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We address a classical problem in statistics: adding two-way interaction terms to a regression model. As the covariate dimension increases quadratically, we develop an estimator that adapts well to this increase, while providing accurate…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 Mark A. van de Wiel , Matteo Amestoy , Jeroen Hoogland

Penalized likelihood approaches are widely used for high-dimensional regression. Although many methods have been proposed and the associated theory is now well-developed, the relative efficacy of different approaches in finite-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-29 Fan Wang , Sach Mukherjee , Sylvia Richardson , Steven M. Hill

Persuasion studies how a principal can influence agents' decisions via strategic information revelation --- often described as a signaling scheme --- in order to yield the most desirable equilibrium outcome. Recently, there has been a large…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Haifeng Xu

In the fight against hard-to-treat diseases such as cancer, it is often difficult to discover new treatments that benefit all subjects. For regulatory agency approval, it is more practical to identify subgroups of subjects for whom the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-09 Wei-Yin Loh , Xu He , Michael Man

The threshold model has been widely adopted as a classic model for studying contagion processes on social networks. We consider asymmetric individual interactions in social networks and introduce a persuasion mechanism into the threshold…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-17 Wei-Min Huang , Li-Jie Zhang , Xin-Jian Xu , Xinchu Fu

We address the setting of Proxy Causal Learning (PCL), which has the goal of estimating causal effects from observed data in the presence of hidden confounding. Proxy methods accomplish this task using two proxy variables related to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Bariscan Bozkurt , Ben Deaner , Dimitri Meunier , Liyuan Xu , Arthur Gretton

Respondent-driven sampling (RDS) is a commonly used substitute for random sampling when studying hidden populations, such as injecting drug users or men who have sex with men, for which no sampling frame is known. The method is an extension…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-01 Xin Lu , Jens Malmros , Fredrik Liljeros , Tom Britton

Because of the advance in technologies, modern statistical studies often encounter linear models with the number of explanatory variables much larger than the sample size. Estimation and variable selection in these high-dimensional problems…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-06 Jun Shao , Xinwei Deng

For many students, placement into developmental education becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. Placing college students into developmental education significantly negatively impacts student attainment, student probability of passing, and…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-07 Jason Godfrey

Applied macroeconomists often compute confidence intervals for impulse responses using local projections, i.e., direct linear regressions of future outcomes on current covariates. This paper proves that local projection inference robustly…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-15 José Luis Montiel Olea , Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

We consider the problem of online active learning to collect data for regression modeling. Specifically, we consider a decision maker with a limited experimentation budget who must efficiently learn an underlying linear population model.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-22 Carlos Riquelme , Ramesh Johari , Baosen Zhang

We study regression discontinuity designs with the use of additional covariates for estimation of the average treatment effect. We provide a detailed proof of asymptotic normality of the covariate-adjusted estimator under minimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-16 Patrick Kramer , Alexander Kreiß

Estimating causal effects from observational data informs us about which factors are important in an autonomous system, and enables us to take better decisions. This is important because it has applications in selecting a treatment in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Plabon Shaha , Talha Islam Zadid , Ismat Rahman , Md. Mosaddek Khan

High-dimensional sparse modeling via regularization provides a powerful tool for analyzing large-scale data sets and obtaining meaningful, interpretable models. The use of nonconvex penalty functions shows advantage in selecting important…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-12 Zemin Zheng , Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv

Safe reinforcement learning (RL) is a standard paradigm for safety-critical decision making. However, real-world safety constraints can be complex, subjective, and even hard to explicitly specify. Existing works on constraint inference rely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Chenglin Li , Grant Ruan , Hua Geng

Propensity score trimming, which discards subjects with propensity scores below a threshold, is a common way to address positivity violations that complicate causal effect estimation. However, most works on trimming assume treatment is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-31 Zach Branson , Edward H. Kennedy , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

We study finite-state communication games in which the sender's preference is perturbed by random private idiosyncrasies. Persuasion is generically impossible within the class of statistically independent sender/receiver preferences --…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-22 Alistair Barton

This paper concerns robust inference on average treatment effects following model selection. In the selection on observables framework, we show how to construct confidence intervals based on a doubly-robust estimator that are robust to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-13 Max H. Farrell

Marginal structural models fit via inverse probability of treatment weighting are commonly used to control for confounding when estimating causal effects from observational data. When planning a study that will be analyzed with marginal…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-16 Bonnie E. Shook-Sa , Michael G. Hudgens

A regression method for proportional, or fractional, data with mixed effects is outlined, designed for analysis of datasets in which the outcomes have substantial weight at the bounds. In such cases a normal approximation is particularly…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-23 Colman Humphrey , Dan Swingley