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In this work, the distributional properties of the goodness-of-fit term in likelihood-based information criteria are explored. These properties are then leveraged to construct a novel goodness-of-fit test for normal linear regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-20 Scott H. Koeneman , Joseph E. Cavanaugh

A new class of integer-valued autoregressive models with dynamic survival probability is proposed. The peculiarity of this class of models lies on the specification of the survival probability through a stochastic recurrence equation. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-08 Paolo Gorgi

Survival analysis, or time-to-event analysis, is an important and widespread problem in healthcare research. Medical research has traditionally relied on Cox models for survival analysis, due to their simplicity and interpretability. Cox…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Mike Van Ness , Tomas Bosschieter , Natasha Din , Andrew Ambrosy , Alexander Sandhu , Madeleine Udell

Modern industrial systems are often subject to multiple failure modes, and their conditions are monitored by multiple sensors, generating multiple time-series signals. Additionally, time-to-failure data are commonly available. Accurately…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Sina Aghaee Dabaghan Fard , Minhee Kim , Akash Deep , Jaesung Lee

In this paper, our proposal consists of incorporating frailty into a statistical methodology for modeling time-to-event data, based on non-proportional hazards regression model. Specifically, we use the generalized time-dependent logistic…

In survival or reliability studies, the mean residual life or life expectancy is an important characteristic of the model. Here, we study the limiting behaviour of the mean residual life, and derive an asymptotic expansion which can be used…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 David M. Bradley , Ramesh C. Gupta

Accurate prediction of remaining useful life under creep conditions is essential for the structural reliability of high-temperature components in critical engineering systems. Traditional approaches based on deterministic parametric models…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Victor Maudonet , Carlos Frederico Trotta Matt , Americo Cunha

Proportional hazards (PH), proportional odds (PO) and accelerated failure time (AFT) models have been widely used to deal with survival data in different fields of knowledge. Despite their popularity, such models are not suitable to handle…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Fabio N. Demarqui , Vinicius D. Mayrink

When modelling competing risks survival data, several techniques have been proposed in both the statistical and machine learning literature. State-of-the-art methods have extended classical approaches with more flexible assumptions that can…

Accelerated life-tests (ALTs) are used for inferring lifetime characteristics of highly reliable products. In particular, step-stress ALTs increase the stress level at which units under test are subject at certain pre-fixed times, thus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-12 Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , Maria Jaenada , Leandro Pardo

In recent years, multimodal medical data-based survival analysis has attracted much attention. However, real-world datasets often suffer from the problem of incomplete modality, where some patient modality information is missing due to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Yi Yin , Yuntao Shou , Zao Dai , Yun Peng , Tao Meng , Wei Ai , Keqin Li

Surrender poses one of the major risks to life insurance and a sound modeling of its true probability has direct implication on the risk capital demanded by the Solvency II directive. We add to the existing literature by performing…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-30 Mark Kiermayer

Collectives form non-equilibrium social structures characterised by a volatile dynamics. Individuals join or leave. Social relations change quickly. Therefore, differently from engineered or ecological systems, a resilient reference state…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-19 Frank Schweitzer , Christian Zingg , Giona Casiraghi

Survival analysis, or time-to-event modelling, is a classical statistical problem that has garnered a lot of interest for its practical use in epidemiology, demographics or actuarial sciences. Recent advances on the subject from the point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Guillaume Ausset , Tom Ciffreo , Francois Portier , Stephan Clémençon , Timothée Papin

We propose a joint model for a time-to-event outcome and a quantile of a continuous response repeatedly measured over time. The quantile and survival processes are associated via shared latent and manifest variables. Our joint model…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-07 Alessio Farcomeni , Sara Viviani

Simulator-based models are models for which the likelihood is intractable but simulation of synthetic data is possible. They are often used to describe complex real-world phenomena, and as such can often be misspecified in practice.…

We introduce a numerically tractable formulation of Bayesian joint models for longitudinal and survival data. The longitudinal process is modelled using generalised linear mixed models, while the survival process is modelled using a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-23 Danilo Alvares , Francisco Javier Rubio

The main purpose of this paper is to introduce a new class of regression models for bounded continuous data, commonly encountered in applied research. The models, named the power logit regression models, assume that the response variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Francisco Felipe Queiroz , Silvia Lopes Paula Ferrari

Survival analysis holds a crucial role across diverse disciplines, such as economics, engineering and healthcare. It empowers researchers to analyze both time-invariant and time-varying data, encompassing phenomena like customer churn,…

Although recent model-free reinforcement learning algorithms have been shown to be capable of mastering complicated decision-making tasks, the sample complexity of these methods has remained a hurdle to utilizing them in many real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Saeed Moazami , Peggy Doerschuk