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Since the 1990s, there have been significant advances in the technology space and the e-Commerce area, leading to an exponential increase in demand for cashless payment solutions. This has led to increased demand for credit cards, bringing…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-06 K. S. Naik

Credit scoring is vital in the financial industry, assessing the risk of lending to credit card applicants. Traditional credit scoring methods face challenges with large datasets and data imbalance between creditworthy and non-creditworthy…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Kejian Tong , Zonglin Han , Yanxin Shen , Yujian Long , Yijing Wei

Credit scoring models face a critical challenge: severe class imbalance, with default rates typically below 10%, which hampers model learning and predictive performance. While synthetic data augmentation techniques such as SMOTE and ADASYN…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-22 Luis H. Chia

In the era of big data, the utilization of credit-scoring models to determine the credit risk of applicants accurately becomes a trend in the future. The conventional machine learning on credit scoring data sets tends to have poor…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-10 Xiaofan Liua , Zuoquan Zhanga , Di Wanga

Banks utilize credit scoring as an important indicator of financial strength and eligibility for credit. Scoring models aim to assign statistical odds or probabilities for predicting if there is a risk of nonpayment in relation to many…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-10 Oguz Koc , Omur Ugur , A. Sevtap Kestel

Effective credit risk management is fundamental to financial decision-making, requiring robust models to predict default probabilities and classify financial entities. Traditional machine learning approaches face significant challenges when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Haibo Wang , Jun Huang , Lutfu S. Sua , Figen Balo , Burak Dolar

Machine learning classifiers often stumble over imbalanced datasets where classes are not equally represented. This inherent bias towards the majority class may result in low accuracy in labeling minority class. Imbalanced learning is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-14 Wenhao Zhang , Ramin Ramezani , Arash Naeim

Credit scoring is an essential tool used by global financial institutions and credit lenders for financial decision making. In this paper, we introduce a new method based on Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) to forecast the probability of…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-17 Hamidreza Arian , Seyed Mohammad Sina Seyfi , Azin Sharifi

Loan default prediction is one of the most important and critical problems faced by banks and other financial institutions as it has a huge effect on profit. Although many traditional methods exist for mining information about a loan…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-07 Rising Odegua

Imbalanced datasets, where one class significantly outnumbers others, remain a persistent challenge in machine learning, often biasing predictions toward the majority class and degrading classifier performance. This paper provides a…

This study conducts a benchmarking study, comparing 23 different statistical and machine learning methods in a credit scoring application. In order to do so, the models' performance is evaluated over four different data sets in combination…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-07-31 Anna Stelzer

Accurate prediction of loan defaults is a central challenge in credit risk management, particularly in modern financial datasets characterised by nonlinear relationships, class imbalance, and evolving borrower behaviour. Traditional…

Predicting the probability of default (PD) of prospective loans is a critical objective for financial institutions. In recent years, machine learning (ML) algorithms have achieved remarkable success across a wide variety of prediction…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-25 Adrian Iulian Cristescu , Matteo Giordano

We aim at developing and improving the imbalanced business risk modeling via jointly using proper evaluation criteria, resampling, cross-validation, classifier regularization, and ensembling techniques. Area Under the Receiver Operating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-14 Yan Wang , Xuelei Sherry Ni

The use of credit cards has recently increased, creating an essential need for credit card assessment methods to minimize potential risks. This study investigates the utilization of machine learning (ML) models for credit card default…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Anas Arram , Masri Ayob , Musatafa Abbas Abbood Albadr , Alaa Sulaiman , Dheeb Albashish

Mortgage default prediction is a core task in financial risk management, and machine learning models are increasingly used to estimate default probabilities and provide interpretable signals for downstream decisions. In real-world mortgage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Xianghong Hu , Tianning Xu , Ying Chen , Shuai Wang

Credit risk prediction is an effective way of evaluating whether a potential borrower will repay a loan, particularly in peer-to-peer lending where class imbalance problems are prevalent. However, few credit risk prediction models for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-03 Anahita Namvar , Mohammad Siami , Fethi Rabhi , Mohsen Naderpour

Prediction of post-loan default is an important task in credit risk management, and can be addressed by detection of financial anomalies using machine learning. This study introduces a ResE-BiLSTM model, using a sliding window technique,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Yue Yang , Yuxiang Lin , Ying Zhang , Zihan Su , Chang Chuan Goh , Tangtangfang Fang , Anthony Graham Bellotti , Boon Giin Lee

Accurate prediction of future loan defaults is a critical capability for financial institutions that provide lines of credit. For institutions that issue and manage extensive loan volumes, even a slight improvement in default prediction…

Class imbalance classification is a challenging research problem in data mining and machine learning, as most of the real-life datasets are often imbalanced in nature. Existing learning algorithms maximise the classification accuracy by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-05 Farshid Rayhan , Sajid Ahmed , Asif Mahbub , Md. Rafsan Jani , Swakkhar Shatabda , Dewan Md. Farid
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