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We study Exo-MDPs, a structured class of Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) where the state space is partitioned into exogenous and endogenous components. Exogenous states evolve stochastically, independent of the agent's actions, while…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-06 Jia Wan , Sean R. Sinclair , Devavrat Shah , Martin J. Wainwright

Previous work on planning as active inference addresses finite horizon problems and solutions valid for online planning. We propose solving the general Stochastic Shortest-Path Markov Decision Process (SSP MDP) as probabilistic inference.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Mohamed Baioumy , Bruno Lacerda , Paul Duckworth , Nick Hawes

Optimal decision-making presents a significant challenge for autonomous systems operating in uncertain, stochastic and time-varying environments. Environmental variability over time can significantly impact the system's optimal decision…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Gokul Puthumanaillam , Xiangyu Liu , Negar Mehr , Melkior Ornik

Multistage model predictive control (MPC) provides a robust control strategy for dynamic systems with uncertainties and a setpoint tracking objective. Moreover, extending MPC to minimize an economic cost instead of tracking a pre-calculated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-07 Sakshi S. Naik , Lavinia M. Ghilardi , Robert B. Parker , Lorenz T. Biegler

Risk-averse multistage stochastic programs appear in multiple areas and are challenging to solve. Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming (SDDP) is a well-known tool to address such problems under time-independence assumptions. We show how to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-21 Bernardo Freitas Paulo da Costa , Vincent Leclère

Software-intensive systems, such as software product lines and robotics, utilise Markov decision processes (MDPs) to capture uncertainty and analyse sequential decision-making problems. Despite the usefulness of conventional policy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Alexandros Evangelidis , Gricel Vázquez , Simos Gerasimou

In this paper, we introduce a data-driven framework for synthesis of provably-correct controllers for general nonlinear switched systems under complex specifications. The focus is on systems with unknown disturbances whose effects on the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-17 Ibon Gracia , Dimitris Boskos , Luca Laurenti , Morteza Lahijanian

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is well understood in the deterministic setting, yet rigorous stability and performance guarantees for stochastic MPC remain limited to the consideration of terminal constraints and penalties. In contrast,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Jonas Schießl , Hannah Selder , Ruchuan Ou , Michael Heinrich Baumann , Timm Faulwasser , Lars Grüne

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are standard models for probabilistic systems with non-deterministic behaviours. Mean payoff (or long-run average reward) provides a mathematically elegant formalism to express performance related…

Performance · Computer Science 2017-09-08 Jan Křetínský , Tobias Meggendorfer

This paper studies convergence properties of optimal values and actions for discounted and average-cost Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) with weakly continuous transition probabilities and applies these properties to the stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-21 Eugene A. Feinberg , Mark E. Lewis

Model checking undiscounted reachability and expected-reward properties on Markov decision processes (MDPs) is key for the verification of systems that act under uncertainty. Popular algorithms are policy iteration and variants of value…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-01-25 Arnd Hartmanns , Sebastian Junges , Tim Quatmann , Maximilian Weininger

In this paper, we consider risk-sensitive Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) with Borel state and action spaces and unbounded cost under both finite and infinite planning horizons. Our optimality criterion is based on the recursive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-16 Nicole Bäuerle , Alexander Glauner

There are two main challenges in control of hybrid systems which are to guarantee the closed-loop stability and reduce computational complexity. In this paper, we propose the exponential stability conditions of hybrid systems which are…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-08-21 Alireza Olama , Mokhtar Shasadeghi , Amin Ramezani

Mathematical programming formulations of influence diagrams can bridge the gap between representing and solving decision problems. However, they suffer from both modeling and computational limitations. Aiming to address modeling…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-19 Olli Herrala , Tommi Ekholm , Fabricio Oliveira

We study the problem of refining satisfiability bounds for partially-known stochastic systems against planning specifications defined using syntactically co-safe Linear Temporal Logic (scLTL). We propose an abstraction-based approach that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-30 Jesse Jiang , Ye Zhao , Samuel Coogan

Many real-world decision-making problems face the off-dynamics challenge: the agent learns a policy in a source domain and deploys it in a target domain with different state transitions. The distributionally robust Markov decision process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Zhishuai Liu , Pan Xu

This paper studies the mean-field Markov decision process (MDP) with the centralized stopping under the non-exponential discount. The problem differs fundamentally from most existing studies on mean-field optimal control/stopping due to its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Xiang Yu , Fengyi Yuan

When human operators of cyber-physical systems encounter surprising behavior, they often consider multiple hypotheses that might explain it. In some cases, taking information-gathering actions such as additional measurements or control…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Ofer Dagan , Tyler Becker , Zachary N. Sunberg

We describe an algorithm for computing the maximal invariant set for a Markov chain with linear safety constraints on the distribution over states. We then propose a Markov chain synthesis method that guarantees finite determination of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-06 Dylan Janak , Behçet Açıkmeşe

We study the minimization of a spectral risk measure of the total discounted cost generated by a Markov Decision Process (MDP) over a finite or infinite planning horizon. The MDP is assumed to have Borel state and action spaces and the cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-16 Nicole Bäuerle , Alexander Glauner