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The main aim of the present paper is to disprove the Cohen--Lenstra--Martinet heuristics in two different ways and to offer possible corrections. We also recast the heuristics in terms of Arakelov class groups, giving an explanation for the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Alex Bartel , Hendrik W. Lenstra

We propose a modification of the predictions of the Cohen--Lenstra heuristic for class groups of number fields in the case where roots of unity are present in the base field. As evidence for this modified formula we provide a large set of…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-14 Gunter Malle

We propose a modification to the Cohen--Lenstra prediction for the distribution of class groups of number fields, which should also apply when the base field contains non-trivial roots of unity. The underlying heuristic derives from the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Michael Adam , Gunter Malle

Cohen and Lenstra have given a heuristic which, for a fixed odd prime $p$, leads to many interesting predictions about the distribution of $p$-class groups of imaginary quadratic fields. We extend the Cohen-Lenstra heuristic to a…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-11 Nigel Boston , Michael R. Bush , Farshid Hajir

We extend the Cohen-Lenstra heuristics to the setting of ray class groups of imaginary quadratic number fields, viewed as exact sequences of Galois modules. By asymptotically estimating the mixed moments governing the distribution of a…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-23 Carlo Pagano , Efthymios Sofos

The main purpose of the paper is to formulate a probabilistic model for Arakelov class groups in families of number fields, offering a correction to the Cohen--Lenstra--Martinet heuristic on ideal class groups. To that end, we show that…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-28 Alex Bartel , Henri Johnston , Hendrik W. Lenstra

The Cohen-Lenstra-Martinet heuristics predict the frequency with which a fixed finite abelian group appears as an ideal class group of an extension of number fields, for certain sets of extensions of a base field. Recently, Malle found…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-30 Derek Garton

The Cohen-Lenstra-Martinet Heuristics gives a prediction of the distribution of $\operatorname{Cl}_K[p^\infty]$ whne $K$ runs over $\Gamma$-fields and $p\nmid|\Gamma|$. In this paper, we prove several results on the distribution of ideal…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Weitong Wang

The Cohen-Lenstra heuristic predicts the distribution of ideal class groups over number fields. Random matrix models provide a natural framework for explaining this heuristic, and recent results demonstrate the effectiveness of these tools.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Yue Xu , Xiuwu Zhu

Given a random real quadratic field from $\{ \mathbb{Q}(\sqrt{p}\,) ~|~ p \text{ primes} \}$, the conjectural probability $\mathbb{P}(h=q)$ that it has class number $q$ is given for all positive odd integers $q$. Some related conjectures of…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-20 Jinwen Xu

We prove function field theorems supporting the Cohen-Lenstra heuristics for real quadratic fields, and natural strengthenings of these analogs from the affine class group to the Picard group of the associated curve. Our function field…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-08 Melanie Matchett Wood

We study the asymptotics conjecture of Malle for dihedral groups $D_\ell$ of order $2\ell$, where $\ell$ is an odd prime. We prove the expected lower bound for those groups. For the upper bounds we show that there is a connection to class…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jürgen Klüners

Let $L/K$ be a quadratic extension of global fields. We study Cohen-Lenstra heuristics for the $\ell$-part of the relative class group $G_{L/K} := \textrm{Cl}(L/K)$ when $K$ contains $\ell^n$th roots of unity. While the moments of a…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Michael Lipnowski , Will Sawin , Jacob Tsimerman

We generalize the Cohen-Lenstra heuristics over function fields to \'{e}tale group schemes $G$ (with the classical case of abelian groups corresponding to constant group schemes). By using the results of Ellenberg-Venkatesh-Westerland, we…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-27 Michael Lipnowski , Jacob Tsimerman

The goal of this paper is to prove theorems that elucidate the Cohen-Lenstra-Martinet conjectures for the distributions of class groups of number fields, and further the understanding of their implications. We start by giving a simpler…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-18 Weitong Wang , Melanie Matchett Wood

The Cohen-Lenstra heuristic is a universal principle that assigns to each group a probability that tells how often this group should occur "in nature". The most important, but not the only, applications are sequences of class groups, which…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2010-05-03 Johannes Lengler

In this paper we give a conjecture for the average number of unramified $G$-extensions of a quadratic field for any finite group $G$. The Cohen-Lenstra heuristics are the specialization of our conjecture to the case that $G$ is abelian of…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Melanie Matchett Wood , Philip Matchett Wood

We compute the average number of surjections from class groups of quadratic function fields over $\mathbb F_q(t)$ onto finite odd order groups $H$, once $q$ is sufficiently large. These yield the first known moments of these class groups,…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Aaron Landesman , Ishan Levy

Cohen and Lenstra detailed a heuristic for the distribution of odd p-class groups for imaginary quadratic fields. One such formulation of this distribution is that the expected number of surjections from the class group of an imaginary…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-12 Brandon Alberts

Taking A to be an abelian variety with full 2-torsion over a number field k, we investigate how the 4-Selmer rank of the quadratic twist A^d changes with d. We show that this rank depends on the splitting behavior of the primes dividing d…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-27 Alexander Smith
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