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Multimodal data, where different types of data are collected from the same subjects, are fast emerging in a large variety of scientific applications. Factor analysis is commonly used in integrative analysis of multimodal data, and is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-31 Quefeng Li , Lexin Li

It is an important task to model realized volatilities for high-frequency data in finance and economics and, as arguably the most popular model, the heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model has dominated the applications in this area.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Huiling Yuan , Kexin Lu , Yifeng Guo , Guodong Li

A current strand of research in high-dimensional statistics deals with robustifying the available methodology with respect to deviations from the pervasive light-tail assumptions. In this paper we consider a linear mean regression model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Philipp Hermann , Hajo Holzmann

We consider the problem of automatic variable selection in a linear model with asymmetric or heavy-tailed errors when the number of explanatory variables diverges with the sample size. For this high-dimensional model, the penalized least…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-10 Gabriela Ciuperca

Data derived from remote sensing or numerical simulations often have a regular gridded structure and are large in volume, making it challenging to find accurate spatial models that can fill in missing grid cells or simulate the process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Sweta Rai , Douglas W. Nychka , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

Under a high-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) model, we propose a way of efficiently estimating both the stationary graph structure between the nodal time series and their temporal dynamics. The framework is then used to make…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Arkaprava Roy , Anindya Roy , Subhashis Ghosal

How best to model structurally heterogeneous processes is a foundational question in the social, health and behavioral sciences. Recently, Fisher et al., (2022) introduced the multi-VAR approach for simultaneously estimating…

This paper provides some extended results on estimating parameter matrix of several regression models when the covariate or response possesses weaker moment condition. We study the $M$-estimator of Fan et al. (Ann Stat 49(3):1239--1266,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-08 Kangqiang Li , Songqiao Tang , Lixin Zhang

We introduce deep switching auto-regressive factorization (DSARF), a deep generative model for spatio-temporal data with the capability to unravel recurring patterns in the data and perform robust short- and long-term predictions. Similar…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-14 Amirreza Farnoosh , Bahar Azari , Sarah Ostadabbas

This paper gives two theoretical results on estimating low-rank parameter matrices for linear models with multivariate responses. We first focus on robust parameter estimation of low-rank multi-task learning with heavy-tailed data and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-24 Kangqiang Li , Yuxuan Wang

Visual Autoregressive (VAR) modeling inefficiently applies a fixed computational depth to each position when generating high-resolution images. While existing methods accelerate inference by pruning tokens using frequency maps, their binary…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Chunliang Li , Tianze Cao , Sanyuan Zhao

We propose a novel framework for analyzing multivariate time series (MTS) data by integrating non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) with vector autoregression (VAR). Termed NMF-VAR, this method models the coefficient matrix of NMF as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-08 Kenichi Satoh

In this paper, we consider the nonstationary matrix-valued time series with common stochastic trends. Unlike the traditional factor analysis which flattens matrix observations into vectors, we adopt a matrix factor model in order to fully…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-25 Degui Li , Yayi Yan , Qiwei Yao

We develop an estimation methodology for a factor model for high-dimensional matrix-valued time series, where common stochastic trends and common stationary factors can be present. We study, in particular, the estimation of (row and column)…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-06 Rong Chen , Simone Giannerini , Greta Goracci , Lorenzo Trapani

High-dimensional linear regression has been intensively studied in the community of statistics in the last two decades. For the convenience of theoretical analyses, classical methods usually assume independent observations and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Jianqing Fan , Yongyi Guo , Bai Jiang

Recently, high-dimensional heterogeneous data have attracted a lot of attention and discussion. Under heterogeneity, semiparametric regression is a popular choice to model data in statistics. In this paper, we take advantages of expectile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Jun Zhao , Guan'ao Yan , Yi Zhang

The paper provides a parametrization of Vector Autoregression (VAR) that enables one to look at the parameters associated with unit root dynamics and those associated with stable dynamics separately. The task is achieved via a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-07 Anindya Roy , Tucker S. McElroy

High-dimensional covariance estimation is notoriously sensitive to outliers. While statistically optimal estimators exist for general heavy-tailed distributions, they often rely on computationally expensive techniques like semidefinite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Even He

The joint Value at Risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) quantile regression model of Taylor (2017) is extended via incorporating a realized measure, to drive the tail risk dynamics, as a potentially more efficient driver than daily…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-23 Richard Gerlach , Chao Wang

Vector autoregressions (VARs) are a widely used tool for modelling multivariate time-series. It is common to assume a VAR is stationary; this can be enforced by imposing the stationarity condition which restricts the parameter space of the…

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