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The study of infectious disease epidemiology for multi-type disease pathogens requires modelling techniques that account for the complex interactions existing between strains across geography and time. In this paper, we propose a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Matthew Adeoye , Simon E. F. Spencer , Xavier Didelot

We develop a stochastic two-patch epidemic model with nonlinear recidivism to investigate infectious disease dynamics in heterogeneous populations. Extending a deterministic framework, we introduce stochasticity to account for random…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-21 Juan G. Calvo , Mario I. Simoy , Juan P. Aparicio , José E. Chacón , Fabio Sanchez

We study the influence of heterogeneous mobility patterns in a population on the SIS epidemic model. In particular, we consider a patchy environment in which each patch comprises individuals belonging the different classes, e.g.,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-31 Vishal Abhishek , Vaibhav Srivastava

Interactions between commuting individuals can lead to large-scale spreading of rumors, ideas, or disease, even though the commuters have no net displacement. The emergent dynamics depend crucially on the commuting distribution of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-30 Aaron Winn , Adam Konkol , Eleni Katifori

Infectious diseases are a significant threat to human society which was over sighted before the incidence of COVID-19, although according to the report of the World Health Organisation (WHO) about 4.2 million people die annually due to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-05 Md Shahzamal , Saeed Khan

The study of how diseases spread has greatly benefited from advances in network modeling. Recently, a class of networks known as multilayer graphs has been shown to describe more accurately many real systems, making it possible to address…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-16 Xiangrong Wang , Alberto Aleta , Dan Lu , Yamir Moreno

During a public health crisis like COVID-19, individuals' adoption of protective behaviors, such as self-isolation and wearing masks, can significantly impact the spread of the disease. In the meanwhile, the spread of the disease can also…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-27 Wenxiang Dong , H. Vicky Zhao

The last three years have been an extraordinary time with the Covid-19 pandemic killing millions, affecting and distressing billions of people worldwide. Authorities took various measures such as turning school and work to remote and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Meliksah Turker , Haluk O. Bingol

Over the past two decades there has been a number of global outbreaks of viral diseases. This has accelerated the efforts to model and forecast the disease spreading, in order to find ways to confine the spreading regionally and between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-22 Rafael A. Barrio , Kimmo K. Kaski , Gudmundur G. Haraldsson , Thor Aspelund , Tzipe Govezensky

Information diffusion and disease spreading in communication-contact layered network are typically asymmetrically coupled with each other, in which how an individual being aware of disease responds to the disease can significantly affect…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-20 Quan-Hui Liu , Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Hai-Feng Zhang

I study the spreading of infectious diseases on heterogeneous populations. I represent the population structure by a contact-graph where vertices represent agents and edges represent disease transmission channels among them. The population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Alexei Vazquez

We introduce a model to study the delicate relation between the spreading of information and the formation of opinions in social systems. For this purpose, we propose a two-layer multiplex network model in which consensus dynamics takes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-07-03 David Soriano-Paños , Quantong Guo , Vito Latora , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes

The outcome of an epidemic is closely related to the network of interactions between the individuals. Likewise, protein functions depend on the 3D arrangement of their residues and on the underlying energetic interaction network. Borrowing…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-19 Mattia Miotto , Lorenzo Di Rienzo , Pietro Corsi , Giancarlo Ruocco , Domenico Raimondo , Edoardo Milanetti

Many systems of scientific interest can be conceptualized as multipartite networks. Examples include the spread of sexually transmitted infections, scientific collaborations, human friendships, product recommendation systems, and metabolic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-02 Hyojun A. Lee , Luiz G. A. Alves , Luís A. Nunes Amaral

The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the critical role of human behavior in influencing infectious disease transmission and the need for models capturing this complex dynamic. We present an agent-based model integrating an epidemiological…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Konstantinos Mitsopoulos , Lawrence Baker , Christian Lebiere , Peter Pirolli , Mark Orr , Raffaele Vardavas

Cities have long served as nucleating centers for human development and advancement. Cities have facilitated the spread of both human creativity and human disease, and at the same time, efforts to minimize the spread of disease have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-10 Harold M Hastings , Tai Young-Taft

An adaptive network model using SIS epidemic propagation with link-type dependent link activation and deletion is considered. Bifurcation analysis of the pairwise ODE approximation and the network-based stochastic simulation is carried out,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-21 András Szabó-Solticzky , Luc Berthouze , Istvan Z. Kiss , Péter L. Simon

Relevant events in a three state illness-death model (IDM) of a chronic disease are the diagnosis of the disease and death with or without the disease. In this article a simulation framework for populations moving in the IDM is presented.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-01-01 Ralph Brinks

Empirical temporal networks display strong heterogeneities in their dynamics, which profoundly affect processes taking place on these networks, such as rumor and epidemic spreading. Despite the recent wealth of data on temporal networks,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-10-13 Christian L. Vestergaard , Mathieu Génois , Alain Barrat

For many infectious disease outbreaks, the at-risk population changes their behavior in response to the outbreak severity, causing the transmission dynamics to change in real-time. Behavioral change is often ignored in epidemic modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-25 Caitlin Ward , Rob Deardon , Alexandra M. Schmidt