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We present a novel and flexible data-driven framework for estimating the response of higher-order moments of nonlinear stochastic systems to small external perturbations. The classical Generalized Fluctuation--Dissipation Theorem (GFDT)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-28 Ludovico T. Giorgini , Fabrizio Falasca , Andre N. Souza

The classical fluctuation-dissipation theorem predicts the average response of a dynamical system to an external deterministic perturbation via time-lagged statistical correlation functions of the corresponding unperturbed system. In this…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-02-28 Rafail V. Abramov

We introduce an approach for analyzing the responses of dynamical systems to external perturbations that combines score-based generative modeling with the Generalized Fluctuation-Dissipation Theorem (GFDT). The methodology enables accurate…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-11-11 Ludovico Theo Giorgini , Katherine Deck , Tobias Bischoff , Andre Souza

A generalisation of Takens' delay-coordinate embedding theorem to stochastic systems, the Stochastic Embedding Sufficiency Theorem, is an inverse methodology enabling non-parametric recovery of both drift and diffusion fields from scalar…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-12 Carolina Garcia , Lucía Perea Durán , Agnese Venezia , Alex Conradie

Recently, we proposed a method to estimate parameters of stochastic dynamics based on the linear response statistics. The method rests upon a nonlinear least-squares problem that takes into account the response properties that stem from the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-24 He Zhang , John Harlim , Xiantao Li

Understanding how systems respond to external perturbations is a fundamental challenge in physics, particularly for non-equilibrium and non-stationary processes. The fluctuation-dissipation theorem provides a complete framework for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-06 Jiming Zheng , Zhiyue Lu

A key feature of the classical Fluctuation Dissipation theorem is its ability to approximate the average response of a dynamical system to a sufficiently small external perturbation from an appropriate time correlation function of the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-10-02 Rafail V. Abramov

The fluctuation-dissipation theorem is a central result in statistical mechanics and is usually formulated for systems described by diffusion processes. In this paper, we propose a generalization for a wider class of stochastic processes,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-20 Alberto Montefusco , Mark A. Peletier , Hans Christian Öttinger

This paper presents a new parameter estimation method for It\^{o} diffusions such that the resulting model predicts the equilibrium statistics as well as the sensitivities of the underlying system to external disturbances. Our formulation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-24 John Harlim , Xiantao Li , He Zhang

Systems that evolve towards a state from which they cannot depart are common in nature. But the fluctuation-dissipation theorem, a fundamental result in statistical mechanics, is mainly restricted to systems near-stationarity. In processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-25 Prajwal Padmanabha , Sandro Azaele , Amos Maritan

The climate belongs to the class of non-equilibrium forced and dissipative systems, for which most results of quasi-equilibrium statistical mechanics, including the fluctuation-dissipation theorem, do not apply. We show for the first time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-11 Valerio Lucarini , Stefania Sarno

Many problems in the geophysical sciences demand the ability to calibrate the parameters and predict the time evolution of complex dynamical models using sequentially-collected data. Here we introduce a general methodology for the joint…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-12 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Inés P. Mariño , Joaquín Míguez

We consider the inference problem for parameters in stochastic differential equation models from discrete time observations (e.g. experimental or simulation data). Specifically, we study the case where one does not have access to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Sebastian Krumscheid

The fluctuation-dissipation theorem is a cornerstone result in statistical mechanics that can be used to translate the statistics of the free natural variability of a system into information on its forced response to perturbations. By…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-06-19 Niccolò Zagli , Matthew Colbrook , Valerio Lucarini , Igor Mezić , John Moroney

Assuming that a reflected Ornstein-Uhlenbeck state process is observed at discrete time instants, we propose generalized moment estimators to estimate all drift and diffusion parameters via the celebrated ergodic theorem. With the sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-14 Yaozhong Hu , Yuejuan Xi

The unique fluctuation-dissipation theorem for equilibrium stands in contrast with the wide variety of nonequilibrium linear response formulae. Their most traditional approach is "analytic", which, in the absence of detailed balance,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-01-21 Marco Baiesi , Christian Maes

We apply linear response theory to a general, inhomogeneous, stationary stellar system, with particular emphasis on dissipative processes analogous to Landau damping. Assuming only that the response is causal, we show that the irreversible…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Robert W. Nelson , Scott Tremaine

We introduce a general formulation of the fluctuation-dissipation relations (FDR) holding also in far-from-equilibrium stochastic dynamics. A great advantage of this version of the FDR is that it does not require the explicit knowledge of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-15 Marco Baldovin , Lorenzo Caprini , Angelo Vulpiani

The fluctuation-dissipation theorem (FDT) is a central result in statistical physics, both for classical and quantum systems. It establishes a relationship between the linear response of a system under a time-dependent perturbation and time…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-05-28 Mohammad Mehboudi , Anna Sanpera , Juan M. R. Parrondo

The influence of dissipation on the fluctuation statistics of the total energy is investigated through both a phenomenological and a stochastic model for dissipative energy-transfer through a cascade of states. In equilibrium the states…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-06-27 Eric Bertin , Peter C. W. Holdsworth
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