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At the heart of time-series forecasting (TSF) lies a fundamental challenge: how can models efficiently and effectively capture long-range temporal dependencies across ever-growing sequences? While deep learning has brought notable progress,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Hongbo Liu , Jia Xu

We study a seemingly unexpected and relatively less understood overfitting aspect of a fundamental tool in sparse linear modeling - best subset selection, which minimizes the residual sum of squares subject to a constraint on the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Rahul Mazumder , Peter Radchenko , Antoine Dedieu

Random Matrix Theory (RMT) is applied to analyze the weight matrices of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs), including both production quality, pre-trained models such as AlexNet and Inception, and smaller models trained from scratch, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-25 Charles H. Martin , Michael W. Mahoney

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) can be interpreted as discrete-time state-space models, where the state evolution corresponds to an infinite-impulse-response (IIR) filtering operation governed by both feedforward weights and recurrent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Alexander Morgan , Ummay Sumaya Khan , Lingjia Liu , Lizhong Zheng

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are known to be powerful methods for many hard problems (e.g. image classification, speech recognition or time series prediction). However, these models tend to produce black-box results and are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Marco Landt-Hayen , Peer Kröger , Martin Claus , Willi Rath

Evolutionary stochastic gradient descent (ESGD) was proposed as a population-based approach that combines the merits of gradient-aware and gradient-free optimization algorithms for superior overall optimization performance. In this paper we…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-07-12 Xiaodong Cui , Michael Picheny

Echo State Networks (ESN) are versatile recurrent neural network models in which the hidden layer remains unaltered during training. Interactions among nodes of this static backbone produce diverse representations of the given stimuli that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Kayson Fakhar , Fatemeh Hadaeghi , Claus C. Hilgetag

We study the high-dimensional asymptotics of empirical risk minimization (ERM) in over-parametrized two-layer neural networks with quadratic activations trained on synthetic data. We derive sharp asymptotics for both training and test…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-03 Vittorio Erba , Emanuele Troiani , Lenka Zdeborová , Florent Krzakala

The kernel-based regularization method has two core issues: kernel design and hyperparameter estimation. In this paper, we focus on the second issue and study the properties of several hyperparameter estimators including the empirical Bayes…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-07-04 Biqiang Mu , Tianshi Chen , Lennart Ljung

Supervised learning based on a deep neural network recently has achieved substantial improvement on speech enhancement. Denoising networks learn mapping from noisy speech to clean one directly, or to a spectrum mask which is the ratio…

Sound · Computer Science 2023-03-10 Jaeyoung Kim , Mostafa El-Khamy , Jungwon Lee

We study a class of iterated empirical risk minimization (ERM) procedures in which two successive ERMs are performed on the same dataset, and the predictions of the first estimator enter as an argument in the loss function of the second.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-02 Hugo Cui , Yue M. Lu

Forecasting stock and cryptocurrency prices is challenging due to high volatility and non-stationarity, influenced by factors like economic changes and market sentiment. Previous research shows that Echo State Networks (ESNs) can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Mansi Sharma , Enrico Sartor , Marc Cavazza , Helmut Prendinger

Conventional deep neural network (DNN)-based speech enhancement (SE) approaches aim to minimize the mean square error (MSE) between enhanced speech and clean reference. The MSE-optimized model may not directly improve the performance of an…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-11-13 Yih-Liang Shen , Chao-Yuan Huang , Syu-Siang Wang , Yu Tsao , Hsin-Min Wang , Tai-Shih Chi

Spatio-temporal area-level datasets play a critical role in official statistics, providing valuable insights for policy-making and regional planning. Accurate modeling and forecasting of these datasets can be extremely useful for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Zhenhua Wang , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

Precision matrix estimation is a cornerstone concept in statistics, economics, and finance. Despite advances in recent years, estimation methods that are simultaneously (i) dense, (ii) consistent, and (iii) model-free are lacking. While…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-05 Mehmet Caner Agostino Capponi Mihailo Stojnic

Stochastic approximation (SA) is a key method used in statistical learning. Recently, its non-asymptotic convergence analysis has been considered in many papers. However, most of the prior analyses are made under restrictive assumptions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-18 Belhal Karimi , Blazej Miasojedow , Eric Moulines , Hoi-To Wai

Study of dynamical systems using partial state observation is an important problem due to its applicability to many real-world systems. We address the problem by studying an echo state network (ESN) framework with partial state input with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-06 Ajit Mahata , Reetish Padhi , Amit Apte

Echo State Networks (ESNs) are known for their fast and precise one-shot learning of time series. But they often need good hyper-parameter tuning for best performance. For this good validation is key, but usually, a single validation split…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-13 Mantas Lukoševičius , Arnas Uselis

We propose a physics-informed Echo State Network (ESN) to predict the evolution of chaotic systems. Compared to conventional ESNs, the physics-informed ESNs are trained to solve supervised learning tasks while ensuring that their…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-28 Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Wolfgang Polifke , Luca Magri

We introduce Renet, a principled generalization of the Relaxed Lasso to the Elastic Net family of estimators. While, on the one hand, $\ell_1$-regularization is a standard tool for variable selection in high-dimensional regimes and, on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-12 Albert Dorador
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