life (RUL) Estimation from multi-sensor time series data is useful to enable condition-based maintenance and ensure high operational availability of equipment. We propose a novel deep learning based approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Vishnu TV , Diksha , Pankaj Malhotra , Lovekesh Vig , Gautam Shroff

We present a bivariate vector valued discrete autoregressive model of order $1$ (BDAR($1$)) for discrete time series. The BDAR($1$) model assumes that each time series follows its own univariate DAR($1$) model with dependent random…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Anna Nalpantidi , Dimitris Karlis

Conditional density estimation (CDE) models can be useful for many statistical applications, especially because the full conditional density is estimated instead of traditional regression point estimates, revealing more information about…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-12 Alex Akira Okuno , Felipe Maia Polo