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Given a Wiener process with unknown and unobservable drift, we try to estimate this drift as effectively but also as quickly as possible, in the presence of a quadratic penalty for the estimation error and of a fixed, positive cost per unit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-24 Erik Ekström , Ioannis Karatzas , Juozas Vaicenavicius

We construct a Bayesian sequential test of two simple hypotheses about the value of the unobservable drift coefficient of a Brownian motion, with a possibility to change the initial decision at subsequent moments of time for some penalty.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Mikhail Zhitlukhin

We study a classical Bayesian statistics problem of sequentially testing the sign of the drift of an arithmetic Brownian motion with the $0$-$1$ loss function and a constant cost of observation per unit of time for general prior…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Erik Ekström , Juozas Vaicenavicius

Consider the sample path of a one-dimensional diffusion for which the diffusion coefficient is given and where the drift may take on one of two values: $\mu_0$ or $\mu_1$. Suppose that the signal-to-noise ratio (defined as the difference…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-02 Philip Ernst , Hongwei Mei

Suppose that local characteristics of several independent compound Poisson and Wiener processes change suddenly and simultaneously at some unobservable disorder time. The problem is to detect the disorder time as quickly as possible after…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-04-01 Savas Dayanik , H. Vincent Poor , Semih O. Sezer

We consider stochastic control with discretionary stopping for the drift of a diffusion process over an infinite time horizon. The objective is to choose a control process and a stopping time to minimize the expectation of a convex terminal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Václav E. Beneš , Georgy Gaitsgori , Ioannis Karatzas

In the Wiener disorder problem, the drift of a Wiener process changes suddenly at some unknown and unobservable disorder time. The objective is to detect this change as quickly as possible after it happens. Earlier work on the Bayesian…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-25 Semih Onur Sezer

A new model for controlled sensing for multihypothesis testing is proposed and studied in the sequential setting. This new model, termed {\em controlled Markovian observation} model, exhibits a more complicated memory structure in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-01 Sirin Nitinawarat , Venupogal V. Veeravalli

In this article, we present a general methodology for stochastic control problems driven by the Brownian motion filtration including non-Markovian and non-semimartingale state processes controlled by mutually singular measures. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Dorival Leão , Alberto Ohashi , Francys Andrews de Souza

In this article, a general problem of sequential statistical inference for general discrete-time stochastic processes is considered. The problem is to minimize an average sample number given that Bayesian risk due to incorrect decision does…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-18 Andrey Novikov

We show that "full-bang" control is optimal in a problem that combines features of (i) sequential least-squares {\it estimation} with Bayesian updating, for a random quantity observed in a bath of white noise; (ii) bounded {\it control} of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Erik Ekström , Ioannis Karatzas

We consider a fractional Brownian motion with unknown linear drift such that the drift coefficient has a prior normal distribution and construct a sequential test for the hypothesis that the drift is positive versus the alternative that it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Alexey Muravlev , Mikhail Zhitlukhin

This work investigates the sequential hypothesis testing problem with online sensor selection and sensor usage constraints. That is, in a sensor network, the fusion center sequentially acquires samples by selecting one "most informative"…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-26 Shang Li , Xiaoou Li , Xiaodong Wang , Jingchen Liu

The problem of simultaneously testing the marginal distributions of sequentially monitored, independent data streams is considered. The decisions for the various testing problems can be made at different times, using data from all streams,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-21 Yiming Xing , Georgios Fellouris

We formulate and solve a variant of the quickest detection problem which features false negatives. A standard Brownian motion acquires a drift at an independent exponential random time which is not directly observable. Based on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Tiziano De Angelis , Jhanvi Garg , Quan Zhou

In this paper, we study a sampling problem where a source takes samples from a Wiener process and transmits them through a wireless channel to a remote estimator. Due to channel fading, interference, and potential collisions, the packet…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-10-19 Jiayu Pan , Yin Sun , Ness B. Shroff

This work introduces a sequential convex programming framework for non-linear, finite-dimensional stochastic optimal control, where uncertainties are modeled by a multidimensional Wiener process. We prove that any accumulation point of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-27 Riccardo Bonalli , Thomas Lew , Marco Pavone

This paper solves a Bayes sequential impulse control problem for a diffusion, whose drift has an unobservable parameter with a change point. The partially-observed problem is reformulated into one with full observations, via a change of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-08-19 Lokman A. Abbas-Turki , Ioannis Karatzas , Qinghua Li

We consider a mean-field control problem in which admissible controls are required to be adapted to the common noise filtration. The main objective is to show how the mean-field control problem can be approximates by time consistent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Bruno Bouchard , Xiaolu Tan

We study an optimal process control problem with multiple assignable causes. The process is initially in-control but is subject to random transition to one of multiple out-of-control states due to assignable causes. The objective is to find…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-12-12 Jue Wang , Chi-Guhn Lee
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