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Restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimation is a widely accepted and frequently used method for fitting linear mixed models, with its principal advantage being that it produces less biased estimates of the variance components. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-15 Luca Maestrini , Francis K. C. Hui , Alan H. Welsh

When designing confirmatory Phase 3 studies, one usually evaluates one or more efficacious and safe treatment option(s) based on data from previous studies. However, several retrospective research articles reported the phenomenon of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Tianyu Zhan

We use the Reward Biased Maximum Likelihood Estimation (RBMLE) algorithm to learn optimal policies for constrained Markov Decision Processes (CMDPs). We analyze the learning regrets of RBMLE.

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-31 Rahul Singh

Maximum pseudo-likelihood (MPL) is a semiparametric estimation method often used to obtain the dependence parameters in copula models from data. It has been shown that despite being consistent, and in some cases efficient, MPL estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Alexandra Dias

Model-based reinforcement learning promises strong sample efficiency but often underperforms in practice due to compounding model error, unimodal world models that average over multi-modal dynamics, and overconfident predictions that bias…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Mehran Aghabozorgi , Alireza Moazeni , Yanshu Zhang , Ke Li

The tensor Ising model is a discrete exponential family used for modeling binary data on networks with not just pairwise, but higher-order dependencies. A particularly important class of tensor Ising models are the tensor Curie-Weiss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Somabha Mukherjee , Jaesung Son , Swarnadip Ghosh , Sourav Mukherjee

We develop an empirical Bayes procedure for estimating the cell means in an unbalanced, two-way additive model with fixed effects. We employ a hierarchical model, which reflects exchangeability of the effects within treatment and within…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-30 Lawrence D. Brown , Gourab Mukherjee , Asaf Weinstein

We introduce the BREASE framework for the Bayesian analysis of randomized controlled trials with a binary treatment and a binary outcome. Approaching the problem from a causal inference perspective, we propose parameterizing the likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-26 Nicholas J. Irons , Carlos Cinelli

This paper explores the multiple testing problem for sparse high-dimensional data with binary outcomes. We propose novel empirical Bayes multiple testing procedures based on a spike-and-slab posterior and then evaluate their performance in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-16 Yu-Chien Bo Ning

In this paper, we address the identification problem for the systems characterized by linear time-invariant dynamics with bilinear observation models. More precisely, we consider a suitable parametric description of the system and formulate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-24 Diyou Liu , Mohammad Khosravi

In this paper, we mainly focus on the penalized maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of the high-dimensional approximate factor model. Since the current estimation procedure can not guarantee the positive definiteness of the error covariance…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-18 Shaoxin Wang , Hu Yang , Chaoli Yao

In recent studies on model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL), incorporating uncertainty in forward dynamics is a state-of-the-art strategy to enhance learning performance, making MBRLs competitive to cutting-edge model free methods,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-08 Masashi Okada , Tadahiro Taniguchi

Introduction In analysis of time-to-event outcomes, a mixture cure (MC) model is preferred over a standard survival model when the sample includes individuals who will never experience the event of interest. Motivated by a cohort study of…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-02 Changchang Xu , Laurent Briollais , Irene L Andrulis , Shelley B Bull

Likelihood-based inference for multivariate extreme-value models is often unreliable or infeasible when likelihoods are intractable or supports are discrete. This challenge is particularly acute for multivariate discrete generalized Pareto…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-28 Samira Aka , Marie Kratz , Philippe Naveau

Observational epidemiological studies commonly seek to estimate the causal effect of an exposure on an outcome. Adjustment for potential confounding bias in modern studies is challenging due to the presence of high-dimensional confounding,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-29 Susan Ellul , Stijn Vansteelandt , John B. Carlin , Margarita Moreno-Betancur

In this paper, we propose a novel factor-augmented forecasting regression model with a binary response variable. We develop a maximum likelihood estimation method for the regression parameters and establish the asymptotic properties of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-23 Tingting Cheng , Jiachen Cong , Fei Liu , Xuanbin Yang

Regression calibration as developed by Rosner, Spiegelman and Willet is used to correct the bias in effect estimates due to measurement error in continuous exposures. The method involves two models: a measurement error model (MEM) relating…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Wenze Tang , Donna Spiegelman , Xiaomei Liao , Molin Wang

This work has two major parts. First, we extend the recent study of Pham et al. (2025) on point estimation of the association parameter of a bivariate Frank copula. We investigate two Bayes estimators under the generalized flat prior and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Thi-Yen-Anh Pham , Dung T. Nguyen , Nabendu Pal

Accurate dose selection in Phase II trials is critical to the success of subsequent Phase III trials, but suboptimal choices remain a leading cause of trial failure and regulatory rejection. Although MCP-Mod is widely adopted and endorsed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Linxi Han , Qiqi Deng , Feng Yu , Zhangyi He

Mitigating the disparate impact of statistical machine learning methods is crucial for ensuring fairness. While extensive research aims to reduce disparity, the effect of using a \emph{finite dataset} -- as opposed to the entire population…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-28 Xianli Zeng , Guang Cheng , Edgar Dobriban