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In mortality modelling, cohort effects are often taken into consideration as they add insights about variations in mortality across different generations. Statistically speaking, models such as the Renshaw-Haberman model may provide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-01 Yiping Guo , Johnny Siu-Hang Li

Interval censoring occurs when event times are only known to fall between scheduled assessments, a common design in clinical trials, epidemiology, and reliability studies. Standard right-censoring methods, such as Kaplan-Meier and Cox…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 J. T. Korley

Multivariate time series with missing values are common in areas such as healthcare and finance, and have grown in number and complexity over the years. This raises the question whether deep learning methodologies can outperform classical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-21 Vincent Fortuin , Dmitry Baranchuk , Gunnar Rätsch , Stephan Mandt

The use of deep neural networks to make high risk decisions creates a need for global and local explanations so that users and experts have confidence in the modeling algorithms. We introduce a novel technique to find global and local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-15 Xochitl Watts , Freddy Lecue

When drawing causal inferences about the effects of multiple treatments on clustered survival outcomes using observational data, we need to address implications of the multilevel data structure, multiple treatments, censoring and unmeasured…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-18 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Ronald D. Ennis , Joseph W. Hogan

Unsupervised learning is often used to uncover clusters in data. However, different kinds of noise may impede the discovery of useful patterns from real-world time-series data. In this work, we focus on mitigating the interference of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-07 Irene Y. Chen , Rahul G. Krishnan , David Sontag

Masking-based post-hoc explanation methods, such as KernelSHAP and LIME, estimate local feature importance by querying a black-box model under randomized perturbations. This paper formulates this procedure as communication over a query…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Erciyes Karakaya , Ozgur Ercetin

Computational capability often falls short when confronted with massive data, posing a common challenge in establishing a statistical model or statistical inference method dealing with big data. While subsampling techniques have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-31 Yixiao Ruan , Zan Li , Zhaohui Li , Dennis K. J. Lin , Qingpei Hu , Dan Yu

In recent years, self-supervised learning has played a pivotal role in advancing machine learning by allowing models to acquire meaningful representations from unlabeled data. An intriguing research avenue involves developing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Denis Janiak , Jakub Binkowski , Piotr Bielak , Tomasz Kajdanowicz

Standard penalized methods of variable selection and parameter estimation rely on the magnitude of coefficient estimates to decide which variables to include in the final model. However, coefficient estimates are unreliable when the design…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Jonathan P Williams , Jan Hannig

Inferential challenges that arise when data are censored have been extensively studied under the classical frameworks. In this paper, we provide an alternative generalized inferential model approach whose output is a data-dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-16 Joyce Cahoon , Ryan Martin

For discrete-valued time series, predictive inference cannot be implemented through the construction of prediction intervals to some predetermined coverage level, as this is the case for real-valued time series. To address this problem, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch , Efstathios Paparoditis

In this paper, we study the Bernstein polynomial model for estimating the multivariate distribution functions and densities with bounded support. As a mixture model of multivariate beta distributions, the maximum (approximate) likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-23 Tao Wang , Zhong Guan

Semi-supervised learning has received increasingly attention in statistics and machine learning. In semi-supervised learning settings, a labeled data set with both outcomes and covariates and an unlabeled data set with covariates only are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-26 Zhuojun Quan , Yuanyuan Lin , Kani Chen , Wen Yu

We introduce a Bayesian quantile mixed-effects model for censored longitudinal outcomes based on the skew exponential power (SEP) error distribution. The SEP family separates tail behavior and skewness from the targeted quantile and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Divan A. Burger , Sean van der Merwe , Emmanuel Lesaffre

In survival analysis, estimating the failure time distribution is an important and difficult task, since usually the data is subject to censoring. Specifically, in this paper we consider current status data, a type of data where all of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-18 Yael Travis-Lumer , Yair Goldberg

Predicting an individual's risk of experiencing a future clinical outcome is a statistical task with important consequences for both practicing clinicians and public health experts. Modern observational databases such as electronic health…

In many real-world scenarios, labeled data for a specific machine learning task is costly to obtain. Semi-supervised training methods make use of abundantly available unlabeled data and a smaller number of labeled examples. We propose a new…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-06-06 Philip Häusser , Alexander Mordvintsev , Daniel Cremers

We study optimal covariate balance for causal inferences from observational data when rich covariates and complex relationships necessitate flexible modeling with neural networks. Standard approaches such as propensity weighting and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-16 Nathan Kallus

Marginal structural models (MSMs) with inverse probability weighting offer an approach to estimating causal effects of treatment sequences on repeated outcome measures in the presence of time-varying confounding and dependent censoring.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-02 Sean Yiu , Li Su