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This study introduces the Misclassification Likelihood Matrix (MLM) as a novel tool for quantifying the reliability of neural network predictions under distribution shifts. The MLM is obtained by leveraging softmax outputs and clustering…

Climate change has increased the severity and frequency of weather disasters all around the world. Flood inundation mapping based on earth observation data can help in this context, by providing cheap and accurate maps depicting the area…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Kevin Iselborn , Marco Stricker , Takashi Miyamoto , Marlon Nuske , Andreas Dengel

A machine learning model is proposed in this paper to help estimate potential nodal load curtailment in response to an extreme event. This is performed through identifying which grid components will fail as a result of an extreme event, and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-02-19 Rozhin Eskandarpour , Amin Khodaei , Ali Arab

The performance of machine learning (ML) models often deteriorates when the underlying data distribution changes over time, a phenomenon known as data distribution drift. When this happens, ML models need to be retrained and redeployed. ML…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Emmanuel K. Katalay , David O. Dimandja , Jordan F. Masakuna

Channel turbulence is a formidable obstacle for free-space optical (FSO) communication. Anticipation of turbulence levels is highly important for mitigating disruptions but has not been demonstrated without dedicated, auxiliary hardware. We…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-26 Md Zobaer Islam , Ethan Abele , Fahim Ferdous Hossain , Arsalan Ahmad , Sabit Ekin , John F. O'Hara

Machine-learning-based parameterizations (i.e. representation of sub-grid processes) of global climate models or turbulent simulations have recently been proposed as a powerful alternative to physical, but empirical, representations,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-20 Mohamed Aziz Bhouri , Liran Peng , Michael S. Pritchard , Pierre Gentine

This paper presents a machine learning methodology to improve the predictions of traditional RANS turbulence models in channel flows subject to strong variations in their thermophysical properties. The developed formulation contains several…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-10-28 Rafael Diez Sanhueza , Stephan Smit , Jurriaan Peeters , Rene Pecnik

In retail sales forecasting, accurately predicting future sales is crucial for inventory management and strategic planning. Traditional methods like LR often fall short due to the complexity of sales data, which includes seasonality and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Priyam Ganguly , Isha Mukherjee

The knowledge of type of precipitating cloud is crucial for radar based quantitative estimates of precipitation. We propose a novel model called CloudSense which uses machine learning to accurately identify the type of precipitating clouds…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-13 Mehzooz Nizar , Jha K. Ambuj , Manmeet Singh , Vaisakh S. B , G. Pandithurai

There has been a recent surge in development of accurate machine learning (ML) weather prediction models, but evaluation of these models has mainly been focused on medium-range forecasts, not their performance in cycling data assimilation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-25 Laura C. Slivinski , Jeffrey S. Whitaker , Sergey Frolov , Timothy A. Smith , Niraj Agarwal

A precise forecast for droughts is of considerable value to scientific research, agriculture, and water resource management. With emerging developments of data-driven approaches for hydro-climate modeling, this paper investigates an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-25 Shiheng Duan , Xiurui Zhang

An accurate load forecasting has always been one of the main indispensable parts in the operation and planning of power systems. Among different time horizons of forecasting, while short-term load forecasting (STLF) and long-term load…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-13 Arghavan Zare-Noghabi , Morteza Shabanzadeh , Hossein Sangrody

The increasing focus on predicting renewable energy production aligns with advancements in deep learning (DL). The inherent variability of renewable sources and the complexity of prediction methods require robust approaches, such as DL…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Haibo Wang , Jun Huang , Lutfu Sua , Bahram Alidaee

Atmospheric Extreme Events (EEs) cause severe damages to human societies and ecosystems. The frequency and intensity of EEs and other associated events are increasing in the current climate change and global warming risk. The accurate…

In this work, a multi-stage Machine Learning (ML) pipeline is proposed for pipe leakage detection in an industrial environment. As opposed to other industrial and urban environments, the environment under study includes many interfering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-06 Ibrahim Shaer , Abdallah Shami

Climate change is accelerating the frequency and severity of unprecedented events, deviating from established patterns. Predicting these out-of-distribution (OOD) events is critical for assessing risks and guiding climate adaptation. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Maria Conchita Agana Navarro , Geng Li , Theo Wolf , María Pérez-Ortiz

The widespread utilisation of grid-integrated wind electricity necessitates accurate and reliable wind speed forecasting to ensure stable grid and quality power. Machine learning algorithm based wind speed forecasting models are getting…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-08-13 Valsaraj Perumpalot , G. V. Drisya , K. Satheesh Kumar

Turbulence plays an important role in astrophysical phenomena, including core-collapse supernovae (CCSN), but current simulations must rely on subgrid models since direct numerical simulation (DNS) is too expensive. Unfortunately, existing…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-11-30 Platon I. Karpov , Chengkun Huang , Iskandar Sitdikov , Chris L. Fryer , Stan Woosley , Ghanshyam Pilania

Integration of machine learning (ML) models of unresolved dynamics into numerical simulations of fluid dynamics has been demonstrated to improve the accuracy of coarse resolution simulations. However, when trained in a purely offline mode,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-26 Christian Pedersen , Laure Zanna , Joan Bruna , Pavel Perezhogin

With the growing prevalence of smart grid technology, short-term load forecasting (STLF) becomes particularly important in power system operations. There is a large collection of methods developed for STLF, but selecting a suitable method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-06 Cong Feng , Jie Zhang