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We investigate the lifetime of dynamical regimes under the impact of noise motivated by low-dimensional models of the atmosphere. One may expect that the inclusion of noise tends to make the system leave prescribed regions of the state…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Henry Schoeller , Robin Chemnitz , Péter Koltai , Maximilian Engel , Stephan Pfahl

We present a new method of analysis of measure-preserving dynamical systems, based on frequency analysis and ergodic theory, which extends our earlier work [1]. Our method employs the novel concept of harmonic time average [2], and is…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-07-29 Zoran Levnajić , Igor Mezić

We develop a generalized stability framework for stochastic discrete-time systems, where the generality pertains to the ways in which the distribution of the state energy can be characterized. We use tools from finance and operations…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-23 Margaret P. Chapman , Dionysios S. Kalogerias

Optimal control of stochastic nonlinear dynamical systems is a major challenge in the domain of robot learning. Given the intractability of the global control problem, state-of-the-art algorithms focus on approximate sequential optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Joe Watson , Hany Abdulsamad , Jan Peters

This paper deals with the development and analysis of novel time-optimal point-to-point model predictive control concepts for nonlinear systems. Recent approaches in the literature apply a time transformation, however, which do not maintain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-06 Christoph Rösmann , Artemi Makarow , Torsten Bertram

The stochastic processes underlying the growth and stability of biological and psychological systems reveal themselves when far from equilibrium. Far from equilibrium, nonergodicity reigns. Nonergodicity implies that the average outcome for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-03 Madhur Mangalam , Damian G. Kelty-Stephen

We present a stochastic model predictive control framework for nonlinear systems subject to unbounded process noise with closed-loop guarantees. First, we provide a conceptual shrinking-horizon framework that utilizes general probabilistic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-06 Johannes Köhler , Melanie N. Zeilinger

This paper develops near-optimal sustainable harvesting strategies for the predator in a predator-prey system. The objective function is of long-run average per unit time type. To date, ecological systems under environmental noise are…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-10 Dang H. Nguyen , George Yin

This paper proposes a model predictive controller for discrete-time linear systems with additive, possibly unbounded, stochastic disturbances and subject to chance constraints. By computing a polytopic probabilistic positively invariant set…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-23 Kai Wang , Kiet Tuan Hoang , Sébastien Gros

Data-driven, model-free analytics are natural choices for discovery and forecasting of complex, nonlinear systems. Methods that operate in the system state-space require either an explicit multidimensional state-space, or, one approximated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-15 Joseph Park , Gerald M Pao , Erik Stabenau , George Sugihara , Thomas Lorimer

This article proposes an improved trajectory optimization approach for stochastic optimal control of dynamical systems affected by measurement noise by combining optimal control with maximum likelihood techniques to improve the reduction of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-25 Prakash Mallick , Zhiyong Chen

Control barrier functions are widely used to synthesize safety-critical controls. However, the presence of Gaussian-type noise in dynamical systems can generate unbounded signals and potentially result in severe consequences. Although…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-21 Chuanzheng Wang , Yiming Meng , Jun Liu , Stephen Smith

Non-smooth dynamics driven by stochastic disturbance arise in a wide variety of engineering problems. Impulsive interventions are often employed to control stochastic systems; however, the modeling and analysis subject to execution delay…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Hidekazu Yoshioka , Yuta Yaegashi

This paper concerns the risk-aware control of stochastic systems with temporal logic specifications dynamically assigned during runtime. Conventional risk-aware control typically assumes that all specifications are predefined and remain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-01 Maico H. W. Engelaar , Zengjie Zhang , Mircea Lazar , Sofie Haesaert

We consider ergodic backward stochastic differential equations in a discrete time setting, where noise is generated by a finite state Markov chain. We show existence and uniqueness of solutions, along with a comparison theorem. To obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-02 Andrew L. Allan , Samuel N. Cohen

Early warning indicators often suffer from the shortness and coarse-graining of real-world time series. Furthermore, the typically strong and correlated noise contributions in real applications are severe drawbacks for statistical measures.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-03-03 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

We establish the conditioned stochastic stability of equilibrium states for H\"older potentials on uniformly hyperbolic sets. While standard stochastic stability characterises measures on attractors, we analyse the statistics of transient…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-22 Bernat Bassols Cornudella , Matheus M. Castro

We perform a detailed study of a simple mathematical model addressing the problem of optimally regulating a process subject to periodic external forcing, which is interesting both in view of its direct applications and as a prototype for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Nir Gavish , Guy Katriel

We address the problem of steering the phase distribution of oscillators all receiving the same control input to a given target distribution. In a large population limit, the distribution of oscillators can be described by a probability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-30 Kaito Ito , Haruhiro Kume , Hideaki Ishii

In this paper, we consider stochastic optimal control of systems driven by stochastic differential equations with irregular drift coefficient. We establish a necessary and sufficient stochastic maximum principle. To achieve this, we first…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-18 Olivier Menoukeu-Pamen , Ludovic Tangpi