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This paper studies a robust utility maximization problem for intractable claims under distributional ambiguity, where the distribution of the claim cannot be inferred from market information and its dependence with tradable assets is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Guohui Guan , Zongxia Liang , Xingjian Ma

Real-world environments are inherently uncertain, and to operate safely in these environments robots must be able to plan around this uncertainty. In the context of motion planning, we desire systems that can maintain an acceptable level of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-03-18 Charles Dawson , Ashkan Jasour , Andreas Hofmann , Brian Williams

We introduce a distributional method for learning the optimal policy in risk averse Markov decision process with finite state action spaces, latent costs, and stationary dynamics. We assume sequential observations of states, actions, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Ziteng Cheng , Sebastian Jaimungal , Nick Martin

The predict-then-optimize framework arises in a wide variety of applications where the unknown cost coefficients of an optimization problem are first predicted based on contextual features and then used to solve the problem. In this work,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-02 Bo Tang , Elias B. Khalil

This paper develops a path planner that minimizes risk (e.g. motion execution) while maximizing accumulated reward (e.g., quality of sensor viewpoint) motivated by visual assistance or tracking scenarios in unstructured or confined…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-11 Xuesu Xiao , Jan Dufek , Robin Murphy

We present a distributionally robust approach for collision avoidance by incorporating contextual information. Specifically, we embed the conditional distribution of future trajectory of the obstacle conditioned on the motion of the ego…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Kaizer Rahaman , Simran Kumari , Ashish R. Hota

We propose a protocol optimization technique that is applicable to both weighted or unweighted graphs. Our aim is to explore by how much a small variation around the Shortest Path or Optimal Path protocols can enhance protocol performance.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-19 Jose J. Ramasco , Marta S. de la Lama , Eduardo Lopez , Stefan Boettcher

This article is an exposition on some recent theoretical advances in learning latent structured models, with a primary focus on the fundamental roles that optimal transport distances play in the statistical theory. We aim at what may be the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-19 XuanLong Nguyen , Yun Wei

Sequential decision making using Markov Decision Process underpins many realworld applications. Both model-based and model free methods have achieved strong results in these settings. However, real-world tasks must balance reward…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Janaka Chathuranga Brahmanage , Akshat Kumar

Typical causal effects are defined based on the marginal distribution of potential outcomes. However, many real-world applications require causal estimands involving the joint distribution of potential outcomes to enable more nuanced…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Peng Wu , Xiaojie Mao

We study a class of dynamically consistent risk measures that robustify a time-homogeneous Markovian reference model by allowing for distributional uncertainty in its transition laws. We start from one-step convex risk evaluations in which…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-22 Sven Fuhrmann , Michael Kupper , Max Nendel

This paper presents a strictly convex chance-constrained stochastic control framework that accounts for uncertainty in control specifications such as reference trajectories and operational constraints. By jointly optimizing control inputs…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-27 Teruki Kato , Ryotaro Shima , Kenji Kashima

Chance constraints are frequently used to limit the probability of constraint violations in real-world optimization problems where the constraints involve stochastic components. We study chance-constrained submodular optimization problems,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-27 Xiankun Yan , Anh Viet Do , Feng Shi , Xiaoyu Qin , Frank Neumann

In this article, we propose a novel characterization of law-invariant and coherent risk measures, based on a generalized optimal transport problem in which the second marginal of the admissible plans is not fixed, but required to lie within…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Riccardo Bonalli , Benoît Bonnet-Weill , Laurent Pfeiffer

We develop an approach to risk minimization and stochastic optimization that provides a convex surrogate for variance, allowing near-optimal and computationally efficient trading between approximation and estimation error. Our approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-15 John Duchi , Hongseok Namkoong

Local decision rules are commonly understood to be more explainable, due to the local nature of the patterns involved. With numerical optimization methods such as gradient boosting, ensembles of local decision rules can gain good predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Xin Du , Subramanian Ramamoorthy , Wouter Duivesteijn , Jin Tian , Mykola Pechenizkiy

This paper studies the communication complexity of convex risk-averse optimization over a network. The problem generalizes the well-studied risk-neutral finite-sum distributed optimization problem and its importance stems from the need to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Guanghui Lan , Zhe Zhang

In this paper, we address the trajectory planning problem in uncertain nonconvex static and dynamic environments that contain obstacles with probabilistic location, size, and geometry. To address this problem, we provide a risk bounded…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Ashkan Jasour , Weiqiao Han , Brian Williams

Safety assurance is uncompromisable for safety-critical environments with the presence of drastic model uncertainties (e.g., distributional shift), especially with humans in the loop. However, incorporating uncertainty in safe learning will…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Alaa Eddine Chriat , Chuangchuang Sun

We study strategic interaction in data-driven games where players face uncertainty about payoff distributions inferred from finite samples. To model calibrated attitudes toward such uncertainty, we formulate distributionally robust games…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Bharat Gangwani , Arunesh Sinha
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