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As machine learning systems get widely adopted for high-stake decisions, quantifying uncertainty over predictions becomes crucial. While modern neural networks are making remarkable gains in terms of predictive accuracy, characterizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-14 Melanie F. Pradier , Weiwei Pan , Jiayu Yao , Soumya Ghosh , Finale Doshi-velez

We propose a new PAC-Bayesian bound and a way of constructing a hypothesis space, so that the bound is convex in the posterior distribution and also convex in a trade-off parameter between empirical performance of the posterior distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-25 Niklas Thiemann , Christian Igel , Olivier Wintenberger , Yevgeny Seldin

In this position paper, we argue that many post-mortem generalization measures -- those computed on trained networks -- are \textbf{fragile}: small training modifications that barely affect the performance of the underlying deep neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Shuofeng Zhang , Ard Louis

We present a general approach, based on exponential inequalities, to derive bounds on the generalization error of randomized learning algorithms. Using this approach, we provide bounds on the average generalization error as well as bounds…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-10 Fredrik Hellström , Giuseppe Durisi

Modern neural networks tend to be overconfident on unseen, noisy or incorrectly labelled data and do not produce meaningful uncertainty measures. Bayesian deep learning aims to address this shortcoming with variational approximations (such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-28 Nick Pawlowski , Andrew Brock , Matthew C. H. Lee , Martin Rajchl , Ben Glocker

Most PAC-Bayesian bounds hold in the batch learning setting where data is collected at once, prior to inference or prediction. This somewhat departs from many contemporary learning problems where data streams are collected and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-25 Maxime Haddouche , Benjamin Guedj

We introduce a new PAC-Bayes oracle bound for unbounded losses that extends Cram\'er-Chernoff bounds to the PAC-Bayesian setting. The proof technique relies on controlling the tails of certain random variables involving the Cram\'er…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-31 Ioar Casado , Luis A. Ortega , Aritz Pérez , Andrés R. Masegosa

Compression is a key step to deploy large neural networks on resource-constrained platforms. As a popular compression technique, quantization constrains the number of distinct weight values and thus reducing the number of bits required to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-15 Yukun Ding , Jinglan Liu , Jinjun Xiong , Yiyu Shi

We derive a new theoretical interpretation of the reweighted losses that are widely used for training diffusion models. Our method is based on constructing a cascade of time-dependent variational lower bounds on the data log-likelihood,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Jiaxin Shi , Michalis K. Titsias

The predominance of machine learning models in many spheres of human activity has led to a growing demand for their transparency. The transparency of models makes it possible to discern some factors, such as security or non-discrimination.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Niffa Cheick Oumar Diaby , Thierry Duchesne , Mario Marchand

Contrastive unsupervised representation learning (CURL) is the state-of-the-art technique to learn representations (as a set of features) from unlabelled data. While CURL has collected several empirical successes recently, theoretical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-20 Kento Nozawa , Pascal Germain , Benjamin Guedj

Recent studies have empirically investigated different methods to train stochastic neural networks on a classification task by optimising a PAC-Bayesian bound via stochastic gradient descent. Most of these procedures need to replace the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Eugenio Clerico , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

Variational approximation techniques and inference for stochastic models in machine learning has gained much attention the last years. Especially in the case of Gaussian Processes (GP) and their deep versions, Deep Gaussian Processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Roman Föll , Ingo Steinwart

We investigate the problem of weight uncertainty originally proposed by [Blundell et al. (2015). Weight uncertainty in neural networks. In International conference on machine learning, 1613-1622, PMLR.] in the context of neural networks…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-03 Moein Monemi , Morteza Amini , S. Mahmoud Taheri , Mohammad Arashi

Gaussian Process Regression is a popular nonparametric regression method based on Bayesian principles that provides uncertainty estimates for its predictions. However, these estimates are of a Bayesian nature, whereas for some important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-09 Christian Fiedler , Carsten W. Scherer , Sebastian Trimpe

The dominant term in PAC-Bayes bounds is often the Kullback--Leibler divergence between the posterior and prior. For so-called linear PAC-Bayes risk bounds based on the empirical risk of a fixed posterior kernel, it is possible to minimize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Gintare Karolina Dziugaite , Kyle Hsu , Waseem Gharbieh , Gabriel Arpino , Daniel M. Roy

Commonly used in computer vision and other applications, robust PCA represents an algorithmic attempt to reduce the sensitivity of classical PCA to outliers. The basic idea is to learn a decomposition of some data matrix of interest into…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-10-10 Tae-Hyun Oh , Yasuyuki Matsushita , In So Kweon , David Wipf

Abstract We present PAC-Bayesian bounds for the generalisation error of the K-nearest-neighbour classifier (K-NN). This is achieved by casting the K-NN classifier into a kernel space framework in the limit of vanishing kernel bandwidth. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Thore Graepel , Ralf Herbrich

Uncertainty quantification for inverse problems in imaging has drawn much attention lately. Existing approaches towards this task define uncertainty regions based on probable values per pixel, while ignoring spatial correlations within the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Omer Belhasin , Yaniv Romano , Daniel Freedman , Ehud Rivlin , Michael Elad

One of the main theoretical challenges in learning dynamical systems from data is providing upper bounds on the generalization error, that is, the difference between the expected prediction error and the empirical prediction error measured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Daniel Racz , Martin Gonzalez , Mihaly Petreczky , Andras Benczur , Balint Daroczy