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This study proposes a novel hybrid deep learning framework that integrates a Large Language Model (LLM) with a Transformer architecture for stock price forecasting. The research addresses a critical theoretical gap in existing approaches…

We introduce the multivariate Log S-fBM model (mLog S-fBM), extending the univariate framework proposed by Wu \textit{et al.} to the multidimensional setting. We define the multidimensional Stationary fractional Brownian motion (mS-fBM),…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-16 Othmane Zarhali , Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-François Muzy

Given the promising results on joint modeling of SPX/VIX smiles of the recently introduced quadratic rough Heston model, we consider a multi-asset market making problem on SPX and its derivatives, e.g. VIX futures, SPX and VIX options. The…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-21 Mathieu Rosenbaum , Jianfei Zhang

This paper introduces one new multivariate volatility model that can accommodate an appropriately defined network structure based on low-frequency and high-frequency data. The model reduces the number of unknown parameters and the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-28 Huiling Yuan , Guodong Li , Junhui Wang

We introduce the Volterra Stein-Stein model with stochastic interest rates, where both volatility and interest rates are driven by correlated Gaussian Volterra processes. This framework unifies various well-known Markovian and non-Markovian…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-17 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Donatien Hainaut , Edouard Motte

In this article, we review the construction and properties of some popular approaches to modeling LIBOR rates. We discuss the following frameworks: classical LIBOR market models, forward price models and Markov-functional models. We close…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-22 Antonis Papapantoleon

In this paper, a multivariate constrained robust M-regression (MCRM) method is developed to estimate shaping coefficients for electricity forward prices. An important benefit of the new method is that model arbitrage can be ruled out at an…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-27 Peter Leoni , Pieter Segaert , Sven Serneels , Tim Verdonck

In this paper similar to [P. Carr, A. Itkin, 2019] we construct another Markovian approximation of the rough Heston-like volatility model - the ADO-Heston model. The characteristic function (CF) of the model is derived under both…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-27 Andrey Itkin

For a long time interest-rate models were built on a single yield curve used both for discounting and forwarding. However, the crisis that has affected financial markets in the last years led market players to revise this assumption and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-04 Nicola Moreni , Andrea Pallavicini

The quadratic rough Heston model provides a natural way to encode Zumbach effect in the rough volatility paradigm. We apply multi-factor approximation and use deep learning methods to build an efficient calibration procedure for this model.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-31 Mathieu Rosenbaum , Jianfei Zhang

The research presented in this article provides an alternative option pricing approach for a class of rough fractional stochastic volatility models. These models are increasingly popular between academics and practitioners due to their…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-02 Raul Merino , Jan Pospíšil , Tomáš Sobotka , Tommi Sottinen , Josep Vives

In this paper, we show that the recent integration of statistical models with deep recurrent neural networks provides a new way of formulating volatility (the degree of variation of time series) models that have been widely used in time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-06 Rui Luo , Weinan Zhang , Xiaojun Xu , Jun Wang

Recent studies have identified long-range dependence as a key feature in the dynamics of both mortality and interest rates. Building on this insight, we develop a novel bi-variate stochastic framework based on mixed fractional Brownian…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-26 Kenneth Q. Zhou , Hongjuan Zhou

This paper proposes a hierarchical modeling approach to perform stochastic model specification in Markov switching vector error correction models. We assume that a common distribution gives rise to the regime-specific regression…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-06 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Michael Pfarrhofer , Thomas O. Zörner

This paper expands traditional stochastic volatility models by allowing for time-varying skewness without imposing it. While dynamic asymmetry may capture the likely direction of future asset returns, it comes at the risk of leading to…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-04 Igor Ferreira Batista Martins , Hedibert Freitas Lopes

Volatility for financial assets returns can be used to gauge the risk for financial market. We propose a deep stochastic volatility model (DSVM) based on the framework of deep latent variable models. It uses flexible deep learning models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Xiuqin Xu , Ying Chen

Several asymptotic results for the implied volatility generated by a rough volatility model have been obtained in recent years (notably in the small-maturity regime), providing a better understanding of the shapes of the volatility surface…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-16 Florian Bourgey , Stefano De Marco , Peter K. Friz , Paolo Pigato

Rough volatility models have recently been empirically shown to provide a good fit to historical volatility time series and implied volatility smiles of SPX options. They are continuous-time stochastic volatility models, whose volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-01 Jingtang Ma , Wensheng Yang , Zhenyu Cui

Forward regression is a statistical model selection and estimation procedure which inductively selects covariates that add predictive power into a working statistical regression model. Once a model is selected, unknown regression parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-12 Damian Kozbur

Using Malliavin Calculus techniques, we derive closed-form expressions for the at-the-money behaviour of the forward implied volatility, its skew and its curvature, in general Markovian stochastic volatility models with continuous paths.

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-01 Elisa Alos , Antoine Jacquier , Jorge Leon