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In this paper we construct a framework for doing statistical inference for discretely observed stochastic differential equations (SDEs) where the driving noise has 'memory'. Classical SDE models for inference assume the driving noise to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-05 Martin Lysy , Natesh S. Pillai

The paper proposes a systematic framework for building data-driven stochastic differential equation (SDE) models from sparse, noisy observations. Unlike traditional parametric approaches, which assume a known functional form for the drift,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-18 Arnab Ganguly , Riten Mitra , Jinpu Zhou

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are a ubiquitous modeling framework that finds applications in physics, biology, engineering, social science, and finance. Due to the availability of large-scale data sets, there is growing interest…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-04 Ziheng Guo , James Greene , Ming Zhong

Timeseries generated from a dynamical source can often be modeled as sample paths of a stochastic differential equation (SDE). The timeseries thus reflects the motion of a particle which flows along the direction provided by a drift /…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-03 Suddhasattwa Das

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are a fundamental tool for modelling dynamic processes, including gene regulatory networks (GRNs), contaminant transport, financial markets, and image generation. However, learning the underlying SDE…

This paper focuses on a stochastic system identification problem: given time series observations of a stochastic differential equation (SDE) driven by L\'{e}vy $\alpha$-stable noise, estimate the SDE's drift field. For $\alpha$ in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-08 Harish S. Bhat

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a flexible framework for modeling temporal dynamics in partially observed systems. A central task is to calibrate such models from data, which requires inferring latent trajectories and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Yu Wang , Arnab Ganguly

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are established tools to model physical phenomena whose dynamics are affected by random noise. By estimating parameters of an SDE intrinsic randomness of a system around its drift can be identified…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-03 Umberto Picchini , Susanne Ditlevsen

We consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of the drift and diffusion coefficients of a Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE), based on $n$ independent replicates $\left\{X_i(t)\::\: t\in [0,1]\right\}_{1 \leq i \leq n}$, observed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Neda Mohammadi , Leonardo Santoro , Victor M. Panaretos

We investigate synchronization by noise for stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by a fractional Brownian motion (fbm) with Hurst index $H\in(0,1)$. Provided that the SDE has a negative top Lyapunov exponent, we show that a weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Alexandra Blessing , Mazyar Ghani Varzaneh

We present a noise guided trajectory based system identification method for inferring the dynamical structure from observation generated by stochastic differential equations. Our method can handle various kinds of noise, including the case…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-06 Ziheng Guo , Igor Cialenco , Ming Zhong

We develop a theory of ergodicity for a class of random dynamical systems where the driving noise is not white. The two main tools of our analysis are the strong Feller property and topological irreducibility, introduced in this work for a…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-09 M. Hairer , A. Ohashi

We introduce a novel paradigm for learning non-parametric drift and diffusion functions for stochastic differential equation (SDE). The proposed model learns to simulate path distributions that match observations with non-uniform time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-01 Cagatay Yildiz , Markus Heinonen , Jukka Intosalmi , Henrik Mannerström , Harri Lähdesmäki

Latent neural stochastic differential equations (SDEs) have recently emerged as a promising approach for learning generative models from stochastic time series data. However, they systematically underestimate the noise level inherent in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Linus Heck , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Michael T. Schaub , Niklas Boers

A general framework for recovering drift and diffusion dynamics from sampled trajectories is presented for the first time for stochastic delay differential equations. The core relies on the well-established SINDy algorithm for the sparse…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Dimitri Breda , Dajana Conte , Raffaele D'Ambrosio , Ida Santaniello , Muhammad Tanveer

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) describe dynamical systems where deterministic flows, governed by a drift function, are superimposed with random fluctuations, dictated by a diffusion function. The accurate estimation (or discovery)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Patrick Seifner , Kostadin Cvejoski , David Berghaus , Cesar Ojeda , Ramses J. Sanchez

We propose a sparse grid stochastic collocation method for long-time simulations of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by white noise. The method uses pre-determined sparse quadrature rules for the forcing term and constructs…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-06-13 H. Cagan Ozen , Guillaume Bal

The application of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) to the analysis of temporal data has attracted increasing attention, due to their ability to describe complex dynamics with physically interpretable equations. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-09 Constantino A. García , Abraham Otero , Paulo Félix , Jesús Presedo , David G. Márquez

In this paper, we propose Stoch-IDENT, a novel framework for identifying stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) from observational data. Our method can handle linear and nonlinear high-order SPDEs driven by time-dependent Wiener…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Jianbo Cui , Roy Y. He

Sparse regression has recently emerged as an attractive approach for discovering models of spatiotemporally complex dynamics directly from data. In many instances, such models are in the form of nonlinear partial differential equations…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-29 Patrick A. K. Reinbold , Daniel R. Gurevich , Roman O. Grigoriev
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