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The use of deep learning for medical imaging has seen tremendous growth in the research community. One reason for the slow uptake of these systems in the clinical setting is that they are complex, opaque and tend to fail silently. Outside…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-07-03 Terrance DeVries , Graham W. Taylor

Model stealing aims at inferring a victim model's functionality at a fraction of the original training cost. While the goal is clear, in practice the model's architecture, weight dimension, and original training data can not be determined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 David Pape , Sina Däubener , Thorsten Eisenhofer , Antonio Emanuele Cinà , Lea Schönherr

Assessing uncertainty is an important step towards ensuring the safety and reliability of machine learning systems. Existing uncertainty estimation techniques may fail when their modeling assumptions are not met, e.g. when the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-24 Volodymyr Kuleshov , Stefano Ermon

In safety-critical applications, language models should be able to characterize their uncertainty with meaningful probabilities. Many uncertainty quantification approaches require supervised data; however, finding suitable unseen…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Sophia Hager , Simon Zeng , Nicholas Andrews

Uncertainty quantification in neural network promises to increase safety of AI systems, but it is not clear how performance might vary with the training set size. In this paper we evaluate seven uncertainty methods on Fashion MNIST and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-19 Matias Valdenegro-Toro

The same machine learning model running on different edge devices may produce highly-divergent outputs on a nearly-identical input. Possible reasons for the divergence include differences in the device sensors, the device's signal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Eyal Cidon , Evgenya Pergament , Zain Asgar , Asaf Cidon , Sachin Katti

Uncertainty representation and quantification are paramount in machine learning and constitute an important prerequisite for safety-critical applications. In this paper, we propose novel measures for the quantification of aleatoric and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

With rapid adoption of deep learning in critical applications, the question of when and how much to trust these models often arises, which drives the need to quantify the inherent uncertainties. While identifying all sources that account…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-22 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Bindya Venkatesh , Prasanna Sattigeri , Peer-Timo Bremer

Mean Opinion Score (MOS) prediction has made significant progress in specific domains. However, the unstable performance of MOS prediction models across diverse samples presents ongoing challenges in the practical application of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-26 Hui Wang , Shiwan Zhao , Jiaming Zhou , Xiguang Zheng , Haoqin Sun , Xuechen Wang , Yong Qin

Stochastic spectral methods have become a popular technique to quantify the uncertainties of nano-scale devices and circuits. They are much more efficient than Monte Carlo for certain design cases with a small number of random parameters.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-03-22 Zheng Zhang , Tsui-Wei Weng , Luca Daniel

Application for semantic segmentation models in areas such as autonomous vehicles and human computer interaction require real-time predictive capabilities. The challenges of addressing real-time application is amplified by the need to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Ethan Goan , Clinton Fookes

In safety-critical applications data-driven models must not only be accurate but also provide reliable uncertainty estimates. This property, commonly referred to as calibration, is essential for risk-aware decision-making. In regression a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Jelke Wibbeke , Nico Schönfisch , Sebastian Rohjans , Andreas Rauh

Uncertainty quantification based on generalized polynomial chaos has been used in many applications. It has also achieved great success in variation-aware design automation. However, almost all existing techniques assume that the parameters…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-06-21 Chunfeng Cui , Zheng Zhang

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) provides a resource-efficient solution for on-device monitoring of tinyML models deployed without access to true labels. However, existing UQ methods impose significant memory and compute demands, making them…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Nikhil P Ghanathe , Steven J E Wilton

Among the many ways of quantifying uncertainty in a regression setting, specifying the full quantile function is attractive, as quantiles are amenable to interpretation and evaluation. A model that predicts the true conditional quantiles…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Youngseog Chung , Willie Neiswanger , Ian Char , Jeff Schneider

Deep neural networks have shown great success in prediction quality while reliable and robust uncertainty estimation remains a challenge. Predictive uncertainty supplements model predictions and enables improved functionality of downstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-02 Johanna Rock , Tiago Azevedo , René de Jong , Daniel Ruiz-Muñoz , Partha Maji

Biopharmaceutical products, particularly monoclonal antibodies (mAbs), have gained prominence in the pharmaceutical market due to their high specificity and efficacy. As these products are projected to constitute a substantial portion of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-05 Thanh Tung Khuat , Robert Bassett , Ellen Otte , Bogdan Gabrys

As large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used for factual question-answering, it becomes more important for LLMs to have the capability to communicate the likelihood that their answer is correct. For these verbalized expressions of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Sophia Hager , David Mueller , Kevin Duh , Nicholas Andrews

Reliable uncertainty estimation is crucial for perception systems in safe autonomous driving. Recently, many methods have been proposed to model uncertainties in deep learning based object detectors. However, the estimated probabilities are…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-09-30 Di Feng , Lars Rosenbaum , Claudius Glaeser , Fabian Timm , Klaus Dietmayer

Ice sheet simulations suffer from vast parametric uncertainties, such as the basal sliding boundary condition or geothermal heat flux. Quantifying the resulting uncertainties in predictions is of utmost importance to support judicious…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-12-10 Nicole Aretz , Max Gunzburger , Mathieu Morlighem , Karen Willcox