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In many clinical trials treatments need to be repeatedly applied as diseases relapse frequently after remission over a long period of time (e.g., 35 weeks). Most research in statistics focuses on the overall trial design, such as sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-01 Yanxun Xu , Yuan Ji

Recent research in disaster informatics demonstrates a practical and important use case of artificial intelligence to save human lives and suffering during natural disasters based on social media contents (text and images). While notable…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Firoj Alam , Tanvirul Alam , Md. Arid Hasan , Abul Hasnat , Muhammad Imran , Ferda Ofli

In this paper, we study the problem of deriving fast and accurate classification algorithms with uncertainty quantification. Gaussian process classification provides a principled approach, but the corresponding computational burden is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-29 Dimitrios Milios , Raffaello Camoriano , Pietro Michiardi , Lorenzo Rosasco , Maurizio Filippone

BACKGROUND: As databases grow larger, it becomes harder to fully control their collection, and they frequently come with missing values: incomplete observations. These large databases are well suited to train machine-learning models, for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Alexandre Perez-Lebel , Gaël Varoquaux , Marine Le Morvan , Julie Josse , Jean-Baptiste Poline

Bayesian forecasting is developed in multivariate time series analysis for causal inference. Causal evaluation of sequentially observed time series data from control and treated units focuses on the impacts of interventions using…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Graham Tierney , Christoph Hellmayr , Greg Barkimer , Kevin Li , Mike West

Fusing an arbitrary number of modalities is vital for achieving robust multi-modal fusion of semantic segmentation yet remains less explored to date. Recent endeavors regard RGB modality as the center and the others as the auxiliary,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Xu Zheng , Yuanhuiyi Lyu , Jiazhou Zhou , Lin Wang

Hierarchical Bayesian models based on Gaussian processes are considered useful for describing complex nonlinear statistical dependencies among variables in real-world data. However, effective Monte Carlo algorithms for inference with these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 Takashi Hayakawa , Satoshi Asai

It is a common practice in the machine learning community to assume that the observed data are noise-free in the input attributes. Nevertheless, scenarios with input noise are common in real problems, as measurements are never perfectly…

Gaussian processes are a natural way of defining prior distributions over functions of one or more input variables. In a simple nonparametric regression problem, where such a function gives the mean of a Gaussian distribution for an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-02-03 Radford M. Neal

Dynamic Uncertain Causality Graph(DUCG) is a recently proposed model for diagnoses of complex systems. It performs well for industry system such as nuclear power plants, chemical system and spacecrafts. However, the variable state…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Hao Nie , Qin Zhang

With medical tests becoming increasingly available, concerns about over-testing and over-treatment dramatically increase. Hence, it is important to understand the influence of testing on treatment selection in general practice. Most…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-11 Yun Li , Irina Bondarenko , Michael R. Elliott , Timothy P. Hofer , Jeremy M. G. Taylor

We develop a Bayesian non-parametric framework based on multi-task Gaussian processes, appropriate for temporal shrinkage. We focus on a particular class of dynamic hierarchical models to obtain evidence-based knowledge of infectious…

Artificial intelligence (AI) has immense potential in time series prediction, but most explainable tools have limited capabilities in providing a systematic understanding of important features over time. These tools typically rely on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Feng Lu , Wei Li , Yifei Sun , Cheng Song , Yufei Ren , Albert Y. Zomaya

Missing data is a common problem in real-world settings and particularly relevant in healthcare applications where researchers use Electronic Health Records (EHR) and results of observational studies to apply analytics methods. This issue…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-04 Dimitris Bertsimas , Agni Orfanoudaki , Colin Pawlowski

Electronic records contain sequences of events, some of which take place all at once in a single visit, and others that are dispersed over multiple visits, each with a different timestamp. We postulate that fine temporal detail, e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Mohammad Taha Bahadori , Zachary Chase Lipton

When constructing a Bayesian Machine Learning model, we might be faced with multiple different prior distributions and thus are required to properly consider them in a sensible manner in our model. While this situation is reasonably well…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Sarem Seitz

Population adjustment methods such as matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC) are increasingly used to compare marginal treatment effects when there are cross-trial differences in effect modifiers and limited patient-level data. MAIC…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Antonio Remiro-Azócar , Anna Heath , Gianluca Baio

A novel extrapolation method is proposed for longitudinal forecasting. A hierarchical Gaussian process model is used to combine nonlinear population change and individual memory of the past to make prediction. The prediction error is…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-25 Leo L. Duan , John P. Clancy , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

Developing an integrated many-to-many framework leveraging multimodal data for multiple tasks is crucial to unifying healthcare applications ranging from diagnoses to operations. In resource-constrained hospital environments, a scalable and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Dimitris Bertsimas , Yu Ma

In applications of Gaussian processes where quantification of uncertainty is a strict requirement, it is necessary to accurately characterize the posterior distribution over Gaussian process covariance parameters. Normally, this is done by…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-01 Xiaoyu Xiong , Václav Šmídl , Maurizio Filippone