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Statistical evaluation aims to estimate the generalization performance of a model using held-out i.i.d.\ test data sampled from the ground-truth distribution. In supervised learning settings such as classification, performance metrics such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Shashaank Aiyer , Yishay Mansour , Shay Moran , Han Shao

The method of Bayesian variable selection via penalized credible regions separates model fitting and variable selection. The idea is to search for the sparsest solution within the joint posterior credible regions. Although the approach was…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-02 Yan Zhang , Howard D. Bondell

In applications involving ordinal predictors, common approaches to reduce dimensionality are either extensions of unsupervised techniques such as principal component analysis, or variable selection procedures that rely on modeling the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-13 Liliana Forzani , Rodrigo García Arancibia , Pamela Llop , Diego Tomassi

We extend the work of Hahn and Carvalho (2015) and develop a doubly-regularized sparse regression estimator by synthesizing Bayesian regularization with penalized least squares within a decision-theoretic framework. In contrast to existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Aihua Li , Surya T. Tokdar , Jason Xu

Structured pruning is an effective approach for compressing large pre-trained neural networks without significantly affecting their performance. However, most current structured pruning methods do not provide any performance guarantees, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Marwa El Halabi , Suraj Srinivas , Simon Lacoste-Julien

AI tools can be useful to address model deficits in the design of communication systems. However, conventional learning-based AI algorithms yield poorly calibrated decisions, unabling to quantify their outputs uncertainty. While Bayesian…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-02 Kfir M. Cohen , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone , Shlomo Shamai

Checking how well a fitted model explains the data is one of the most fundamental parts of a Bayesian data analysis. However, existing model checking methods suffer from trade-offs between being well-calibrated, automated, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Jiawei Li , Jonathan H. Huggins

In recent years, inconsistency in Bayesian deep learning has attracted significant attention. Tempered or generalized posterior distributions are frequently employed as direct and effective solutions. Nonetheless, the underlying mechanisms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Yinsong Chen , Samson S. Yu , Zhong Li , Chee Peng Lim

As predictive algorithms grow in popularity, using the same dataset to both train and test a new model has become routine across research, policy, and industry. Sample-splitting attains valid inference on model properties by using separate…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-27 Bruno Fava

This work derives a residual-based a posteriori error estimator for reduced models learned with non-intrusive model reduction from data of high-dimensional systems governed by linear parabolic partial differential equations with control…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-13 Wayne Isaac Tan Uy , Benjamin Peherstorfer

This paper develops a new framework, called modular regression, to utilize auxiliary information -- such as variables other than the original features or additional data sets -- in the training process of linear models. At a high level, our…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Ying Jin , Dominik Rothenhäusler

This paper details how to parameterize the posterior distribution of state-space systems to generate improved optimization problems for system identification using variational inference. Three different parameterizations of the assumed…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-15 Dimas Abreu Archanjo Dutra

The training of high-dimensional regression models on comparably sparse data is an important yet complicated topic, especially when there are many more model parameters than observations in the data. From a Bayesian perspective, inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-03 Javier Enrique Aguilar , Paul-Christian Bürkner

The split-plot design assigns different interventions at the whole-plot and sub-plot levels, respectively, and induces a group structure on the final treatment assignments. A common strategy is to use the OLS fit of the outcome on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Anqi Zhao , Peng Ding

Recent work has attempted to directly approximate the `function-space' or predictive posterior distribution of Bayesian models, without approximating the posterior distribution over the parameters. This is appealing in e.g. Bayesian neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-19 David R. Burt , Sebastian W. Ober , Adrià Garriga-Alonso , Mark van der Wilk

In the context of recent deep clustering studies, discriminative models dominate the literature and report the most competitive performances. These models learn a deep discriminative neural network classifier in which the labels are latent.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Mohammed Jabi , Marco Pedersoli , Amar Mitiche , Ismail Ben Ayed

Bayesian predictive inference provides a coherent description of entire predictive uncertainty through predictive distributions. We examine several widely used sparsity priors from the predictive (as opposed to estimation) inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-03 Veronika Rockova

Inverse optimization seeks to recover unknown objective parameters from observed decisions, yet fundamental questions about when recovery is possible have received limited formal treatment. This paper develops a comprehensive theoretical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Farzin Ahmadi , Fardin Ganjkhanloo , Kimia Ghobadi

Sensitivity and specificity evaluated at an optimal diagnostic cut-off are fundamental measures of classification accuracy when continuous biomarkers are used for disease diagnosis. Joint inference for these quantities is challenging…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Siyan Liu , Qinglong Tian , Chunlin Wang , Pengfei Li

We present a forward sufficient dimension reduction method for categorical or ordinal responses by extending the outer product of gradients and minimum average variance estimator to multinomial generalized linear model. Previous work in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-30 Harris Quach , Bing Li