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Spatial fields in the Earth and environmental sciences are often available at multiple scales or resolutions. While coarse-scale data (e.g., from global circulation models) are often abundant, they lack the local detail provided by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Alejandro Calle-Saldarriaga , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

A deterministic multiscale toy model is studied in which a chaotic fast subsystem triggers rare transitions between slow regimes, akin to weather or climate regimes. Using homogenization techniques, a reduced stochastic parametrization…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-04-11 Lewis Mitchell , Georg A. Gottwald

Constitutive models play a crucial role in materials science as they describe the behavior of the materials in mathematical forms. Over the last few decades, the rapid development of manufacturing technologies have led to the discovery of…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-10-17 Xinxin Wu , Yin Zhang , Sheng Mao

The concept of stochastic Lagrangian and its use in statistical dynamics is illustrated theoretically, and with some examples. Dynamical variables undergoing stochastic differential equations are stochastic processes themselves, and their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-03-18 Massimo Materassi

Accurate assessment of anthropogenic climate change relies on historical instrumental data, yet observations from the early 20th century are sparse, fragmented, and uncertain. Conventional reconstructions rely on disparate statistical…

Generative modeling builds on and substantially advances the classical idea of simulating synthetic data from observed samples. This paper shows that this principle is not only natural but also theoretically well-founded for bootstrap…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Leon Tran , Ting Ye , Peng Ding , Fang Han

We introduce Autoregressive Graphical Models (AGMs) as an Ansatz for modeling the ground states of stoquastic Hamiltonians. Exact learning of these models for smaller systems show the dominance of the pairwise terms in the autoregressive…

Physics-integrated generative modeling is a class of hybrid or grey-box modeling in which we augment the the data-driven model with the physics knowledge governing the data distribution. The use of physics knowledge allows the generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-19 Sheikh Waqas Akhtar

Monte Carlo simulations are a crucial component when analysing the Standard Model and New physics processes at the Large Hadron Collider. This paper aims to explore the performance of generative models for complementing the statistics of…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-07-22 Jan Gavranovič , Borut Paul Kerševan

In dynamical systems characterized by separation of time scales, the approximation of so called ``slow manifolds'', on which the long term dynamics lie, is a useful step for model reduction. Initializing on such slow manifolds is a useful…

Many data-driven decision problems are formulated using a nominal distribution estimated from historical data, while performance is ultimately determined by a deployment distribution that may be shifted, context-dependent, partially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Xiuyuan Cheng , Yunqin Zhu , Yao Xie

The rise of generative models for scientific research calls for the development of new methods to evaluate their fidelity. A natural framework for addressing this problem is two-sample hypothesis testing, namely the task of determining…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-05 Samuele Grossi , Marco Letizia , Riccardo Torre

Given a visual history, multiple future outcomes for a video scene are equally probable, in other words, the distribution of future outcomes has multiple modes. Multimodality is notoriously hard to handle by standard regressors or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-05-08 Katerina Fragkiadaki , Jonathan Huang , Alex Alemi , Sudheendra Vijayanarasimhan , Susanna Ricco , Rahul Sukthankar

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a good choice for function approximation as they are flexible, robust to over-fitting, and provide well-calibrated predictive uncertainty. Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multi-layer generalisations of GPs,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Hugh Salimbeni , Marc Deisenroth

Recent advances in generative artificial intelligence have had a significant impact on diverse domains spanning computer vision, natural language processing, and drug discovery. This work extends the reach of generative models into physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Christian Jacobsen , Yilin Zhuang , Karthik Duraisamy

A broad class of stochastic volatility models are defined by systems of stochastic differential equations. While these models have seen widespread success in domains such as finance and statistical climatology, they typically lack an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Gregory Benton , Wesley J. Maddox , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Stochastic-sampling-based Generative Neural Networks, such as Restricted Boltzmann Machines and Generative Adversarial Networks, are now used for applications such as denoising, image occlusion removal, pattern completion, and motion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Alexander Potapov , Ian Colbert , Ken Kreutz-Delgado , Alexander Cloninger , Srinjoy Das

Stochastic kinetic models describe systems across biology, chemistry, and physics where discrete events and small populations render deterministic approximations inadequate. Parameter inference and inverse design in these systems require…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-03-06 Francesco Mottes , Qian-Ze Zhu , Michael P. Brenner

In material science, models are derived to predict emergent material properties (e.g. elasticity, strength, conductivity) and their relations to processing conditions. A major drawback is the calibration of model parameters that depend on…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-11-22 Gabriel Kronberger , Evgeniya Kabliman , Johannes Kronsteiner , Michael Kommenda

Score-based generative models have demonstrated significant practical success in data-generating tasks. The models establish a diffusion process that perturbs the ground truth data to Gaussian noise and then learn the reverse process to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Ziqing Wen , Xiaoge Deng , Ping Luo , Tao Sun , Dongsheng Li