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We investigate the performance of six methods for predicting the CME time of arrival (ToA) and velocity at Earth using a sample of nine Earth-impacting CMEs between May 2010 and June 2011. The CMEs were tracked continuously from the Sun to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-11-01 R. C. Colaninno , A. Vourlidas , C. -C. Wu

The process by which the Sun affects the terrestrial environment on short timescales is predominately driven by the amount of magnetic reconnection between the solar wind and Earth's magnetosphere. Reconnection occurs most efficiently when…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-19 N. P. Savani , A. Vourlidas , A. Szabo , M. L. Mays , I. G. Richardson , B. J. Thompson , A. Pulkkinen , R. Evans , T. Nieves-Chinchilla

We present a first-principles-based coronal mass ejection (CME) model suitable for both scientific and operational purposes by combining a global magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) solar wind model with a flux rope-driven CME model. Realistic CME…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-18 M. Jin , W. B. Manchester , B. van der Holst , I. Sokolov , G. Toth , R. E. Mullinix , A. Taktakishvili , A. Chulaki , T. I. Gombosi

We present the study of two solar eruptive events observed on December 7 2020 and October 28 2021.Both events were associated with full halo CMEs and flares.These events were chosen because they show a strong non-radial direction of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-07-25 Angelos Valentino , Jasmina Magdalenic

Solar Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are large-scale ejections of plasma and magnetic field from the corona, which propagate through interplanetary space. CMEs are the most significant drivers of adverse space weather on Earth, but the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-10-22 Shane Maloney

Using a refined setup process, we simulated the propagation of six observed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) with the 2012 Block-Adaptive-Tree-Solarwind-Roe-Upwind-Scheme (BATS-R-US) code from the Sun to the Earth or STEREO A and compared the…

Space Physics · Physics 2019-05-23 J. M. Schmidt , Iver H. Cairns

We present a method for tracking and predicting the propagation and evolution of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) using the imagers on the STEREO and SOHO satellites. By empirically modeling the material between the inner core and leading edge…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-02-28 Samuel Schreiner , Cynthia Cattell , Kris Kersten , Adam Hupach

A powerful coronal mass ejection (CME) occurred on 2017 September 10 near the end of the declining phase of the historically weak solar cycle 24. We obtain new insights concerning the geometry and kinematics of CME-driven shocks in relation…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-23 Ying D. Liu , Bei Zhu , Xiaowei Zhao

We present an analysis of the fast coronal mass ejection (CME) of 2012 March 7, which was imaged by both STEREO spacecraft and observed in situ by MESSENGER, Venus Express, Wind and Mars Express. Based on detected arrivals at four different…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-07-18 T. Rollett , C. Moestl , M. Temmer , R. A. Frahm , J. A. Davies , A. M. Veronig , B. Vrsnak , U. V. Amerstorfer , C. J. Farrugia , T. Zic , T. L. Zhang

In this study we present a statistical analysis of 53 fast Earth-directed halo CMEs observed by the SOHO/LASCO instrument during the period Jan. 2009-Sep. 2015, and we use this CME sample to test the capabilities of a Sun-to-Earth…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-12-19 Camilla Scolini , Mauro Messerotti , Stefaan Poedts , Luciano Rodriguez

We investigate the source eruption, propagation and expansion characteristics, and heliospheric impacts of the 2020 November 29 coronal mass ejection (CME) and associated shock, using remote sensing and in situ observations from multiple…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-10-05 Chong Chen , Ying D. Liu , Bei Zhu

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are major drivers of geomagnetic storms, which may cause severe space weather effects. Automating the detection, tracking, and three-dimensional (3D) reconstruction of CMEs is important for operational…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-06-06 Jiahui Shan , Huapeng Zhang , Lei Lu , Yan Zhang , Li Feng , Yunyi Ge , Jianchao Xue , Shuting Li

The prediction of the arrival time and transit speed of CMEs near the Earth is one of the key problems in understanding the solar terrestrial relationship. Although, STEREO observations now provide a multiple view of CMEs in the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-02-17 Wageesh Mishra , Nandita Srivastava

Simultaneous in situ measurements of coronal mass ejections (CMEs), including both plasma and magnetic field, by two spacecraft in radial alignment have been extremely rare. Here, we report on one such CME measured by Solar Orbiter (SolO)…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-11-27 F. Regnault , N. Al-Haddad , N. Lugaz , C. J. Farrugia , W. Yu , B. Zhuang , E. E. Davies

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are large-scale ejections of magnetized plasma from the Sun and are associated with the most extreme space weather events. The geoeffectiveness of a CME is primarily determined by the southward component of its…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-07-09 Devojyoti Kansabanik , Angelos Voulidas

Context. We study two coronal mass ejections (CMEs) observed between April 1-2, 2019 by both the inner Wide-Field Imager for Parker Solar Probe (WISPR-I) and the inner heliospheric imager (HI-1) on board STEREO-A. This is the first study of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-06-02 Carlos Roberto Braga , Angelos Vourlidas

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are the main drivers of disturbances in the solar heliosphere because they propagate and interact with the magnetic field of the solar wind. It is crucial to investigate the evolution of CMEs and their…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-11 Tinatin Baratashvili , Emma Davies , Eva Weiler , Brigitte Schmieder , Pascal Démoulin , Stefaan Poedts

The magnetic fields of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs), which originate close to the Sun in the form of a flux rope, determine their geoeffectiveness. Therefore, robust flux rope-based models of CMEs are required to perform…

Space Physics · Physics 2020-06-24 Talwinder Singh , Tae K. Kim , Nikolai V. Pogorelov , Charles N. Arge

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) correspond to dramatic expulsions of plasma and magnetic field from the solar corona into the heliosphere. CMEs are scientifically relevant because they are involved in the physical mechanisms characterizing…

This study quantifies how uncertainty in physically meaningful coronal mass ejection (CME) and solar-wind inputs propagates into forecast-relevant diagnostics from eruption to 1 AU. We use a semi-analytic erupting flux rope (EFR) model to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-07 S. Stamkos , S. Patsourakos , A. Vourlidas , E. Paouris