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The causal relationships among a set of random variables are commonly represented by a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG), where there is a directed edge from variable $X$ to variable $Y$ if $X$ is a direct cause of $Y$. From the purely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-18 Ali AhmadiTeshnizi , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash

Multivariate time series anomaly detection has numerous real-world applications and is being extensively studied. Modeling pairwise correlations between variables is crucial. Existing methods employ learnable graph structures and graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-24 Zehao Liu , Mengzhou Gao , Pengfei Jiao

Multivariate Hawkes process provides a powerful framework for modeling temporal dependencies and event-driven interactions in complex systems. While existing methods primarily focus on uncovering causal structures among observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Songyao Jin , Biwei Huang

Existing causal inference (CI) models are often restricted to data with low-dimensional confounders and singleton actions. We propose an autoregressive (AR) CI framework capable of handling complex confounders and sequential actions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Daniel Jiwoong Im , Kevin Zhang , Nakul Verma , Kyunghyun Cho

Current models for event causality identification (ECI) mainly adopt a supervised framework, which heavily rely on labeled data for training. Unfortunately, the scale of current annotated datasets is relatively limited, which cannot provide…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Xinyu Zuo , Pengfei Cao , Yubo Chen , Kang Liu , Jun Zhao , Weihua Peng , Yuguang Chen

Identifying causality behind complex systems plays a significant role in different domains, such as decision making, policy implementations, and management recommendations. However, existing causality studies on temporal event sequences…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Sujia Zhu , Yue Shen , Zihao Zhu , Wang Xia , Baofeng Chang , Ronghua Liang , Guodao Sun

Causal discovery from multivariate time series is challenging when causal effects may occur both across time and within the same sampling interval. This issue is especially important in applications such as neuroscience, where the sampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 SeyedSina Seyedi HasanAbadi , Fahimeh Arab , Erfan Nozari , AmirEmad Ghassami

Identifying cause-and-effect relationships is critical to understanding real-world dynamics and ultimately causal reasoning. Existing methods for identifying event causality in NLP, including those based on Large Language Models (LLMs),…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Vy Vo , Lizhen Qu , Tao Feng , Yuncheng Hua , Xiaoxi Kang , Songhai Fan , Tim Dwyer , Lay-Ki Soon , Gholamreza Haffari

Existing weakly supervised sound event detection (WSSED) work has not explored both types of co-occurrences simultaneously, i.e., some sound events often co-occur, and their occurrences are usually accompanied by specific background sounds,…

Sound · Computer Science 2023-03-13 Yifei Xin , Dongchao Yang , Fan Cui , Yujun Wang , Yuexian Zou

With the rapid advancement of neural language models, the deployment of over-parameterized models has surged, increasing the need for interpretable explanations comprehensible to human inspectors. Existing post-hoc interpretability methods,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Zijian Zhang , Vinay Setty , Yumeng Wang , Avishek Anand

This paper demonstrates how to discover the whole causal graph from the second derivative of the log-likelihood in observational non-linear additive Gaussian noise models. Leveraging scalable machine learning approaches to approximate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-10 Francesco Montagna , Nicoletta Noceti , Lorenzo Rosasco , Kun Zhang , Francesco Locatello

Causality graphs are routinely estimated in social sciences, natural sciences, and engineering due to their capacity to efficiently represent the spatiotemporal structure of multivariate data sets in a format amenable for human…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-16 Bakht Zaman , Luis Miguel Lopez Ramos , Daniel Romero , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Multivariate Bernoulli autoregressive (BAR) processes model time series of events in which the likelihood of current events is determined by the times and locations of past events. These processes can be used to model nonlinear dynamical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-08 Benjamin Mark , Garvesh Raskutti , Rebecca Willett

Learning causal relations from observational data is challenging because the graph search space grows super-exponentially with the number of variables. Ordering-based methods reduce this space by first identifying the topological ordering,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Rafat Ashraf Joy , Elena Zheleva

Causal inference is fundamental across scientific disciplines, yet existing methods struggle to capture instantaneous, time-evolving causal relationships in complex, high-dimensional systems. In this paper, assimilative causal inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Marios Andreou , Nan Chen , Erik Bollt

Causal effect identification typically requires a fully specified causal graph, which can be difficult to obtain in practice. We provide a sufficient criterion for identifying causal effects from a candidate set of Markov equivalence…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-19 Kai Z. Teh , Kayvan Sadeghi , Terry Soo

The large-scale deployment of autonomous vehicles is yet to come, and one of the major remaining challenges lies in urban dense traffic scenarios. In such cases, it remains challenging to predict the future evolution of the scene and future…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Hao Shao , Letian Wang , Ruobing Chen , Steven L. Waslander , Hongsheng Li , Yu Liu

Recovering causal structure in the presence of latent variables is an important but challenging task. While many methods have been proposed to handle it, most of them require strict and/or untestable assumptions on the causal structure. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Wei Chen , Linjun Peng , Zhiyi Huang , Haoyue Dai , Zhifeng Hao , Ruichu Cai , Kun Zhang

Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events (MACE) remain the leading cause of mortality globally, as reported in the Global Disease Burden Study 2021. Opportunistic screening leverages data collected from routine health check-ups and multimodal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Jialu Pi , Juan Maria Farina , Rimita Lahiri , Jiwoong Jeong , Archana Gurudu , Hyung-Bok Park , Chieh-Ju Chao , Chadi Ayoub , Reza Arsanjani , Imon Banerjee

Discovering causal structures with latent variables from observational data is a fundamental challenge in causal discovery. Existing methods often rely on constraint-based, iterative discrete searches, limiting their scalability to large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Parjanya Prashant , Ignavier Ng , Kun Zhang , Biwei Huang