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Change points in real-world systems mark significant regime shifts in system dynamics, possibly triggered by exogenous or endogenous factors. These points define regimes for the time evolution of the system and are crucial for understanding…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Ioanna-Yvonni Tsaknaki , Fabrizio Lillo , Piero Mazzarisi

Exchangeable graphs arise via a sampling procedure from measurable functions known as graphons. A natural estimation problem is how well we can recover a graphon given a single graph sampled from it. One general framework for estimating a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Diana Cai , Nathanael Ackerman , Cameron Freer

Stochastic kinetic models describe systems across biology, chemistry, and physics where discrete events and small populations render deterministic approximations inadequate. Parameter inference and inverse design in these systems require…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-03-06 Francesco Mottes , Qian-Ze Zhu , Michael P. Brenner

A popular and flexible time series model for counts is the generalized integer autoregressive process of order $p$, GINAR($p$). These Markov processes are defined using thinning operators evaluated on past values of the process along with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Pashmeen Kaur , Peter F. Craigmile

The multiplicative Newton-like method developed by the author et al. is extended to the situation where the dynamics is restricted to the orthogonal group. A general framework is constructed without specifying the cost function. Though the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Toshinao Akuzawa

We derive three families of orthogonally-equivariant matrix submanifold models for the Grassmann, flag, and Stiefel manifolds respectively. These families are exhaustive -- every orthogonally-equivariant submanifold model of the lowest…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-19 Lek-Heng Lim , Ke Ye

Optimization over the Stiefel manifold is a fundamental computational problem in many scientific and engineering applications. Despite considerable research effort, high-dimensional optimization problems over the Stiefel manifold remain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-16 Andy Yat-Ming Cheung , Jinxin Wang , Man-Chung Yue , Anthony Man-Cho So

This paper presents a Bayesian method for identification of jump Markov linear system parameters. A primary motivation is to provide accurate quantification of parameter uncertainty without relying on asymptotic in data-length arguments. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-11 Mark P. Balenzuela , Adrian G. Wills , Christopher Renton , Brett Ninness

A gradient recovery operator based on projecting the discrete gradient onto the standard finite element space is considered. We use an oblique projection, where the test and trial spaces are different, and the bases of these two spaces form…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-05-02 Bishnu P. Lamichhane , Adam McNeily

The general scheme for the treatment of relaxation processes and temporal autocorrelations of dynamical variables for many particle systems is presented in framework of the recurrence relations approach. The time autocorrelation functions…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-12-10 Anatolii V. Mokshin

In this paper, we introduce a novel theoretical framework for Gaussian process regression error analysis, leveraging a function-space decomposition. Based on this framework, we develop a weighted Jacobi iterative method that utilizes…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Tiantian Sun , Juan Zhang

In this paper, we study the optimization problem on a compact matrix manifold. While existing feasible algorithms can be broadly categorized into retraction-based and projection-based methods, compared to the more comprehensive and in-depth…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Wentao Ding , Jianze Li , Shuzhong Zhang

Atlas models are systems of Ito processes with parameters that depend on rank. We show that the parameters of a simple Atlas model can be identified by measuring the variance of the top-ranked process for different sampling intervals.

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-18 Robert Fernholz

We consider the minimization of a function defined on a Riemannian manifold $\mathcal{M}$ accessible only through unbiased estimates of its gradients. We develop a geometric framework to transform a sequence of slowly converging iterates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-11 Nilesh Tripuraneni , Nicolas Flammarion , Francis Bach , Michael I. Jordan

This article introduces the GNAR package, which fits, predicts, and simulates from a powerful new class of generalised network autoregressive processes. Such processes consist of a multivariate time series along with a real, or inferred,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-11 Marina Knight , Kathryn Leeming , Guy Nason , Matthew Nunes

Recently, studies on machine learning have focused on methods that use symmetry implicit in a specific manifold as an inductive bias. Grassmann manifolds provide the ability to handle fundamental shapes represented as shape spaces, enabling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-06 Ryoma Yataka , Kazuki Hirashima , Masashi Shiraishi

We derive a numerical algorithm for evaluating the Riemannian logarithm on the Stiefel manifold with respect to the canonical metric. In contrast to the existing optimization-based approach, we work from a purely matrix-algebraic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-03-20 Ralf Zimmermann

We study the dynamics of matrix-valued time series with observed network structures by proposing a matrix network autoregression model with row and column networks of the subjects. We incorporate covariate information and a low rank…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-07 Xuening Zhu , Feifei Wang , Zeng Li , Yanyuan Ma

The Stiefel manifold $V_{p,d}$ is the space of all $d \times p$ orthonormal matrices, with the $d-1$ hypersphere and the space of all orthogonal matrices constituting special cases. In modeling data lying on the Stiefel manifold, parametric…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-04 Lizhen Lin , Vinayak Rao , David B. Dunson

In this paper, we investigate a general class of stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithms, called Conditioned SGD, based on a preconditioning of the gradient direction. Using a discrete-time approach with martingale tools, we establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Rémi Leluc , François Portier