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When particles/molecules diffuse in systems that contain obstacles, the steady-state regime (during which the mean-square displacement scales linearly with time, $\left< r^2 \right> \sim t$) is preceded by a transient regime. It is common…

Biological Physics · Physics 2021-08-12 Nicholas Ilow , Gary W. Slater

We consider a controlled second order differential equation which is partially observed with an additional fractional noise. we study the asymptotic (for large observation time) design problem of the input and give an efficient estimator of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Chunhao Cai , Wujun LV

We study efficiency of non-parametric estimation of diffusions (stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motion) from long stationary trajectories. First, we introduce estimators based on conditional expectation which is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Xi Chen , Ilya Timofeyev

We consider the adaptive test for the parameter change in discretely observed ergodic diffusion processes based on the cusum test. Using two test statistics based on the two quasi-log likelihood functions of the diffusion parameter and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Yozo Tonaki , Yusuke Kaino , Masayuki Uchida

This paper obtains asymptotic results for parametric inference using prediction-based estimating functions when the data are high frequency observations of a diffusion process with an infinite time horizon. Specifically, the data are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Emil S. Jørgensen , Michael Sørensen

This paper concerns the use of the expectation-maximisation (EM) algorithm for inference in partially observed diffusion processes. In this context, a well known problem is that all except a few diffusion processes lack closed-form…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-18 Jimmy Olsson , Jonas Ströjby

This paper deals with the problem of testing for dispersion parameter change in discretely observed diffusion processes when the observations are contaminated by outliers. To lessen the impact of outliers, we first calculate residuals using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-01 Junmo Song

The model consists of a signal process $X$ which is a general Brownian diffusion process and an observation process $Y$, also a diffusion process, which is supposed to be correlated to the signal process. We suppose that the process $Y$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-20 Christophe Pofeta , Abass Sagna

Parameter estimation in diffusion processes from discrete observations up to a first-hitting time is clearly of practical relevance, but does not seem to have been studied so far. In neuroscience, many models for the membrane potential…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Enrico Bibbona , Susanne Ditlevsen

Many real-world systems modeled using partial differential equations (PDEs) involve unknown parameters that must be estimated from limited, noisy system observations. While typically assumed to be constants, some of these unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Andrea Arnold

In this article we consider a family of real-valued diffusion processes on the time interval $[0,1]$ indexed by their prescribed initial value $x \in \mathbb{R}$ and another point in space, $y \in \mathbb{R}$. We first present an…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-03 Florian Hildebrandt , Sylvie Rœlly

This study explores a Gaussian quasi-likelihood approach for estimating parameters of diffusion processes with Markovian regime switching. Assuming the ergodicity under high-frequency sampling, we will show the asymptotic normality of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Yuzhong Cheng , Hiroki Masuda

We consider the inference problem for parameters in stochastic differential equation models from discrete time observations (e.g. experimental or simulation data). Specifically, we study the case where one does not have access to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Sebastian Krumscheid

We propose simple methods for multivariate diffusion bridge simulation, which plays a fundamental role in simulation-based likelihood and Bayesian inference for stochastic differential equations. By a novel application of classical coupling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-02 Mogens Bladt , Samuel Finch , Michael Sørensen

For rare events described in terms of Markov processes, truly unbiased estimation of the rare event probability generally requires the avoidance of numerical approximations of the Markov process. Recent work in the exact and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-08 James Hodgson , Adam M. Johansen , Murray Pollock

Consider discrete time observations (X_{\ell\delta})_{1\leq \ell \leq n+1}$ of the process $X$ satisfying $dX_t= \sqrt{V_t} dB_t$, with $V_t$ a one-dimensional positive diffusion process independent of the Brownian motion $B$. For both the…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-12-25 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot , Yves Rozenholc

We provide a general framework for learning diffusion bridges that transport prior to target distributions. It includes existing diffusion models for generative modeling, but also underdamped versions with degenerate diffusion matrices,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Denis Blessing , Julius Berner , Lorenz Richter , Gerhard Neumann

We consider partially observed multiscale diffusion models that are specified up to an unknown vector parameter. We establish for a very general class of test functions that the filter of the original model converges to a filter of reduced…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Andrew Papanicolaou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Time course measurement of single molecules on a cell surface provides detailed information on the dynamics of the molecules, which is otherwise inaccessible. To extract the quantitative information, single particle tracking (SPT) is…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-06 Shunsuke Teraguchi , Yutaro Kumagai

We study nonparametric estimation of the diffusion coefficient from discrete data, when the observations are blurred by additional noise. Such issues have been developed over the last 10 years in several application fields and in particular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-30 Marc Hoffmann , Axel Munk , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber