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Spatio-temporal forecasting in various domains, like traffic prediction and weather forecasting, is a challenging endeavor, primarily due to the difficulties in modeling propagation dynamics and capturing high-dimensional interactions among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Xiaobei Zou , Luolin Xiong , Yang Tang , Jürgen Kurths

Multi-step stock index forecasting is vital in finance for informed decision-making. Current forecasting methods on this task frequently produce unsatisfactory results due to the inherent data randomness and instability, thereby…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Cheng Zhang , Nilam Nur Amir Sjarif , Roslina Ibrahim

The adaptation of large language models (LLMs) to time series forecasting poses unique challenges, as time series data is continuous in nature, while LLMs operate on discrete tokens. Despite the success of LLMs in natural language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Taibiao Zhao , Xiaobing Chen , Mingxuan Sun

Although transformer-based methods have achieved great success in multi-scale temporal pattern interaction modeling, two key challenges limit their further development: (1) Individual time points contain less semantic information, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Zongjiang Shang , Ling Chen , Binqing wu , Dongliang Cui

Demand is spiking in industrial fields for multidisciplinary forecasting, where a broad spectrum of sectors needs planning and forecasts to streamline intelligent business management, such as demand forecasting, product planning, inventory…

Many researchers both in academia and industry have long been interested in the stock market. Numerous approaches were developed to accurately predict future trends in stock prices. Recently, there has been a growing interest in utilizing…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-13 Raehyun Kim , Chan Ho So , Minbyul Jeong , Sanghoon Lee , Jinkyu Kim , Jaewoo Kang

Time series forecasting is crucial in several sectors, such as meteorology, retail, healthcare, and finance. Accurately forecasting future trends and patterns is crucial for strategic planning and making well-informed decisions. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Nitin Sagar Boyeena , Begari Susheel Kumar

This paper addresses a common problem with hierarchical time series. Time series analysis demands the series for a model to be the sum of multiple series at corresponding sub-levels. Hierarchical Time Series presents a two-fold problem.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-27 Seema Sangari , Xinyan Zhang

Spatio-temporal forecasting plays a crucial role in various sectors such as transportation systems, logistics, and supply chain management. However, existing methods are limited by their ability to handle large, complex datasets. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Sakhinana Sagar Srinivas , Chidaksh Ravuru , Geethan Sannidhi , Venkataramana Runkana

The financial domain presents a complex environment for stock market prediction, characterized by volatile patterns and the influence of multifaceted data sources. Traditional models have leveraged either Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN)…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-08 Arya Chakraborty , Auhona Basu

Demystifying interactions between temporal patterns of different scales is fundamental to precise long-range time series forecasting. However, previous works lack the ability to model high-order interactions. To promote more comprehensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Zongjiang Shang , Ling Chen , Binqing Wu , Dongliang Cui

This paper studies forward-looking stock-stock correlation forecasting for S\&P 500 constituents and evaluates whether learned correlation forecasts can improve graph-based clustering used in basket trading strategies. We cast 10-day ahead…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-09 Jack Fanshawe , Rumi Masih , Alexander Cameron

Forecasting is critical in areas such as finance, biology, and healthcare. Despite the progress in the field, making accurate forecasts remains challenging because real-world time series contain both global trends, local fine-grained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Zihao Chen , Alexandre Andre , Wenrui Ma , Ian Knight , Sergey Shuvaev , Eva Dyer

Accurately predicting stock market movements remains a formidable challenge due to the inherent volatility and complex interdependencies among stocks. Although multi-scale Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) hold potential for modeling these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Xiaosha Xue , Peibo Duan , Zhipeng Liu , Qi Chu , Changsheng Zhang , Bin zhang

Multivariate time series analysis has long been one of the key research topics in the field of artificial intelligence. However, analyzing complex time series data remains a challenging and unresolved problem due to its high dimensionality,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Hao Si , Xiao Wang , Fan Zhang , Xiaoya Zhou , Dengdi Sun , Wanli Lyu , Qingquan Yang , Jin Tang

Hierarchical time-series forecasting (HTSF) is an important problem for many real-world business applications where the goal is to simultaneously forecast multiple time-series that are related to each other via a hierarchical relation.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Aditya B. Sasanur , Xinjie Tong , Xingyu Zhou , James Peters , Joe Czyzyk , B. Aditya Prakash

Hierarchical forecasting is a key problem in many practical multivariate forecasting applications - the goal is to simultaneously predict a large number of correlated time series that are arranged in a pre-specified aggregation hierarchy.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-13 Biswajit Paria , Rajat Sen , Amr Ahmed , Abhimanyu Das

Modeling temporal multimodal data poses significant challenges in classification tasks, particularly in capturing long-range temporal dependencies and intricate cross-modal interactions. Audiovisual data, as a representative example, is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Feng Xu , Hui Wang , Yuting Huang , Danwei Zhang , Zizhu Fan

Multivariate time series forecasting is essential in domains such as finance, transportation, climate, and energy. However, existing patch-based methods typically adopt fixed-length segmentation, overlooking the heterogeneity of local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Kuiye Ding , Fanda Fan , Chunyi Hou , Zheya Wang , Lei Wang , Zhengxin Yang , Jianfeng Zhan

Accurate forecasting of multivariate time series data remains a formidable challenge, particularly due to the growing complexity of temporal dependencies in real-world scenarios. While neural network-based models have achieved notable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Andrey Savchenko , Oleg Kachan