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Deep neural networks have shown great success in prediction quality while reliable and robust uncertainty estimation remains a challenge. Predictive uncertainty supplements model predictions and enables improved functionality of downstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-02 Johanna Rock , Tiago Azevedo , René de Jong , Daniel Ruiz-Muñoz , Partha Maji

Robustly predicting attention regions of interest for self-driving systems is crucial for driving safety but presents significant challenges due to the labor-intensive nature of obtaining large-scale attention labels and the domain gap…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-30 Mengshi Qi , Xiaoyang Bi , Pengfei Zhu , Huadong Ma

The integration of artificial intelligence into clinical workflows requires reliable and robust models. Among the main features of robustness is repeatability. Much attention is given to classification performance without assessing the…

Policy design in non-stationary Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) is inherently challenging due to the complexities introduced by time-varying system transition and reward, which make it difficult for learners to determine the optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Ziyi Zhang , Yorie Nakahira , Guannan Qu

Knowledge Tracing (KT) infers a student's knowledge state from past interactions to predict future performance. Conventional Deep Learning (DL)-based KT models are typically tied to platform-specific identifiers and latent representations,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Zhiyi Duan , Hongyu Yuan , Rui Liu

Deployed machine learning models are confronted with the problem of changing data over time, a phenomenon also called concept drift. While existing approaches of concept drift detection already show convincing results, they require true…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-26 Lucas Baier , Tim Schlör , Jakob Schöffer , Niklas Kühl

Learning to Reject (LtR) frameworks allow ML models to abstain from uncertain predictions and promote user trust. However, since current LtR strategies focus solely on predictive performance, they completely neglect explanation quality.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Luca Stradiotti , Dario Pesenti , Stefano Teso , Jesse Davis

Trajectory prediction is central to the safe and seamless operation of autonomous vehicles (AVs). In deployment, however, prediction models inevitably face distribution shifts between training data and real-world conditions, where rare or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Tongfei Guo , Lili Su

Machine learning models for chronic kidney disease (CKD) risk prediction often post strong discrimination scores on internal test sets. Calibration and uncertainty quantification get far less attention, leaving clinicians without reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Michael O. Eniolade

Machine learning models, particularly the black-box models, are widely favored for their outstanding predictive capabilities. However, they often face scrutiny and criticism due to the lack of interpretability. Paradoxically, their strong…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-17 Xuetao Lu , J. Jack Lee

Deep neural networks tend to underestimate uncertainty and produce overly confident predictions. Recently proposed solutions, such as MC Dropout and SDENet, require complex training and/or auxiliary out-of-distribution data. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-14 Akib Mashrur , Wei Luo , Nayyar A. Zaidi , Antonio Robles-Kelly

Knowledge tracing allows Intelligent Tutoring Systems to infer which topics or skills a student has mastered, thus adjusting curriculum accordingly. Deep Learning based models like Deep Knowledge Tracing (DKT) and Dynamic Key-Value Memory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-28 Xinyi Ding , Eric C. Larson

As the rapid development of Intelligent Tutoring Systems (ITS) in the past decade, tracing the students' knowledge state has become more and more important in order to provide individualized learning guidance. This is the main idea of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-05-18 Zhongfeng Jia , Wei Su , Jiamin Liu , Wenli Yue

Modelling student knowledge is a key challenge when leveraging AI in education, with major implications for personalised learning. The Knowledge Tracing (KT) task aims to predict how students will respond to educational questions in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Max Norris , Kobi Gal , Sahan Bulathwela

Predicting T-cell receptor (TCR)--peptide-MHC (pMHC) binding is central to vaccine design and T-cell therapy, yet deployed models frequently encounter epitopes unseen during training, causing silent overconfidence and unreliable…

Graphics · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Arman Bekov , Timur Bekzhanov , Bekzat Sadykov

Structured prediction models aim at solving a type of problem where the output is a complex structure, rather than a single variable. Performing knowledge distillation for such models is not trivial due to their exponentially large output…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-10 Wenye Lin , Yangming Li , Lemao Liu , Shuming Shi , Hai-tao Zheng

Estimating how often an ML model will fail at deployment scale is central to pre-deployment safety assessment, but a feasible evaluation set is rarely large enough to observe the failures that matter. Jones et al. (2025) address this by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Will Schwarzer , Scott Niekum

Selective Classification, wherein models can reject low-confidence predictions, promises reliable translation of machine-learning based classification systems to real-world scenarios such as clinical diagnostics. While current evaluation of…

Recently, deep learning-based models have been widely studied for click-through rate (CTR) prediction and lead to improved prediction accuracy in many industrial applications. However, current research focuses primarily on building complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Jieming Zhu , Jinyang Liu , Weiqi Li , Jincai Lai , Xiuqiang He , Liang Chen , Zibin Zheng

Cross-sectional ranking models are often deployed as if point predictions were sufficient: the model outputs scores and the portfolio follows the induced ordering. Under non-stationarity, rankers can fail during regime shifts. In the AI…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Ursina Sanderink
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