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Scene flow estimation is an essential ingredient for a variety of real-world applications, especially for autonomous agents, such as self-driving cars and robots. While recent scene flow estimation approaches achieve a reasonable accuracy,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Yushan Zhang , Bastian Wandt , Maria Magnusson , Michael Felsberg

Multi-step-ahead forecasts are often updated as new observations become available, since shorter forecast horizons typically improve forecast quality. However, such improvements come at the cost of forecast instability, i.e., variability in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Jente Van Belle , Honglin Wen , Wouter Verbeke , Pierre Pinson

The coarse spatial resolution of gridded climate models, such as general circulation models, limits their direct use in projecting socially relevant variables like extreme precipitation. Most downscaling methods estimate the conditional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-06 Louise Largeau , Tom Beucler , David Leutwyler , Gregoire Mariethoz , Valerie Chavez-Demoulin , Erwan Koch

Imperfect score-matching leads to a shift between the training and the sampling distribution of diffusion models. Due to the recursive nature of the generation process, errors in previous steps yield sampling iterates that drift away from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-20 Giannis Daras , Yuval Dagan , Alexandros G. Dimakis , Constantinos Daskalakis

Machine learning for weather prediction increasingly relies on ensemble methods to provide probabilistic forecasts. Diffusion-based models have shown strong performance in Limited-Area Modeling (LAM) but remain computationally expensive at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Erik Larsson , Joel Oskarsson , Tomas Landelius , Fredrik Lindsten

This study investigates the application of deep-learning diffusion models for the super-resolution of weather data, a novel approach aimed at enhancing the spatial resolution and detail of meteorological variables. Leveraging the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Jan Martinů , Petr Šimánek

Drifting Models have emerged as a new paradigm for one-step generative modeling, achieving strong image quality without iterative inference. The premise is to replace the iterative denoising process in diffusion models with a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Ali Falahati , Elliot Creager , Gautam Kamath , Shubhankar Mohapatra

By framing reinforcement learning as a sequence modeling problem, recent work has enabled the use of generative models, such as diffusion models, for planning. While these models are effective in predicting long-horizon state trajectories…

Diffusion models (DMs) have shown promise for Time-Series Data Imputation (TSDI); however, their performance remains inconsistent in complex scenarios. We attribute this to two primary obstacles: (1) non-stationary temporal dynamics, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Zhichao Chen , Hao Wang , Fangyikang Wang , Licheng Pan , Zhengnan Li , Yunfei Teng , Haoxuan Li , Zhouchen Lin

We discuss an approach to probabilistic forecasting based on two chained machine-learning steps: a dimensional reduction step that learns a reduction map of predictor information to a low-dimensional space in a manner designed to preserve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-28 Nick Rittler , Carlo Graziani , Jiali Wang , Rao Kotamarthi

In a recent development in the literature, a new temporal rainfall model, based on the Bartlett-Lewis clustering mechanism and intended for sub-hourly application, was introduced. That model replaced the rectangular rain cells of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-23 Jo Kaczmarska , Valerie Isham , Christian Onof

Diffusion models have risen to prominence in time series forecasting, showcasing their robust capability to model complex data distributions. However, their effectiveness in deterministic predictions is often constrained by instability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Hao Yang , Zhanbo Feng , Feng Zhou , Robert C Qiu , Zenan Ling

Inverse problems aim to determine parameters from observations, a crucial task in engineering and science. Lately, generative models, especially diffusion models, have gained popularity in this area for their ability to produce realistic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Gabriel della Maggiora , Luis Alberto Croquevielle , Nikita Deshpande , Harry Horsley , Thomas Heinis , Artur Yakimovich

In this paper, we apply a recently developed nonparametric modeling approach, the "diffusion forecast", to predict the time-evolution of Fourier modes of turbulent dynamical systems. While the diffusion forecasting method assumes the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-03-23 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

Trajectory generation for mobile robots in unstructured environments faces a critical dilemma: balancing kinematic smoothness for safe execution with terminal precision for fine-grained tasks. Existing generative planners often struggle…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Jinyang Zhao , Handong Zheng , Yanjiu Zhong , Qiang Zhang , Yu Kang , Shunyu Wu

Time Series foundation models (TSFMs) deliver strong forecasting performance through large-scale pretraining, but their large parameter sizes make deployment costly. While knowledge distillation offers a natural and effective approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Yuqi Li , Kuiye Ding , Chuanguang Yang , Szu-Yu Chen , Yingli Tian

Diffusion models have been used for probabilistic time series forecasting and show strong potential. However, fixed noise schedules often produce intermediate states that are hard to invert and a terminal state that deviates from the near…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Jintao Zhang , Zirui Liu , Mingyue Cheng , Xianquan Wang , Zhiding Liu , Qi Liu

Diffusion models have been demonstrated as strong priors for solving general inverse problems. Most existing Diffusion model-based Inverse Problem Solvers (DIS) employ a plug-and-play approach to guide the sampling trajectory with either…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Jiankun Zhao , Bowen Song , Liyue Shen

Diffusion models achieve great success in generating diverse and high-fidelity images, yet their widespread application, especially in real-time scenarios, is hampered by their inherently slow generation speed. The slow generation stems…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Shengkun Tang , Yaqing Wang , Caiwen Ding , Yi Liang , Yao Li , Dongkuan Xu

Flood prediction is critical for emergency planning and response to mitigate human and economic losses. Traditional physics-based hydrodynamic models generate high-resolution flood maps using numerical methods requiring fine-grid…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Sun Han Neo , Sachith Seneviratne , Herath Mudiyanselage Viraj Vidura Herath , Abhishek Saha , Sanka Rasnayaka , Lucy Amanda Marshall