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Extreme events are emergent phenomena in multi-particle transport processes on complex networks. In practice, such events could range from power blackouts to call drops in cellular networks to traffic congestion on roads. All the earlier…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-27 Aanjaneya Kumar , Suman Kulkarni , M. S. Santhanam

We study the extreme events taking place on complex networks. The transport on networks is modelled using random walks and we compute the probability for the occurance and recurrence of extreme events on the network. We show that the nodes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-05-05 Vimal Kishore , M. S. Santhanam , R. E. Amritkar

Random walk on discrete lattice models is important to understand various types of transport processes. The extreme events, defined as exceedences of the flux of walkers above a prescribed threshold, have been studied recently in the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-05-31 Vimal Kishore , M. S. Santhanam , R. E. Amritkar

Extreme events have low occurrence probabilities and display pronounced deviation from their average behaviour, such as earthquakes or power blackouts. Such extreme events occurring on the nodes of a complex network have been extensively…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-02-09 Govind Gandhi , M. S. Santhanam

Extreme events gain the attention of researchers due to their utmost importance in various contexts ranging from finance to climatology. This brings such recurrent events to the limelight of attention in interdisciplinary research. A…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-05-18 Sayantan Nag Chowdhury , Arnob Ray , Syamal K. Dana , Dibakar Ghosh

In complex systems, events occur at irregular intervals that inherently encode the underlying dynamics of the system. Analyzing the temporal clustering of these events reveals critical insights into the non-random patterns and the temporal…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-03-20 Ambedkar Sanket Sukdeo , K. Shri Vignesh , Sachin S. Gunthe , T Narayan Rao , Amit Kumar Patra , R. I. Sujith

Congestion and extreme events in transportation networks are emergent phenomena with significant socio-economic implications. In this work, we study congestion and extreme event properties on real urban street (planar) networks drawn from…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-22 Ajay Agarwal , M. S. Santhanam

We study the impact of the coupling topology on the ability of various networked dynamical systems to generate extreme events. By determining the coupling strength that is necessary to generate an extreme event in the collective dynamics of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-29 Christian Hechler , Timo Bröhl , Ulrike Feudel , Klaus Lehnertz

Abrupt and rapid high-amplitude changes in a dynamical system's states known as extreme event appear in many processes occurring in nature, such as drastic climate patterns, rogue waves, or avalanches. These events often entail catastrophic…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-06-29 Urszula Golyska , Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan

The occurrence of extreme events like heavy precipitation or storms at a certain location often shows a clustering behaviour and is thus not described well by a Poisson process. We construct a general model for the inter-exceedance times in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Christina Mathieu , Katharina Hees , Roland Fried

Understanding and predicting uncertain things are the central themes of scientific evolution. Human beings revolve around these fears of uncertainties concerning various aspects like a global pandemic, health, finances, to name but a few.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-31 Sayantan Nag Chowdhury , Arnob Ray , Arindam Mishra , Dibakar Ghosh

The role of topological heterogeneity in the origin of extreme events in a network is investigated here. The dynamics of the oscillators associated with the nodes are assumed to be identical and influenced by mean-field repulsive…

We study a one-dimensional chain of harmonically coupled units in an asymmetric anharmonic soft potential. Due to nonlinear localisation of energy, this system exhibits extreme events in the sense that individual elements of the chain show…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-12-28 Colm Mulhern , Stephan Bialonski , Holger Kantz

In previous studies, the propagation of extreme events across nodes in monolayer networks has been extensively studied. In this work, we extend this investigation to explore the propagation of extreme events between two distinct layers in a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-23 R. Shashangan , S. Sudharsan , Dibakar Ghosh , M. Senthilvelan

Although higher-order interactions are known to affect the typical state of dynamical processes giving rise to new collective behavior, how they drive the emergence of rare events and fluctuations is still an open problem. We investigate…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-09-09 Leonardo Di Gaetano , Giorgio Carugno , Federico Battiston , Francesco Coghi

We propose a framework for studying predictability of extreme events in complex systems. Major conceptual elements -- direct cascading or fragmentation, spatial dynamics, and external driving -- are combined in a classical age-dependent…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-08-14 Andrei Gabrielov , Vladimir Keilis-Borok , Ilya Zaliapin

A network of coupled time-varying systems, where individual nodes are interconnected through links, is a modeling framework widely used by many disciplines. For identical nodes displaying a complex behavior known as chaos, clusters of nodes…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-11 G. Tirabassi , R. de Palma Aristides , C. Masoller , D. J. Gauthier

To characterize the dynamical features of seismicity as a complex phenomenon, the seismic data is mapped to a growing random graph, which is a small-world scale-free network. Here, hierarchical and mixing properties of such a network are…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

Having reliable estimates of the occurrence rates of extreme events is highly important for insurance companies, government agencies and the general public. The rarity of an extreme event is typically expressed through its return period,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Ross Towe , Jonathan Tawn , Emma Eastoe , Rob Lamb

There is a commonality among contagious diseases, tweets, urban crimes, nuclear reactions, and neuronal firings that past events facilitate the future occurrence of events. The spread of events has been extensively studied such that the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-16 Tomokatsu Onaga , Shigeru Shinomoto
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