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Identifying super-spreaders in epidemics is important to suppress the spreading of disease especially when the medical resource is limited.In the modern society, the information on epidemics transmits swiftly through various communication…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-26 Qi Zeng , Ying Liu , Ming Tang , Jie Gong

Most spreading processes require spatial proximity between agents. The stationary state of spreading dynamics in a population of mobile agents thus depends on the interplay between the time and length scales involved in the epidemic process…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-05 Jorge P. Rodríguez , Matteo Paoluzzi , Demian Levis , Michele Starnini

COVID-19 has resulted in a public health global crisis. The pandemic control necessitates epidemic models that capture the trends and impacts on infectious individuals. Many exciting models can implement this but they lack practical…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Ou Deng , Kiichi Tago , Qun Jin

This paper focuses on studying and understanding of stochastic dynamics in population composition when the population is subject to rumor spreading. We undertake the study by first developing an individual…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-03 Lan Di , Yudi Gu , Guoqi Qian , George Xianzhi Yuan

Understanding the dynamics of the spread of diseases within populations is critical for effective public health interventions. We extend the classical SIR model by incorporating additional complexities such as the introduction of a cure and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-30 Daniel Perkins , Davis Hunter , Drake Brown , Trevor Garrity , Wyatt Pochman

Epidemic modeling is an essential tool to understand the spread of the novel coronavirus and ultimately assist in disease prevention, policymaking, and resource allocation. In this article, we establish a state of the art interface between…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-17 Li Wang , Guannan Wang , Lei Gao , Xinyi Li , Shan Yu , Myungjin Kim , Yueying Wang , Zhiling Gu

Infectious diseases that incorporate pre-symptomatic transmission are challenging to monitor, model, predict and contain. We address this scenario by studying a variant of a stochastic susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered model on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-07 Bo Li , David Saad

Epidemiological simulations as a method are used to better understand and predict the spreading of infectious diseases, for example of COVID-19. This paper presents an approach that combines person-centric data-driven human mobility…

We study a coupled epidemic-mobility model in which, at each time, individuals move in a network of spatially-distributed regions (sub-populations) according to a Continuous Time Markov Chain (CTMC) and subsequently interact with the local…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-30 Vishal Abhishek , Vaibhav Srivastava

With the exponential growth in the world population and the constant increase in human mobility, the danger of outbreaks of epidemics is rising. Especially in high density urban areas such as public transport and transfer points, where…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-01-04 Mei Shan , Zhou Xuan , Zhu Yifan , Zu Zhenghu , Zheng Tao , A. V. Boukhanovsky , P. M. A Sloot

To better predict the dynamics of epidemics such as COVID-19, it is important not only to investigate the network of local and long-range contagious contacts but also to understand the temporal dynamics of infectiousness and detectable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Miguel A. Cajahuanca Ricaldi , Yaroslav Ispolatov

The rapid transmission of the highly contagious novel coronavirus has been represented through several data-guided approaches across targeted geographies, in an attempt to understand when the pandemic will be under control and imposed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-05 Joydeep Munshi , Indranil Roy , Ganesh Balasubramanian

We develop a stochastic epidemic model progressing over dynamic networks, where infection rates are heterogeneous and may vary with individual-level covariates. The joint dynamics are modeled as a continuous-time Markov chain such that…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-16 Fan Bu , Allison E. Aiello , Alexander Volfovsky , Jason Xu

Models of disease spreading are critical for predicting infection growth in a population and evaluating public health policies. However, standard models typically represent the dynamics of disease transmission between individuals using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-07 Christopher A. Browne , Daniel B. Amchin , Joanna Schneider , Sujit S. Datta

Network epidemiology often assumes that the relationships defining the social network of a population are static. The dynamics of relationships is only taken indirectly into account, by assuming that the relevant information to study…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-04-09 Sebastian Risau-Gusman

This paper investigates the impact of human activity and mobility (HAM) in the spreading dynamics of an epidemic. Specifically, it explores the interconnections between HAM and its effect on the early spread of the COVID-19 virus. During…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-06 Shakib Mustavee , Shaurya Agarwal , Chinwendu Enyioha , Suddhasattwa Das

The spreading of epidemics is very much determined by the structure of the contact network, which may be impacted by the mobility dynamics of the individuals themselves. In confined scenarios where a small, closed population spends most of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-09 Clara Granell , Peter J. Mucha

Understanding the dynamics of passenger interactions and their epidemiological impact throughout public transportation systems is crucial for both service efficiency and public health. High passenger density and close physical proximity has…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-28 László Hajdu , Jovan Pavlović , Miklós Krész , András Bóta

Networks of contacts capable of spreading infectious diseases are often observed to be highly heterogeneous, with the majority of individuals having fewer contacts than the mean, and a significant minority having relatively very many…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-21 César Parra-Rojas , Thomas House , Alan J. McKane

Social contact networks underlying epidemic processes in humans and animals are highly dynamic. The spreading of infections on such temporal networks can differ dramatically from spreading on static networks. We theoretically investigate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-13 Tomokatsu Onaga , James P. Gleeson , Naoki Masuda