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Modern foundation models rely heavily on using scaling laws to guide crucial training decisions. Researchers often extrapolate the optimal architecture and hyper parameters settings from smaller training runs by describing the relationship…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Margaret Li , Sneha Kudugunta , Luke Zettlemoyer

Neural scaling laws predict how language model performance improves with increased training inputs. While aggregate metrics like validation loss can follow smooth power-law curves, individual downstream tasks exhibit diverse scaling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Michael Y. Hu , Jane Pan , Ayush Rajesh Jhaveri , Nicholas Lourie , Kyunghyun Cho

Scaling laws guide the development of large language models (LLMs) by offering estimates for the optimal balance of model size, tokens, and compute. More recently, loss-to-loss scaling laws that relate losses across pretraining datasets and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Prasanna Mayilvahanan , Thaddäus Wiedemer , Sayak Mallick , Matthias Bethge , Wieland Brendel

Current theoretical results on optimization trajectories of neural networks trained by gradient descent typically have the form of rigorous but potentially loose bounds on the loss values. In the present work we take a different approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Maksim Velikanov , Dmitry Yarotsky

Detection of power-law behavior and studies of scaling exponents uncover the characteristics of complexity in many real world phenomena. The complexity of financial markets has always presented challenging issues and provided interesting…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-01 Stjepan Begušić , Zvonko Kostanjčar , H. Eugene Stanley , Boris Podobnik

Molecular Representation Learning (MRL) has emerged as a powerful tool for drug and materials discovery in a variety of tasks such as virtual screening and inverse design. While there has been a surge of interest in advancing model-centric…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-09-29 Dingshuo Chen , Yanqiao Zhu , Jieyu Zhang , Yuanqi Du , Zhixun Li , Qiang Liu , Shu Wu , Liang Wang

We present an empirical study in the geometric task of learning interatomic potentials, which shows equivariance matters even more at larger scales; we show a clear power-law scaling behaviour with respect to data, parameters and compute…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Khang Ngo , Siamak Ravanbakhsh

We introduce a model for neural scaling laws under sparse activations. In the model, test loss is often dominated by rare coordinates that are never observed in the training input. This mechanism induces a novel bottleneck absent from dense…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-25 John Sous , Michael Winer

A generic communication model of a boolean network with transmission errors is proposed to explore the power-law scaling of states' evolution in small-world networks. In the model, the power spectrum of the population difference between…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jiann-Shing Lih , Jyh-Long Chern

Scaling laws are well studied for language models and first-stage retrieval, but not for reranking. We present the first systematic study of scaling laws for cross-encoder rerankers across pointwise, pairwise, and listwise objectives.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Rahul Seetharaman , Aman Bansal , Hamed Zamani , Kaustubh Dhole

How close are neural networks to the best they could possibly do? Standard benchmarks cannot answer this because they lack access to the true posterior p(y|x). We use class-conditional normalizing flows as oracles that make exact posteriors…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Arian Khorasani , Nathaniel Chen , Yug D Oswal , Akshat Santhana Gopalan , Egemen Kolemen , Ravid Shwartz-Ziv

Publicly traded companies are fundamental units of contemporary economies and markets and are important mechanisms through which humans interact with their environments. Understanding the general properties that underlie the processes of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-07 Jiang Zhang , Christopher P. Kempes , Marcus J. Hamilton , Ruyi Tao , Geoffrey B. West

In recent years, the expansion of neural network models and training data has driven remarkable progress in deep learning, particularly in computer vision and natural language processing. This advancement is underpinned by the concept of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Yi Ma , Hongyao Tang , Chenjun Xiao , Yaodong Yang , Wei Wei , Jianye Hao , Jiye Liang

We identify empirical scaling laws for the cross-entropy loss in four domains: generative image modeling, video modeling, multimodal image$\leftrightarrow$text models, and mathematical problem solving. In all cases autoregressive…

The success of Large Language Models (LLMs) has established that scaling compute, through joint increases in model capacity and dataset size, is the primary driver of performance in modern machine learning. While machine learning has long…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2026-02-18 Matthias Vigl , Nicole Hartman , Michael Kagan , Lukas Heinrich

Scale-free power law structure describes complex networks derived from a wide range of real world processes. The extensive literature focuses almost exclusively on networks with power law exponent strictly larger than 2, which can be…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-09-29 Harry Crane , Walter Dempsey

While scaling laws provide a reliable methodology for predicting train loss across compute scales for a single data distribution, less is known about how these predictions should change as we change the distribution. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-21 David Brandfonbrener , Nikhil Anand , Nikhil Vyas , Eran Malach , Sham Kakade

Despite the fact that experimental neural scaling laws have substantially guided empirical progress in large-scale machine learning, no existing theory can quantitatively predict the exponents of these important laws for any modern LLM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Francesco Cagnetta , Allan Raventós , Surya Ganguli , Matthieu Wyart

Scaling law builds the relationship between training computation and validation loss, enabling researchers to effectively predict the loss trending of models across different levels of computation. However, a gap still remains between…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Qiming Ge , Shuhao Xing , Songyang Gao , Yunhua Zhou , Yicheng Zou , Songyang Zhang , Zhi Chen , Hang Yan , Qi Zhang , Qipeng Guo , Kai Chen

Hyperparameter optimization is an important subfield of machine learning that focuses on tuning the hyperparameters of a chosen algorithm to achieve peak performance. Recently, there has been a stream of methods that tackle the issue of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Arlind Kadra , Maciej Janowski , Martin Wistuba , Josif Grabocka
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