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One the one hand, rough volatility has been shown to provide a consistent framework to capture the properties of stock price dynamics both under the historical measure and for pricing purposes. On the other hand, market price of volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-05 Ofelia Bonesini , Antoine Jacquier , Aitor Muguruza

Collateralization with daily margining has become a new standard in the post-crisis market. Although there appeared vast literature on a so-called multi-curve framework, a complete picture of a multi-currency setup with cross-currency basis…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-08 Masaaki Fujii , Akihiko Takahashi

In this paper, we focus on the estimation of historical volatility of asset prices from high-frequency data. Stochastic volatility models pose a major statistical challenge: since in reality historical volatility is not observable, its…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-27 Camilla Damian , Rüdiger Frey

In this paper, we establish a market model for the term structure of forward inflation rates based on the risk-neutral dynamics of nominal and real zero-coupon bonds. Under the market model, we can price inflation caplets as well as…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-05 Lixin Wu

In recent years, there has been a substantive interest in rough volatility models. In this class of models, the local behavior of stochastic volatility is much more irregular than semimartingales and resembles that of a fractional Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Carsten Chong , Marc Hoffmann , Yanghui Liu , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Grégoire Szymanski

The rough Heston model is a very popular recent model in mathematical finance; however, the lack of Markov and semimartingale properties poses significant challenges in both theory and practice. A way to resolve this problem is to use…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-14 Christian Bayer , Simon Breneis

We present compelling empirical evidence for a new interpretation of the Forward Rate Curve (FRC) term structure. We find that the average FRC follows a square-root law, with a prefactor related to the spot volatility, suggesting a…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Andrew Matacz , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

The Fractional Stochastic Regularity Model (FSRM) is an extension of Black-Scholes model describing the multifractal nature of prices. It is based on a multifractional process with a random Hurst exponent $H_t$, driven by a fractional…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-13 Daniele Angelini , Matthieu Garcin

In this article we derive partial differential equations (PDEs) for pricing interest rate derivatives under the generalized Forward Market Model (FMM) recently presented by A. Lyashenko and F. Mercurio in \cite{lyashenkoMercurio:Mar2019} to…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-06 J. G. López-Salas , S. Pérez-Rodríguez , C. Vázquez

The rough Bergomi (rBergomi) model, introduced recently in [5], is a promising rough volatility model in quantitative finance. It is a parsimonious model depending on only three parameters, and yet remarkably fits with empirical implied…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-13 Christian Bayer , Chiheb Ben Hammouda , Raul Tempone

Overnight rates, such as the SOFR (Secured Overnight Financing Rate) in the US, are central to the current reform of interest rate benchmarks. A striking feature of overnight rates is the presence of jumps and spikes occurring at…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-14 Claudio Fontana , Zorana Grbac , Thorsten Schmidt

We propose a general framework for modeling multiple yield curves which have emerged after the last financial crisis. In a general semimartingale setting, we provide an HJM approach to model the term structure of multiplicative spreads…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-05 Christa Cuchiero , Claudio Fontana , Alessandro Gnoatto

The Secured Overnight Funding Rate (SOFR) is becoming the main Risk-Free Rate benchmark in US dollars, thus interest rate term structure models need to be updated to reflect the key features exhibited by the dynamics of SOFR and the forward…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-13 Karol Gellert , Erik Schlögl

In Gatheral et al. 2018, first posted in 2014, volatility is characterized by fractional behavior with a Hurst exponent $H < 0.5$, challenging traditional views of volatility dynamics. Gatheral et al. demonstrated this using realized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-06 Saad Mouti

We extend the application and test the performance of a recently introduced volatility prediction framework encompassing LSTM and rough volatility. Our asset class of interest is cryptocurrencies, at the beginning of the "crypto-winter" in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-28 Siu Hin Tang , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Chao Zhou

In this paper we introduce a flexible HJM-type framework that allows for consistent modelling of intraday, spot, futures, and option prices. This framework is based on stochastic processes with economic interpretations and consistent with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-21 Wieger Hinderks , Andreas Wagner , Ralf Korn

With the reform of interest rate benchmarks, interbank offered rates (IBORs) like LIBOR have been replaced by risk-free rates (RFRs), such as the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) in the U.S. and the Euro Short-Term Rate (\euro STR)…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-27 Alessandro Calvia , Marzia De Donno , Chiara Guardasoni , Simona Sanfelici

This paper discusses finite-dimensional (Markovian) realizations (FDRs) for Heath-Jarrow-Morton interest rate models. We consider a d-dimensional driving Brownian motion and stochastic volatility structures that are non-degenerate smooth…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Damir Filipovic , Josef Teichmann

In this paper we propose to extend the definition of fuzzy transform in order to consider an interpolation of models that are richer than the standard fuzzy transform. We focus on polynomial models, linear in particular, although the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-05-08 Luigi Troiano , Pravesh Kriplani , Irene Diaz

The linear fractional stable motion (LFSM) extends the fractional Brownian motion (fBm) by considering $\alpha$-stable increments. We propose a method to forecast future increments of the LFSM from past discrete-time observations, using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Matthieu Garcin , Karl Sawaya , Thomas Valade