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Leadership in social groups is often a dynamic characteristic that emerges from interactions and opinion exchange. Empirical evidence suggests that individuals with strong opinions tend to gain influence, at the same time maintaining…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-26 Martina Alutto , Lorenzo Zino , Karl H. Johansson , Angela Fontan

An ability to predict the popularity dynamics of individual items within a complex evolving system has important implications in a wide range of domains. Here we propose a deep learning attention mechanism to model the process through which…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Sha Yuan , Yu Zhang , Jie Tang , Huawei Shen , Xingxing Wei

Networks are landmarks of many complex phenomena where interweaving interactions between different agents transform simple local rule-sets into nonlinear emergent behaviors. While some recent studies unveil associations between the network…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Ali Tavasoli , Teague Henry , Heman Shakeri

We introduce a probabilistic pairwise \emph{attraction--repulsion} model for opinion dynamics on multilayer social networks, in which agents hold layer-specific states and interact through random matchings that couple multiple, time-varying…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Hsin-Lun Li

This study presents a dynamic Bayesian network framework that facilitates intuitive gradual edge changes. We use two conditional dynamics to model the edge addition and deletion, and edge selection separately. Unlike previous research that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-08 Lupe S. H. Chan , Amanda M. Y. Chu , Mike K. P. So

The Linear Threshold Model is a widely used model that describes how information diffuses through a social network. According to this model, an individual adopts an idea or product after the proportion of their neighbors who have adopted it…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-01-28 Christopher Tran , Elena Zheleva

The premise of this paper is the following value proposition: Models are good when they describe a system of phenomena, and they are better when they can predict the effect of interventions upon the system. We introduce a formalism by which…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-13 Vincent Wang

Drug resistance and strong contacts actually play crucial roles in epidemic spread in complex systems. Nevertheless, neither theoretical model or methodology is proposed to address this. We thus consider an edge-based epidemic spread model…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-13 Peng-Bi Cui , Lei Gao , Wei Wang

This paper presents a data-driven mean-field approach to model the popularity dynamics of users seeking public attention, i.e., influencers. We propose a novel analytical model that integrates individual activity patterns, expertise in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Franco Galante , Chiara Ravazzi , Luca Vassio , Michele Garetto , Emilio Leonardi

The advent and proliferation of social media have led to the development of mathematical models describing the evolution of beliefs/opinions in an ecosystem composed of socially interacting users. The goal is to gain insights into…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-10-04 Alessandro Nordio , Alberto Tarable , Carla Fabiana Chiasserini , Emilio Leonardi

Empirical data on the dynamics of human face-to-face interactions across a variety of social venues have recently revealed a number of context-independent structural and temporal properties of human contact networks. This universality…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-13 Michele Starnini , Andrea Baronchelli , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

We consider a nonlinear dynamical system on a signed graph, which can be interpreted as a mathematical model of social networks in which the links can have both positive and negative connotations. In accordance with a concept from social…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Tyler H. Summers , Iman Shames

Data imputation and data generation have important applications for many domains, like healthcare and finance, where incomplete or missing data can hinder accurate analysis and decision-making. Diffusion models have emerged as powerful…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Mario Villaizán-Vallelado , Matteo Salvatori , Carlos Segura , Ioannis Arapakis

Diffusion of information, behavioral patterns or innovations follows diverse pathways depending on a number of conditions, including the structure of the underlying social network, the sensitivity to peer pressure and the influence of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-11-25 Zhongyuan Ruan , Gerardo Iniguez , Marton Karsai , Janos Kertesz

Models of how things spread often assume that transmission mechanisms are fixed over time. However, social contagions--the spread of ideas, beliefs, innovations--can lose or gain in momentum as they spread: ideas can get reinforced, beliefs…

Understanding the behaviors of information propagation is essential for the effective exploitation of social influence in social networks. However, few existing influence models are both tractable and efficient for describing the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-09-11 Biao Xiang , Enhong Chen , Qi Liu , Hui Xiong

Based on empirical evidences and previous studies, we introduce and mathematically study a perception-driven model for the dynamics of buyer populations in markets of perishable goods. Buyer behaviours are driven partly by some loyalty to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-07-23 Ali Ellouze , Bastien Fernandez

The dynamics of competing opinions in social network play an important role in society, with many applications in diverse social contexts as consensus, elections, morality and so on. Here we study a model of interacting agents connected in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-29 Antonio Mihara , Anderson A. Ferreira , André C. R. Martins , Fernando F. Ferreira

We consider the competition of two mechanisms for adoption processes: a so-called complex threshold dynamics and a simple Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model. Separately, these mechanisms lead, respectively, to first order and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-14 Agnieszka Czaplicka , Raul Toral , Maxi San Miguel

Threshold-driven models and game theory are two fundamental paradigms for describing human interactions in social systems. However, in mimicking social contagion processes, models that simultaneously incorporate these two mechanisms have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-22 Xincheng Shu , Man Yang , Zhongyuan Ruan , Qi Xuan