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Rigorous statistical evaluations of large language models (LLMs), including valid error bars and significance testing, are essential for meaningful and reliable performance assessment. Currently, when such statistical measures are reported,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Sam Bowyer , Laurence Aitchison , Desi R. Ivanova

We give a two-dimensional central limit theorem (CLT) for the second-order quadratic variation of the centered Gaussian processes on $[0,T]$. Though the approach we use is well known in the literature, the conditions under which the CLT…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Kestutis Kubilius

The (CLT) central limit theorems for generalized Frechet means (data descriptors assuming values in stratified spaces, such as intrinsic means, geodesics, etc.) on manifolds from the literature are only valid if a certain empirical process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Benjamin Eltzner , Stephan F. Huckemann

We relate the distribution of eigenvalues of a random symmetric matrix in the Gaussian Orthogonal Ensemble to the distribution of critical values of a random linear combination of eigenfunctions of the Laplacian on a compact Riemann…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2014-03-18 Liviu I. Nicolaescu

We study the distribution of a fully connected neural network with random Gaussian weights and biases in which the hidden layer widths are proportional to a large constant $n$. Under mild assumptions on the non-linearity, we obtain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Stefano Favaro , Boris Hanin , Domenico Marinucci , Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati

We prove, for any $\beta >0$, a central limit theorem for the fluctuations of linear statistics in the Sine-$\beta$ process, which is the infinite volume limit of the random microscopic behavior in the bulk of one-dimensional log-gases at…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-11 Thomas Leblé

We present a central limit theorem for stationary random fields that are short-range dependent and asymptotically independent. As an application, we present a central limit theorem for an infinite family of interacting It\^o-type diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Le Chen , Davar Khoshnevisan , David Nualart , Fei Pu

In this work, we obtain the central limit theorem for fluctuations of Young diagrams around their limit shape in the bulk of the "spectrum" of partitions of a large integer n (under the Plancherel measure). More specifically, we show that,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 L. V. Bogachev , Z. G. Su

We show that there exists a very natural, superstatistics-linked extension of the central limit theorem (CLT) to deformed exponentials (also called q-Gaussians): This generalization favorably compares with the one provided by S. Umarov and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-06-04 C. Vignat , A. Plastino

When the underlying random variables are Gaussian, the classical Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is trivial, but the functional CLT is not. The objective of the paper is to investigate the functional CLT for stationary Gaussian processes in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-20 S. V. Lototsky

It is well known that central order statistics exhibit a central limit behavior and converge to a Gaussian distribution as the sample size grows. This paper strengthens this known result by establishing an entropic version of the CLT that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Martina Cardone , Alex Dytso , Cynthia Rush

This paper develops central limit theorems (CLT's) and large deviations results for additive functionals associated with reflecting diffusions in which the functional may include a term associated with the cumulative amount of boundary…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-10 Peter W. Glynn , Rob J. Wang

We give an upper bound on the total variation distance between the linear eigenvalue statistic, properly scaled and centred, of a random matrix with a variance profile and the standard Gaussian random variable. The second order Poincar\'e…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Kartick Adhikari , Indrajit Jana , Koushik Saha

One of the major themes of random matrix theory is that many asymptotic properties of traditionally studied distributions of random matrices are universal. We probe the edges of universality by studying the spectral properties of random…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-30 Tobias Johnson

A central limit theorem for arrays of symmetric row-wise exchangeable random variables is presented. The result is valid for finite and infinite extendable and non-extendable sequences. Unlike most reported versions of the central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-22 Ilya Soloveychik

We investigate traces of powers of random matrices whose distributions are invariant under rotations (with respect to the Hilbert--Schmidt inner product) within a real-linear subspace of the space of $n\times n$ matrices. The matrices we…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-30 Elizabeth S. Meckes , Mark W. Meckes

We prove a multivariate central limit theorem for the numbers of critical points above a level with all possible indexes of a non-necessarily isotropic Gaussian random field. In particular, we discuss the non-degeneracy of the limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Jean-Marc Azaïs , Federico Dalmao , Céline Delmas

Using Bernstein polynomial approximations, we prove the central limit theorem for linear spectral statistics of sample covariance matrices, indexed by a set of functions with continuous fourth order derivatives on an open interval including…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 Zhidong Bai , Xiaoying Wang , Wang Zhou

We continue investigations of our previous papers, in which there were proved central limit theorems (CLT) for linear eigenvalue statistics Tr f(M_n) and there were found the limiting probability laws for the normalised matrix elements of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2012-01-17 Anna Lytova

This paper re-examines the limit theorems of Abadie and Imbens for nearest-neighbor matching estimators of average treatment effects with a fixed number of matches. We establish, for the first time, a non-normalized central limit theorem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Songliang Chen , Fang Han