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We introduce a framework for calibrating machine learning models so that their predictions satisfy explicit, finite-sample statistical guarantees. Our calibration algorithms work with any underlying model and (unknown) data-generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates , Emmanuel J. Candès , Michael I. Jordan , Lihua Lei

Being able to reliably assess not only the \emph{accuracy} but also the \emph{uncertainty} of models' predictions is an important endeavour in modern machine learning. Even if the model generating the data and labels is known, computing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

Data dispersed across multiple files are commonly integrated through probabilistic linkage methods, where even minimal error rates in record matching can significantly contaminate subsequent statistical analyses. In regression problems, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Abhisek Chakraborty , Saptati Datta

Modern machine learning pipelines leverage large amounts of public data, making it infeasible to guarantee data quality and leaving models open to poisoning and backdoor attacks. Provably bounding model behavior under such attacks remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Philip Sosnin , Mark N. Müller , Maximilian Baader , Calvin Tsay , Matthew Wicker

We prove that Riemannian contraction in a supervised learning setting implies generalization. Specifically, we show that if an optimizer is contracting in some Riemannian metric with rate $\lambda > 0$, it is uniformly algorithmically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-27 Leo Kozachkov , Patrick M. Wensing , Jean-Jacques Slotine

We propose a novel amortized variational inference scheme for an empirical Bayes meta-learning model, where model parameters are treated as latent variables. We learn the prior distribution over model parameters conditioned on limited…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-31 Ekaterina Iakovleva , Jakob Verbeek , Karteek Alahari

A fundamental problem in modern supervised learning is computing reliable conditional prediction intervals in high-dimensional settings: existing methods often rely on restrictive modelling assumptions, do not scale as predictor dimension…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Daniel Salnikov , Dan Leonte , Kevin Michalewicz

We propose a theoretical framework for the problem of learning a real-valued function which meets fairness requirements. This framework is built upon the notion of $\alpha$-relative (fairness) improvement of the regression function which we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-11 Evgenii Chzhen , Nicolas Schreuder

In this paper, we develop a randomized algorithm and theory for learning a sparse model from large-scale and high-dimensional data, which is usually formulated as an empirical risk minimization problem with a sparsity-inducing regularizer.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-10-18 Lijun Zhang , Tianbao Yang , Rong Jin , Zhi-Hua Zhou

Distribution regression has recently attracted much interest as a generic solution to the problem of supervised learning where labels are available at the group level, rather than at the individual level. Current approaches, however, do not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-18 Ho Chung Leon Law , Danica J. Sutherland , Dino Sejdinovic , Seth Flaxman

Machine learning models can capture and amplify biases present in data, leading to disparate test performance across social groups. To better understand, evaluate, and mitigate these biases, a deeper theoretical understanding of how model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Arjun Subramonian , Samuel J. Bell , Levent Sagun , Elvis Dohmatob

Parameter estimation in Markov random fields (MRFs) is a difficult task, in which inference over the network is run in the inner loop of a gradient descent procedure. Replacing exact inference with approximate methods such as loopy belief…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Varun Ganapathi , David Vickrey , John Duchi , Daphne Koller

In the Mixup training paradigm, a model is trained using convex combinations of data points and their associated labels. Despite seeing very few true data points during training, models trained using Mixup seem to still minimize the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Muthu Chidambaram , Xiang Wang , Yuzheng Hu , Chenwei Wu , Rong Ge

Our understanding of learning input-output relationships with neural nets has improved rapidly in recent years, but little is known about the convergence of the underlying representations, even in the simple case of linear autoencoders…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-04 Xuchan Bao , James Lucas , Sushant Sachdeva , Roger Grosse

Optimal a priori estimates are derived for the population risk, also known as the generalization error, of a regularized residual network model. An important part of the regularized model is the usage of a new path norm, called the weighted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Weinan E , Chao Ma , Qingcan Wang

Early identification of at risk students in higher education depends on predictive models that maintain accuracy across successive cohorts -- a requirement that single-cohort modeling approaches fail to meet. This study evaluates Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-22 Jakob Schwerter , Amer Krivosija , Tim Novak , Katja Ickstadt , Alexander Munteanu

We study high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression with a general beta prime distribution for the scale parameter. Under the assumption of sparsity, we show that appropriate selection of the hyperparameters in the beta prime prior leads…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-19 Ray Bai , Malay Ghosh

In this paper, we propose a novel learning-based robust feedback linearization strategy to ensure precise trajectory tracking for an important family of Lagrangian systems. We assume a nominal knowledge of the dynamics is given but no…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Giulio Giacomuzzo , Mohamed Abdelwahab , Marco Calì , Alberto Dalla Libera , Ruggero Carli

Modern deep learning models generalize remarkably well in-distribution, despite being overparametrized and trained with little to no explicit regularization. Instead, current theory credits implicit regularization imposed by the choice of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Jonathan Wenger , Beau Coker , Juraj Marusic , John P. Cunningham

High dimensional statistics deals with the challenge of extracting structured information from complex model settings. Compared with the growing number of frequentist methodologies, there are rather few theoretically optimal Bayes methods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Chao Gao , Aad W. van der Vaart , Harrison H. Zhou
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