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Forecasting faithful trajectories of multivariate time series from practical scopes is essential for reasonable decision-making. Recent methods majorly tailor generative conditional diffusion models to estimate the target temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Siyang Li , Yize Chen , Hui Xiong

With an ever-increasing number of sensors in modern society, spatio-temporal time series forecasting has become a de facto tool to make informed decisions about the future. Most spatio-temporal forecasting models typically comprise distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Lars Ødegaard Bentsen , Narada Dilp Warakagoda , Roy Stenbro , Paal Engelstad

Temporal graphs are commonly used to represent complex systems and track the evolution of their constituents over time. Visualizing these graphs is crucial as it allows one to quickly identify anomalies, trends, patterns, and other…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Raphaël Tinarrage , Jean R. Ponciano , Claudio D. G. Linhares , Agma J. M. Traina , Jorge Poco

Time series forecasting (TSF) is critical across domains such as finance, meteorology, and energy. While extending the lookback window theoretically provides richer historical context, in practice, it often introduces irrelevant noise and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Xiang Ao , Yinyu Tan , Mengru Chen

Long-term time-series forecasting is critical for environmental monitoring, yet water quality prediction remains challenging due to complex periodicity, nonstationarity, and abrupt fluctuations induced by ecological factors. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-13 Ziqi Wang , Hailiang Zhao , Cheng Bao , Wenzhuo Qian , Yuhao Yang , Xueqiang Sun , Shuiguang Deng

A robust model for time series forecasting is highly important in many domains, including but not limited to financial forecast, air temperature and electricity consumption. To improve forecasting performance, traditional approaches usually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-19 Long H. Nguyen , Zhenhe Pan , Opeyemi Openiyi , Hashim Abu-gellban , Mahdi Moghadasi , Fang Jin

Forecasting univariate time series in the financial market is a challenging endeavor. While numerous statistical and machine learning models have been introduced to address this challenge, they typically concentrate solely on analyzing…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Marco Gregnanin , Johannes De Smedt , Giorgio Gnecco , Maurizio Parton

Designing effective models for learning time series representations is foundational for time series analysis. Many previous works have explored time series representation modeling approaches and have made progress in this area. Despite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Mingyue Cheng , Jiqian Yang , Tingyue Pan , Qi Liu , Zhi Li

Time series forecasting serves as an essential tool for many real-world applications, supporting tasks such as resource optimization and decision-making. Despite significant architectural advancements, most modern models still treat…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Sheng Pan , Ming Jin , Bo Du , Shirui Pan

We introduce a model-agnostic forward diffusion process for time-series forecasting that decomposes signals into spectral components, preserving structured temporal patterns such as seasonality more effectively than standard diffusion.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-17 Francisco Caldas , Sahil Kumar , Cláudia Soares

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

Time series forecasting models are becoming increasingly prevalent due to their critical role in decision-making across various domains. However, most existing approaches represent the coupled temporal patterns, often neglecting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Jintao Zhang , Mingyue Cheng , Xiaoyu Tao , Zhiding Liu , Daoyu Wang

This research addresses the problem of adaptive modeling in time-series data streams with clear input-output relationships. This problem is challenging because rapid system changes (regime shifts) caused by environmental factors or input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Ren Fujiwara , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

Time series forecasting plays an increasingly important role in modern business decisions. In today's data-rich environment, people often aim to choose the optimal forecasting model for their data. However, identifying the optimal model…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-17 Xixi Li , Fotios Petropoulos , Yanfei Kang

Accurate flood forecasting remains a challenge for water-resource management, as it demands modeling of local, time-varying runoff drivers (e.g., rainfall-induced peaks, baseflow trends) and complex spatial interactions across a river…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Aishwarya Sarkar , Autrin Hakimi , Xiaoqiong Chen , Hai Huang , Chaoqun Lu , Ibrahim Demir , Ali Jannesari

Time series forecasting is essential for our daily activities and precise modeling of the complex correlations and shared patterns among multiple time series is essential for improving forecasting performance. Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Yue Jiang , Xiucheng Li , Yile Chen , Shuai Liu , Weilong Kong , Antonis F. Lentzakis , Gao Cong

Platform businesses operate on a digital core and their decision making requires high-dimensional accurate forecast streams at different levels of cross-sectional (e.g., geographical regions) and temporal aggregation (e.g., minutes to…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-03 Jeroen Rombouts , Marie Ternes , Ines Wilms

Time series forecasting occurs in a range of financial applications providing essential decision-making support to investors, regulatory institutions, and analysts. Unlike multivariate time series from other domains, stock time series…

Recent years, weather forecasting has gained significant attention. However, accurately predicting weather remains a challenge due to the rapid variability of meteorological data and potential teleconnections. Current spatiotemporal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Yuhao Du , Hui Liu , Haoxiang Peng , Xinyuan Cheng , Chengrong Wu , Jiankai Zhang

Statistical analyses and descriptive characterizations are sometimes assumed to be offering information on time series forecastability. Despite the scientific interest suggested by such assumptions, the relationships between descriptive…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-02-22 Georgia Papacharalampous , Hristos Tyralis , Ilias G. Pechlivanidis , Salvatore Grimaldi , Elena Volpi