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This paper investigates the a-posteriori analysis of Branch-and-Bound~(BB) trees to extract structural information about the feasible region of mixed-binary linear programs. We introduce three novel outer approximations of the feasible…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Marius Roland , Nagisa Sugishita , Alexandre Forel , Youssouf Emine , Ricardo Fukasawa , Thibaut Vidal

Tree ensembles are powerful models that achieve excellent predictive performances, but can grow to unwieldy sizes. These ensembles are often post-processed (pruned) to reduce memory footprint and improve interpretability. We present…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-26 Brian Liu , Rahul Mazumder

When data are right-censored, i.e. some outcomes are missing due to a limited period of observation, survival analysis can compute the "time to event". Multiple classes of outcomes lead to a classification variant: predicting the most…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Julie Alberge , Vincent Maladière , Olivier Grisel , Judith Abécassis , Gaël Varoquaux

This paper introduces an assumption-lean method that constructs valid and efficient lower predictive bounds (LPBs) for survival times with censored data. We build on recent work by Cand\`es et al. (2021), whose approach first subsets the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-08 Yu Gui , Rohan Hore , Zhimei Ren , Rina Foygel Barber

Dynamic Treatment Regimes (DTRs) provide a systematic approach for making sequential treatment decisions that adapt to individual patient characteristics, particularly in clinical contexts where survival outcomes are of interest.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Animesh Kumar Paul , Russell Greiner

Tackling simulation optimization problems with non-convex objective functions remains a fundamental challenge in operations research. In this paper, we propose a class of random search algorithms, called Regular Tree Search, which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Du-Yi Wang , Guo Liang , Guangwu Liu , Kun Zhang

We learn sensor trees from training data to minimize sensor acquisition costs during test time. Our system adaptively selects sensors at each stage if necessary to make a confident classification. We pose the problem as empirical risk…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-11 Joseph Wang , Kirill Trapeznikov , Venkatesh Saligrama

Recent studies have shown that tuning prediction models increases prediction accuracy and that Random Forest can be used to construct prediction intervals. However, to our best knowledge, no study has investigated the need to, and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-12 Sean Bayley , Davide Falessi

Decision trees are widely used for non-linear modeling, as they capture interactions between predictors while producing inherently interpretable models. Despite their popularity, performing inference on the non-linear fit remains largely…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Soham Bakshi , Snigdha Panigrahi

In high-dimensional linear models, sparsity is often exploited to reduce variability and achieve parsimony. Equi-sparsity, where one assumes that predictors can be aggregated into groups sharing the same effects, is an alternative…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Jinwen Fu , Aaron J. Molstad , Hui Zou

Survival analysis provides a powerful statistical framework for modeling time-to-event outcomes in the presence of censoring. However, selecting an appropriate estimator from the many specialized survival approaches often requires…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Shi-ang Qi , Vahid Balazadeh , Michael Cooper , Russell Greiner , Rahul G. Krishnan

Pricing actuaries typically operate within the framework of generalized linear models (GLMs). With the upswing of data analytics, our study puts focus on machine learning methods to develop full tariff plans built from both the frequency…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-04 Roel Henckaerts , Marie-Pier Côté , Katrien Antonio , Roel Verbelen

Tree search has recently emerged as a powerful framework for aligning generative models with task-specific rewards at test time. Applying tree search to Masked Diffusion Language Models, however, introduces two key challenges: (i) parallel…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Zichao Yu , Ming Li , Wenyi Zhang , Weiguo Gao

A comprehensive, unified approach to modeling arbitrarily censored spatial survival data is presented for the three most commonly-used semiparametric models: proportional hazards, proportional odds, and accelerated failure time. Unlike many…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-04 Haiming Zhou , Timothy Hanson

Incorporating domain-specific constraints into machine learning models is essential for generating predictions that are both accurate and feasible in real-world applications. This paper introduces new methods for training Output-Constrained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Hüseyin Tunç , Doğanay Özese , Ş. İlker Birbil , Donato Maragno , Marco Caserta , Mustafa Baydoğan

This work develops formal statistical inference procedures for machine learning ensemble methods. Ensemble methods based on bootstrapping, such as bagging and random forests, have improved the predictive accuracy of individual trees, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-11 Lucas Mentch , Giles Hooker

In order to speed-up classification models when facing a large number of categories, one usual approach consists in organizing the categories in a particular structure, this structure being then used as a way to speed-up the prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-26 Aurélia Léon , Ludovic Denoyer

We propose a new method for hierarchical clustering based on the optimisation of a cost function over trees of limited depth, and we derive a message--passing method that allows to solve it efficiently. The method and algorithm can be…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-14 M. Bailly-Bechet , S. Bradde , A. Braunstein , A. Flaxman , L. Foini , R. Zecchina

We consider conducting inference on the output of the Classification and Regression Tree (CART) [Breiman et al., 1984] algorithm. A naive approach to inference that does not account for the fact that the tree was estimated from the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-19 Anna C. Neufeld , Lucy L. Gao , Daniela M. Witten

Boosted decision trees enjoy popularity in a variety of applications; however, for large-scale datasets, the cost of training a decision tree in each round can be prohibitively expensive. Inspired by ideas from the multi-arm bandit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-22 Maryam Aziz , Jesse Anderton , Javed Aslam