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We study the problem of characterizing the expected hitting times for a robust generalization of continuous-time Markov chains. This generalization is based on the theory of imprecise probabilities, and the models with which we work…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Thomas Krak

In this article, we consider products of ergodic Markov chains and discuss their cutoffs in the total variation. Through a new inequality relating the total variation and the Hellinger distance, we may identify the total variation cutoffs…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-13 Guan-Yu Chen , Takashi Kumagai

Decomposable graphs are known for their tedious and complicated Markov update steps. Instead of modelling them directly, this work introduces a class of tree-dependent bipartite graphs that span the projective space of decomposable graphs.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-11 Mohamad Elmasri

We propose a simple extension of top-down decision tree learning heuristics such as ID3, C4.5, and CART. Our algorithm achieves provable guarantees for all target functions $f: \{-1,1\}^n \to \{-1,1\}$ with respect to the uniform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Guy Blanc , Neha Gupta , Jane Lange , Li-Yang Tan

The problem of selecting a small, yet high quality subset of patterns from a larger collection of itemsets has recently attracted lot of research. Here we discuss an approach to this problem using the notion of decomposable families of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-18 Nikolaj Tatti , Hannes Heikinheimo

The evolution of aligned DNA sequence sites is generally modeled by a Markov process operating along the edges of a phylogenetic tree. It is well known that the probability distribution on the site patterns at the tips of the tree…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-10-15 Benny Chor , Mike Steel

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

Earlier work by Diaconis and Saloff-Coste gives a spectral criterion for a maximum separation cutoff to occur for birth and death chains. Ding, Lubetzky and Peres gave a related criterion for a maximum total variation cutoff to occur in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-03 Guan-Yu Chen , Laurent Saloff-Coste

We present an algorithm that can efficiently compute a broad class of inferences for discrete-time imprecise Markov chains, a generalised type of Markov chains that allows one to take into account partially specified probabilities and other…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Natan T'Joens , Thomas Krak , Jasper De Bock , Gert de Cooman

The goal of these lectures is to survey some of the recent progress on the description of large-scale structure of random trees. We use the framework of Markov-Branching sequences of trees and discuss several applications.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-26 Bénédicte Haas

We give a short, topological proof that all graphs admit tree-decompositions displaying their topological ends.

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-12-03 Max Pitz

We show that every graph admits a canonical tree-like decomposition into its $k$-edge-connected pieces for all $k\in\mathbb{N}\cup\{\infty\}$ simultaneously.

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-05-03 Christian Elbracht , Jan Kurkofka , Maximilian Teegen

The cutoff phenomenon describes a case where a Markov chain exhibits a sharp transition in its convergence to stationarity. In 1996, Diaconis surveyed this phenomenon, and asked how one could recognize its occurrence in families of finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-06 Jian Ding , Eyal Lubetzky , Yuval Peres

We consider a discrete-time Markov chain, called fragmentation process, that describes a specific way of successively removing objects from a linear arrangement. The process arises in population genetics and describes the ancestry of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Ellen Baake , Mareike Esser

Full Bayesian computational inference for model determination in undirected graphical models is currently restricted to decomposable graphs, except for problems of very small scale. In this paper we develop new, more efficient methodology…

Computation · Statistics 2012-06-05 Peter J. Green , Alun Thomas

Markov chain sampling methods that automatically adapt to characteristics of the distribution being sampled can be constructed by exploiting the principle that one can sample from a distribution by sampling uniformly from the region under…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Radford M. Neal

We study the Markov chain $x_{n+1}=ax_n+b_n$ on a finite field $\mathbb{F}_p$, where $a \in \mathbb{F}_p$ is fixed and $b_n$ are independent and identically distributed random variables in $\mathbb{F}_p$. Conditionally on the Riemann…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-25 Emmanuel Breuillard , Péter P. Varjú

Graphs with bounded treewidth and bounded maximum degree are known to have tree-partitions of bounded width. What can be said if the bounded treewidth assumption is strengthened to bounded pathwidth? We prove that every graph with bounded…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-05-28 David R. Wood

We study the problem of learning tree-structured Markov random fields (MRF) on discrete random variables with common support when the observations are corrupted by a $k$-ary symmetric noise channel with unknown probability of error. For…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-15 Ashish Katiyar , Soumya Basu , Vatsal Shah , Constantine Caramanis

We extend the Markov chain tree theorem to general commutative semirings, and we generalize the state reduction algorithm to commutative semifields. This leads to a new universal algorithm, whose prototype is the state reduction algorithm…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Buket Benek Gursoy , Steve Kirkland , Oliver Mason , Sergei Sergeev