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Joint models (JM) for longitudinal and survival data have gained increasing interest and found applications in a wide range of clinical and biomedical settings. These models facilitate the understanding of the relationship between outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-25 Sida Chen , Danilo Alvares , Christopher Jackson , Jessica Barrett

Prediction of the future trajectory of a disease is an important challenge for personalized medicine and population health management. However, many complex chronic diseases exhibit large degrees of heterogeneity, and furthermore there is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-17 Joseph Futoma , Mark Sendak , C. Blake Cameron , Katherine Heller

Multimorbidity in older adults is common, heterogeneous, and highly dynamic, and it is strongly associated with disability and increased healthcare utilization. However, existing approaches to studying multimorbidity trajectories are…

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a significant public health challenge, often progressing to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) if not detected and managed early. Early intervention, warranted by silent disease progression, can significantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Zachary Dana , Ahmed Ammar Naseer , Botros Toro , Sumanth Swaminathan

As cancer patient survival improves, late effects from treatment are becoming the next clinical challenge. Chemotherapy and radiotherapy, for example, potentially increase the risk of both morbidity and mortality from second malignancies…

Joint modelling of longitudinal and survival data is increasingly used in clinical trials on cancer. In prostate cancer for example, these models permit to account for the link between longitudinal measures of prostate-specific antigen…

A widely-used model for determining the long-term health impacts of public health interventions, often called a "multistate lifetable", requires estimates of incidence, case fatality, and sometimes also remission rates, for multiple…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-23 Christopher Jackson , Belen Zapata-Diomedi , James Woodcock

Multi-state survival analysis considers several potential events of interest along a disease pathway. Such analyses are crucial to model complex patient trajectories and are increasingly being used in epidemiological and health economic…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-30 Jonathan Broomfield , Caroline E. Weibull , Michael J. Crowther

Continuous-time multi-state survival models can be used to describe health-related processes over time. In the presence of interval-censored times for transitions between the living states, the likelihood is constructed using transition…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-24 Robson J. M. Machado , Ardo van den Hout

Background. Alzheimer's disease and related dementia (ADRD) are characterized by multiple and progressive anatomo clinical changes. Yet, modeling changes over disease course from cohort data is challenging as the usual timescales are…

Access to real-world healthcare data is limited by stringent privacy regulations and data imbalances, hindering advancements in research and clinical applications. Synthetic data presents a promising solution, yet existing methods often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Nicholas I-Hsien Kuo , Blanca Gallego , Louisa Jorm

This study explores the potential of utilizing administrative claims data, combined with advanced machine learning and deep learning techniques, to predict the progression of Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) to End-Stage Renal Disease (ESRD).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Yubo Li , Saba Al-Sayouri , Rema Padman

Patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) are at high risk of developing chronic kidney disease (CKD), but identifying those at greatest risk remains challenging. We used electronic health record (EHR) data to dynamically track AKI patients'…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Yilu Fang , Jordan G. Nestor , Casey N. Ta , Jerard Z. Kneifati-Hayek , Chunhua Weng

We investigate whether temporal embedding models trained on longitudinal electronic health records can learn clinically meaningful representations without compromising predictive performance, and how architectural choices affect embedding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Aditya Kumar , Mario A. Cypko , Oliver Amft

Disparate areas of machine learning have benefited from models that can take raw data with little preprocessing as input and learn rich representations of that raw data in order to perform well on a given prediction task. We evaluate this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-22 Narges Razavian , Jake Marcus , David Sontag

Life course epidemiology of chronic diseases has been dominated so far by the environmental approach. Whether it focuses on early life exposures and events or later lifestyle behaviors, this approach assumes that previous life experiences…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-29 Marc Delord , Annastazia Learoyd , Abdel Douiri

Modeling the time-series of high-dimensional, longitudinal data is important for predicting patient disease progression. However, existing neural network based approaches that learn representations of patient state, while very flexible, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Zeshan Hussain , Rahul G. Krishnan , David Sontag

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) affects millions worldwide and progresses irreversibly through stages culminating in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and death. Outcome trials in CKD traditionally employ time-to-first-event analyses using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Jiren Sun , Tuo Wang , Yu Du

Multistate models offer a powerful framework for studying disease processes and can be used to formulate intensity-based and more descriptive marginal regression models. They also represent a natural foundation for the construction of joint…

Motivated by disease progression-related studies, we propose an estimation method for fitting general non-homogeneous multi-state Markov models. The proposal can handle many types of multi-state processes, with several states and various…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-22 Alessia Eletti , Giampiero Marra , Rosalba Radice
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