English
Related papers

Related papers: Modeling Tennis In-Match Momentum Using Probabilit…

200 papers

Cricket is unarguably one of the most popular sports in the world. Predicting the outcome of a cricket match has become a fundamental problem as we are advancing in the field of machine learning. Multiple researchers have tried to predict…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Harsh Mittal , Deepak Rikhari , Jitendra Kumar , Ashutosh Kumar Singh

Individual sports competitions provide a natural setting for examining the relative importance of talent and luck/chance in achieving success. The belief that success is primarily due to individual abilities and hard work rather than…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-14 Chiara Zappalá , Alessio Emanuele Biondo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda

This paper considers the impact of unforced errors in sport. Although the proposed methods are applicable to various sports, we demonstrate the approach in the context of professional tennis. The value of the approach is that we can provide…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-30 Hashan Peiris , Nirodha Epasinghege Dona , Tim Swartz

The world of competitive Esports and video gaming has seen and continues to experience steady growth in popularity and complexity. Correspondingly, more research on the topic is being published, ranging from social network analyses to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Alfonso White , Daniela M. Romano

We propose a novel ranking model that combines the Bradley-Terry-Luce probability model with a nonnegative matrix factorization framework to model and uncover the presence of latent variables that influence the performance of top tennis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-14 Rui Xia , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Louis Filstroff , Cédric Févotte

We establish a general formula for the distribution of the score in table tennis. We use this formula to derive the probability distribution (and hence the expectation and variance) of the number of rallies necessary to achieve any given…

Applications · Statistics 2011-10-02 Yves Dominicy , Christophe Ley , Yvik Swan

Professional team sports provide an excellent domain for studying the dynamics of social competitions. These games are constructed with simple, well-defined rules and payoffs that admit a high-dimensional set of possible actions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-06-17 Leto Peel , Aaron Clauset

From the viewpoint of networks, a ranking system for players or teams in sports is equivalent to a centrality measure for sports networks, whereby a directed link represents the result of a single game. Previously proposed network-based…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-07 Shun Motegi , Naoki Masuda

Tournament solutions are standard tools for identifying winners based on pairwise comparisons between competing alternatives. The recently studied notion of margin of victory (MoV) offers a general method for refining the winner set of any…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Markus Brill , Ulrike Schmidt-Kraepelin , Warut Suksompong

Automated tennis stroke analysis has advanced significantly with the integration of biomechanical motion cues alongside deep learning techniques, enhancing stroke classification accuracy and player performance evaluation. Despite these…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Arushi Dashore , Aryan Anumala , Emily Hui , Olivia Yang

In this manuscript, we concentrate on a specific type of covariates, which we call statistically enhanced, for modeling tennis matches for men at Grand slam tournaments. Our goal is to assess whether these enhanced covariates have the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-27 Nourah Buhamra , Andreas Groll

In the 2023 Wimbledon Gentlemen's final, Carlos Alcaraz defeated Novak Djokovic. This study aims to predict athletes' performance through five key aspects: first, a mul-ti-classification model based on logistic regression was established,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-11 Chuangqi Li

Over the past two decades, Machine Learning (ML) techniques have been increasingly utilized for the purpose of predicting outcomes in sport. In this paper, we provide a review of studies that have used ML for predicting results in team…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-19 Rory Bunker , Teo Susnjak

This study applies complexity sciences to analyze the game of Padel. Data from 18 professional matches were collected, and the probability distributions of the total number of shots and the probability distribution of rallies' duration were…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-09 A. Chacoma , O. V. Billoni

A quest for uncovering influence of behaviour on team performance involves understanding individual behaviour, interactions with others and environment, variations across groups, and effects of interventions. Although insights into each of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-11 Hidemasa Ishii , Yohei Takai , Yuichiro Marui , Yoshihiro Yamazaki , Yusuke Kato , Hiroshi Kori

Identifying significant shots in a rally is important for evaluating players' performance in badminton matches. While there are several studies that have quantified player performance in other sports, analyzing badminton data is remained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Wei-Yao Wang , Teng-Fong Chan , Hui-Kuo Yang , Chih-Chuan Wang , Yao-Chung Fan , Wen-Chih Peng

The Supreme Court plays an extremely critical role in ensuring adherence to the rule of law and in strengthening the democracy. Due to this reason, modeling and analysis of small group interactions in the courtroom setting is an important…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Susmoy Das , Arpit Sharma

Baseball is a game of strategic decisions including bullpen usage, pinch-hitting and intentional walks. Managers must adjust their strategies based on the changing state of the game in order to give their team the best chance of winning. In…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Tristan Mott , Caleb Bradshaw , David Grimsman , Christopher Archibald

Momentum is a popular technique for improving convergence rates during gradient descent. In this research, we experiment with adding momentum to the Baum-Welch expectation-maximization algorithm for training Hidden Markov Models. We compare…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Andrew Miller , Fabio Di Troia , Mark Stamp

This paper discusses match result prediction ability of ATP ranking points, which is official ranking points for men's professional tennis players. The structure of overall ATP World Tour and the ranking point attribution system leads that…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-18 Eiji Konaka