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Multivariate time-series anomaly detection is critically important in many applications, including retail, transportation, power grid, and water treatment plants. Existing approaches for this problem mostly employ either statistical models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-17 Yu Zheng , Huan Yee Koh , Ming Jin , Lianhua Chi , Khoa T. Phan , Shirui Pan , Yi-Ping Phoebe Chen , Wei Xiang

Stream networks, a unique class of spatiotemporal graphs, exhibit complex directional flow constraints and evolving dependencies, making uncertainty quantification a critical yet challenging task. Traditional conformal prediction methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 Jifan Zhang , Fangxin Wang , Zihe Song , Philip S. Yu , Kaize Ding , Shixiang Zhu

Spatial-temporal graph models are prevailing for abstracting and modelling spatial and temporal dependencies. In this work, we ask the following question: whether and to what extent can we localise spatial-temporal graph models? We limit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Wenying Duan , Xiaoxi He , Zimu Zhou , Lothar Thiele , Hong Rao

Anomaly detection in high-dimensional time series data is pivotal for numerous industrial applications. Recent advances in multivariate time series anomaly detection (TSAD) have increasingly leveraged graph structures to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Jiazhen Chen , Mingbin Feng , Tony S. Wirjanto

Time series data in real-world applications such as healthcare, climate modeling, and finance are often irregular, multimodal, and messy, with varying sampling rates, asynchronous modalities, and pervasive missingness. However, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Ching Chang , Jeehyun Hwang , Yidan Shi , Haixin Wang , Wen-Chih Peng , Tien-Fu Chen , Wei Wang

Urban metro flow prediction is of great value for metro operation scheduling, passenger flow management and personal travel planning. However, it faces two main challenges. First, different metro stations, e.g. transfer stations and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-07 Peng Xie , Minbo Ma , Tianrui Li , Shenggong Ji , Shengdong Du , Zeng Yu , Junbo Zhang

Learning effective representations for Continuous-Time Dynamic Graphs (CTDGs) has garnered significant research interest, largely due to its powerful capabilities in modeling complex interactions between nodes. A fundamental and crucial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Zhe Wang , Sheng Zhou , Jiawei Chen , Zhen Zhang , Binbin Hu , Yan Feng , Chun Chen , Can Wang

In this paper, we present XST-GCNN (eXplainable Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Neural Network), a novel architecture for processing heterogeneous and irregular Multivariate Time Series (MTS) data. Our approach captures temporal and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Óscar Escudero-Arnanz , Cristina Soguero-Ruiz , Antonio G. Marques

Among various region embedding methods, graph-based region relation learning models stand out, owing to their strong structure representation ability for encoding spatial correlations with graph neural networks. Despite their effectiveness,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Qianru Zhang , Chao Huang , Lianghao Xia , Zheng Wang , Zhonghang Li , Siuming Yiu

Irregular multivariate time series with missing values present significant challenges for predictive modeling in domains such as healthcare. While deep learning approaches often focus on temporal interpolation or complex architectures to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Dingyi Nie , Yixing Wu , C. -C. Jay Kuo

Accurate prediction of the need for invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) in intensive care units (ICUs) patients is crucial for timely interventions and resource allocation. However, variability in patient populations, clinical practices,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Xiaolei Lu , Shamim Nemati

Joint probabilistic modeling is essential for forecasting irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) to accurately quantify uncertainty. Existing approaches often struggle to balance model expressivity with consistent marginalization,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Christian Klötergens , Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Accurate flood prediction is crucial for disaster prevention and mitigation. Hydrological data exhibit highly nonlinear temporal patterns and encompass complex spatial relationships between rainfall and flow. Existing flood prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Jun Feng , Xueyi Liu , Jiamin Lu , Pingping Shao

We propose Lite-STGNN, a lightweight spatial-temporal graph neural network for long-term multivariate forecasting that integrates decomposition-based temporal modeling with learnable sparse graph structure. The temporal module applies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Henok Tenaw Moges , Deshendran Moodley

It's common for current methods in skeleton-based action recognition to mainly consider capturing long-term temporal dependencies as skeleton sequences are typically long (>128 frames), which forms a challenging problem for previous…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-14 Lianyu Hu , Shenglan Liu , Wei Feng

Irregular time series, where data points are recorded at uneven intervals, are prevalent in healthcare settings, such as emergency wards where vital signs and laboratory results are captured at varying times. This variability, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Hrishikesh Patel , Ruihong Qiu , Adam Irwin , Shazia Sadiq , Sen Wang

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is an essential problem in many fields. Accurate forecasting results can effectively help decision-making. To date, many MTS forecasting methods have been proposed and widely applied. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Yida Huang , Jie Feng , Yueyang Wang

Pavement distress significantly compromises road integrity and poses risks to drivers. Accurate prediction of pavement distress deterioration is essential for effective road management, cost reduction in maintenance, and improvement of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Shilin Tong , Difei Wu , Xiaona Liu , Le Zheng , Yuchuan Du , Difan Zou

Spatio-Temporal Multivariate time series Forecast (STMF) uses the time series of $n$ spatially distributed variables in a period of recent past to forecast their values in a period of near future. It has important applications in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Zibo Liu , Zhe Jiang , Zelin Xu , Tingsong Xiao , Yupu Zhang , Zhengkun Xiao , Haibo Wang , Shigang Chen

Although transformer-based methods have achieved great success in multi-scale temporal pattern interaction modeling, two key challenges limit their further development: (1) Individual time points contain less semantic information, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Zongjiang Shang , Ling Chen , Binqing wu , Dongliang Cui